The power of Fred Goodman's technical analysis techniques is proven by their excellent track records. On this page we display daily updates of the performance of Fred's Technical Trading Model, as well as that of his four online model portfolios.

Model Portfolios

• The Discretionary Technical Portfolio is managed entirely at Fred's discretion -- using all his technical indicators and his own investment and trading judgment, applied across a broad array of assets and asset classes.
• The Discretionary GPS Portfolio* is also managed entirely at Fred's discretion -- but its equity holdings are determined by GPS -- the Goodman Price/Volume Stock Selection System.
• The Technical Trading Model Portfolio automatically follows the buy signals and sell signals of Fred's Technical Trading Model -- depending on the signal, it is always either 100% long or 100% short the S&P 500 Index, using exchange-traded funds.
• Portfolio "Q" automatically follows the buy signals and sell signals of Fred's Summary Index -- depending on the signal, it is always either 100% long or 100% short the NASDAQ Index, using exchange-traded funds.
• You can read a detailed description of the methodology of the portfolios and important disclosures by clicking here.

*The Discretionary GPS Portfolio used to invest in the GPS S&P 100 Portfolio and the GPS NASDAQ 100 Portfolio for indirect exposure to the S&P 100 and NASDAQ 100 indices until April 17, 2006 when technically strong stocks selected by the GPS were directly incorporated instead. The track records of these two former portfolios may be seen at the links in this paragraph.

Technical Trading Model

Fred has combined his most important technical indicators into a single super-indicator  -- the Summary Index -- since December 1998. In February 2003 he created a formal trading system based on buy and sell signals generated by specific levels of the Summary Index. In December 2003 he introduced the short-term Quick Summary Index, and integrated its buy and sell signals with those of the intermediate-term Summary Index, into a single Technical Trading Model.

The Technical Trading Model goes 100% long a market index (such as the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ 100) at the closing price the day of a Summary Index buy signal, and 100% short at a Summary Index sell signal. Results are updated daily, assuming that the strategy's current position had been closed out at current market values, as though a new buy or sell signal had been given. You can read a detailed description of the Summary Index's methodology and important information and disclosures about this track record by clicking here. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The table below shows the history of all buy signals and sell signals of the Summary Index. Note that the several signals resulting in a zero profit (loss) did so because those signals occurred during a Trend Indicator state calling for a zero equity investment.

Fred Goodman, CFP, is a fee-only Certified Financial Planner based in Los Angeles. You can send him your questions and comments via e-mail at Fred@TrendMicrolytics.com. E-mail sent to Fred may be edited for clarity and brevity and published on this web site, and may include your name unless you request anonymity or specify not for publication. The charts and commentary represent what Fred  thinks about the market and what he is thinking of doing for his own account and for accounts he manages at the time of writing. Fred, his clients, or his family may have positions or may make trades in securities mentioned in these commentaries.  There is no guarantee that you will profit from trading as discussed herein. You may lose money and Fred assumes no responsibility for what you do or do not do with this information. Copyright © 2001-2008 Fred Goodman. All rights reserved.

For information purposes only, offered as a periodical of general circulation; not to be deemed to be recommendations for buying or selling specific securities or to constitute personalized investment advice. Derived from sources believed to be reliable, but no warranty is made as to accuracy.