
| Fred
Goodman's Discretionary Technical Portfolio The
Discretionary Technical Portfolio is managed entirely at Fred's discretion
-- using all his technical indicators and his own investment and trading judgment,
applied across a broad array of assets and asset classes. It's a "paper portfolio"
-- sometimes it will reflect in a general way what Fred is doing for his own account
and for accounts he manages, and at other times it will reflect ideas that are
just for Fred's online audience. The
maximum net long equity position that Fred will take in the portfolio is determined
by the Fred's Technical Trading
Model, based on his Summary Index and Quick Summary Index and his
Trend Indicator. The table below gives the maximum net long position depending
on whether there is a Summary Index or Quick Summary Index buy signal or
sell signal, and on the long-term trend of the market according to the
Trend Indicator. 
The
Portfolio began with an imaginary $1 million, and was set to an initial Net Asset
Value of $10. Changes in positions will generally be mentioned in Fred's daily
"Technical Analysis" reports the same day they are made in the portfolio.
For simplicity we ignore transaction costs. We accrue interest on cash balances
daily at the 90-day T-bill rate, and dividends are added to cash. There may be
significant differences, beyond our control, between the performance of this hypothetical
portfolio and an otherwise similar actual portfolio. This
page is normally updated daily after the market close, but may be updated more
frequently as necessary.
Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

Trade
History
| Time |
Date |
Action |
Security |
Qty |
Price |
|
2:00 PM |
October 22, 2008 |
SELL |
SPY |
800 |
91.48 |
|
Opened 5% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
2:00 PM |
October 22, 2008 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
2500 |
31.11 |
|
Opened 5% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:15 PM |
October 20, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
800 |
95.76 |
|
Opened 5% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:15 PM |
October 20, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
2500 |
32.32 |
|
Opened 5% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:00 PM |
October 16, 2008 |
SELL |
GLD |
600 |
79.09 |
|
Our stop loss was triggered. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:00 PM |
September 18, 2008 |
BUY |
GLD |
600 |
86.36 |
|
Bought half of the desired position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
September 5, 2008 |
SELL |
SPY |
1300 |
124.34 |
|
Our Stop loss was triggered. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:15 PM |
September 4, 2008 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
6000 |
44.51 |
|
Our Stop loss was triggered. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
September 3, 2008 |
SELL |
MERKX |
7000 |
11.14 |
|
Sold the second half of our position when the stop loss was
reached. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:00 AM |
July 23, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
1300 |
128.82 |
|
Opened a 10% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:00 AM |
July 23, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1700 |
45.67 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
July 16, 2008 |
SELL |
MINDX |
3000 |
46.81 |
|
Substituted QQQQ for holdings of FAIRX and MINDX for flexibility.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
July 16, 2008 |
SELL |
FAIRX |
5000 |
11.99 |
|
Substituted QQQQ for holdings of FAIRX and MINDX for flexibility.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
12:00 PM |
July 16, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
4300 |
44.66 |
|
Substituted QQQQ for holdings of FAIRX and MINDX for flexibility.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
June 24, 2008 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
3600 |
46.81 |
|
Stopped out. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
June 16, 2008 |
SELL |
MERKX |
7000 |
11.99 |
|
Sold half of our position because of recent strength in the
dollar. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
June 11, 2008 |
SELL |
SPY |
1800 |
135.00 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
May 7, 2008 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
3600 |
49.07 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
April 21, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
600 |
132.16 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
April 21, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1800 |
46.72 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
March 31, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
600 |
132.16 |
|
Added another 5% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
March 31, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
3600 |
43.79 |
|
Added another 10% to position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
March 25, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
600 |
132.16 |
|
Stopped out at the open. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
March 25, 2008 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1800 |
44.19 |
|
Bought 5% position. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
March 20, 2008 |
SELL |
GLD |
700 |
91.37 |
|
Stopped out at the open. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:00 PM |
March 7, 2008 |
SELL |
SPY |
1200 |
130.34 |
|
Opened below our stop. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
March 5, 2008 |
SELL |
GLD |
300 |
97.63 |
|
Took a partial profit on 30% of our position -- 16.3% in two
months. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
February 25, 2008 |
BUY |
FAIRX |
5000 |
32.07 |
|
Bought 10% position in a conservative fund SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
February 20, 2008 |
SELL |
WWNPX |
11800 |
27.69 |
|
We made 49% in three years, but it's starting to become more
volatile with over 25% Asian holdings SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:15 PM |
January 30, 2008 |
BUY |
SPY |
1200 |
136.12 |
|
Replacing AOLCX. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
January 30, 2008 |
SELL |
AOLCX |
13600 |
10.57 |
|
Planning to switch to SPY to increase portfolio liquidity
SEE REPORT>> |
|
10:30 AM |
January 4, 2008 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
3250 |
49.58 |
|
Our mental stop loss was hit in the opening moments and sold
in the first full hour SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
January 2, 2008 |
BUY |
MERKX |
14000 |
11.66 |
|
Buying a 10% position as a dollar hedge SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:15 AM |
December 27, 2007 |
BUY |
GLD |
1000 |
81.83 |
|
Buying a 5% position on price breakout SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:30 PM |
December 5, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
3250 |
51.54 |
|
Buying a 10% position on Summary Index buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:00 PM |
November 19, 2007 |
SELL |
GLD |
1800 |
77.04 |
| Sold
when mental stop loss was reached. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:30 PM |
November 8, 2007 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
6500 |
51.35 |
|
Sold when mental stop loss was reached. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:30 PM |
November 7, 2007 |
Sell |
SPY |
1650 |
149.29 |
|
Sold when mental stop loss was reached. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
2:15 PM |
October 9, 2007 |
BUY |
SPY |
550 |
155.38 |
|
Adding a 5% position after the release of the FOMC minutes.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
3:45 PM |
October 1, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
3250 |
51.92 |
|
Buying a 10% position on reaching Price/Volume Dowtrend line
SEE REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
September 20, 2007 |
BUY |
AOLCX |
6800 |
12.10 |
|
Doubling our position following a Short Trend Indicator buy
signal AOLCX SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:15 AM |
September 11, 2007 |
BUY |
GLD |
1800 |
69.89 |
| Buying
5% position on falling dollar and expected interest rate reduction
SEE REPORT>> |
|
3:45 PM |
August 31, 2007 |
BUY |
SPY |
1100 |
147.62 |
|
Buying a 10% position following buy signals from the Average
Signature and the many others SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:45 PM |
August 31, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
3250 |
48.97 |
|
Buying a 10% position following buy signals from the Average
Signature and the many others SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
July 26, 2007 |
SELL |
EZU |
750 |
115.85 |
|
Reached mental stop loss SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
July 26, 2007 |
SELL |
SPY |
2000 |
149.07 |
|
Reached mental stop loss SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:00 AM |
July 24,2007 |
SELL |
MDY |
1000 |
163.20 |
|
Hit mental stop loss and was sold soon after at 1.9% profit
SEE REPORT>> |
|
10:30 AM |
July 19, 2007 |
BUY |
GLD |
1250 |
66.78 |
| Buying
5% position on breakout SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
July 18, 2007 |
BUY |
AOLCX |
6800 |
12.23 |
|
Making a lateral trade selling SPY and replacing it with large
cap AOLCX SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:50 PM |
July 18, 2007 |
SELL |
SPY |
600 |
154.57 |
|
Selling 5% to cover the buy of AOLCX SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:30 PM |
May 22, 2007 |
BUY |
DIA |
1800 |
135.21 |
|
Bought 15% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:00 PM |
May 21, 2007 |
Sell |
XLY |
2000 |
39.93 |
|
Taking our 6% profit since the sector is now weak. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
April 24, 2007 |
BUY |
MDY |
1000 |
160.08 |
|
Adding 10% as Daily Rating gives buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
April 17, 2007 |
BUY |
SPY |
1000 |
147.05 |
|
Adding 10% to our 15% position following breakout to a new
6-1/2-year high SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:00 AM |
April 4, 2007 |
BUY |
SPY |
1600 |
143.61 |
|
Buying a 15% position following buy signals from the Average
Signature and the Short Trend Indicator SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:45 PM |
March 30, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1750 |
43.57 |
|
Bought 5% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:10 AM |
March 22, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1750 |
44.11 |
|
Bought 5% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:15 AM |
March 14, 2007 |
SELL |
DIA |
1850 |
120.85 |
|
Sold when the stop was reached at 120.63 SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:30 PM |
March 13, 2007 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
5000 |
42.77 |
|
Sold after the stop was hit at 42.60 SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:30 PM |
March 2, 2007 |
Sell |
GLD |
1200 |
64.51 |
| GLD
hit our stop loss, took a 1.2% loss. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:30 PM |
February 27, 2007 |
SELL |
SPY |
1500 |
140.60 |
|
Sold when S&P 500 broke 1433 and created neutral state
in Short Trend Indicator SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:30 PM |
February 27, 2007 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
1500 |
43.49 |
|
Sold when S&P 500 broke 1433 and created neutral state
in Short Trend Indicator SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:30 PM |
February 27, 2007 |
SELL |
DIA |
500 |
122.71 |
|
Sold when S&P 500 broke 1433 and created neutral state
in Short Trend Indicator SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:15 PM |
February 1, 2007 |
BUY |
GLD |
1200 |
65.27 |
| Buying
5% position on breakout above December high SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
January 12, 2007 |
BUY |
EZU |
750 |
102.70 |
|
Bought 5% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
January 12, 2007 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1700 |
45.16 |
|
Bought 5% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
January 12, 2007 |
BUY |
DIA |
600 |
125.20 |
|
Bought 5% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:00 PM |
December 11, 2006 |
Sell |
GLD |
1250 |
62.31 |
| Taking
a 4.7% profit after GLD fell below the target price. We'll
look for another buying opportunity when availalbe. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
2:45 PM |
November 22, 2006 |
BUY |
SPY |
300 |
140.82 |
|
Buying up to a 14% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
2:30 PM |
November 22, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
1650 |
44.66 |
|
Buying up to a 14% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:45 PM |
November 22, 2006 |
BUY |
DIA |
350 |
123.21 |
|
Buying up to a 14% position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:45 PM |
November 14, 2006 |
BUY |
XLY |
2000 |
37.40 |
|
Buying a 5% position on a strong technical position SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:30 PM |
November 13, 2006 |
BUY |
MINDX |
3000 |
14.85 |
|
Buying a 3% position based on strong fundamentals described
in The World is Flat SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:45 PM |
November 8, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
3150 |
42.85 |
|
Buying a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:00 AM |
November 7, 2006 |
SELL |
QID |
1300 |
55.72 |
| Bringing
down the hedge based on strong Hourly Earnings and the S&P
Oscillator SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:45 AM |
November 2, 2006 |
BUY |
QID |
1300 |
57.49 |
| Buying
a 5% to hedge 10% of our total long positions SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:15 PM |
October 27, 2006 |
BUY |
GLD |
1250 |
59.50 |
| Buying
5% position on reverse head and shoulders breakout SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:50 PM |
October 19, 2006 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
4000 |
41.90 |
| Selling
on a Price/Volume Chart sell signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:20 PM |
October 13, 2006 |
BUY |
DIA |
1400 |
119.32 |
| Buying
a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:20 PM |
October 13, 2006 |
BUY |
SPY |
1200 |
136.29 |
|
Buying a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
12:20 PM |
October 13, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
4000 |
42.38 |
|
Buying a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:45 PM |
October 11, 2006 |
SELL |
DIA |
1400 |
118.56 |
| Selling
on a Signature sell signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:45 PM |
October 11, 2006 |
SELL |
SPY |
1200 |
135.18 |
| Selling
on a Signature sell signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
1:45 PM |
October 11, 2006 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
4000 |
41.68 |
| Selling
on a Signature sell signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
3:15 PM |
October 5, 2006 |
BUY |
DIA |
1400 |
118.63 |
| Buying
a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:45 AM |
October 5, 2006 |
BUY |
SPY |
1200 |
135.15 |
|
Buying a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:45 AM |
October 5, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
4000 |
41.44 |
|
Buying a 11% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:45 AM |
September 18, 2006 |
SELL |
SPY |
1650 |
132.01 |
|
Selling our position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:55 AM |
September 18, 2006 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
5500 |
40.22 |
|
Selling our position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
September 15, 2005 |
DIV |
SPY |
1650 |
$0.5815 |
Our
Standard & Poors Depository Receipts pay a dividend of
.5815, and we lower the cost basis to 131.3085.
|
|
11:45 AM |
September 13, 2006 |
BUY |
SPY |
1650 |
131.89 |
|
Buying a 15% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:45 AM |
September 13, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
5500 |
39.85 |
|
Buying a 15% position on a Signature buy signal SEE
REPORT>> |
|
10:30 AM |
September 7, 2006 |
SELL |
GLD |
1150 |
61.50 |
|
GLD violated its stoploss at 61.50 and was sold SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
September 6, 2006 |
BUY |
GLD |
1150 |
62.86 |
|
I'm buying a 5% position in GLD with a stoploss at 61.50 SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
August 11, 2006 |
SELL |
DIA |
2000 |
111.01 |
| Selling
following a Summary Index sell signal. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
August 11, 2006 |
SELL |
QQQQ |
2000 |
36.53 |
| Selling
following a Summary Index sell signal. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
August 11, 2006 |
SELL |
EFA |
1100 |
65.38 |
| Selling
following a Summary Index sell signal. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
4:00 PM |
August 11, 2006 |
SELL |
SPY |
2275 |
127.01 |
| Selling
following a Summary Index sell signal. SEE
REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
August 2, 2006 |
BUY |
DIA |
2000 |
111.85 |
| Buying
following an S&P 500 head and shoulders bottom breakout.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
11:30 AM |
August 2, 2006 |
BUY |
QQQQ |
2000 |
36.86 |
| Buying
following an S&P 500 head and shoulders bottom breakout.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
3:15 PM |
August 1, 2006 |
BUY |
EFA |
1100 |
65.48 |
| Buying
following an S&P 500 head and shoulders bottom breakout.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
3:15 PM |
July 31, 2006 |
BUY |
SPY |
2275 |
127.70 |
| Buying
following an S&P 500 head and shoulders bottom breakout.
SEE REPORT>> |
|
1:45 PM |
July 17, 2006 |
SELL |
IYY | |