| Fred
Goodman: 2008
A Happy Ending Wednesday, November 19, 2008
The Dow gained 308 points in the final hour and made another one-day reversal.
This Market is In-same Tuesday, November 18, 2008
It's in the same place it's been for six weeks.
All Things Being Equal Monday, November 17, 2008
When are they ever equal?
Double Oh Seven Friday, November 14, 2008
Bonds did it, at least it looks that way.
Timeless Quote Thursday, November 13, 2008
We were warned about Hank Paulson almost 2500 years ago.
No-Mentum Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Momentum indicators don't work well in a trading range.
Risky Business Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Let's talk about it.
Crunch Time Monday, November 10, 2008
The market is in a symmetrical triangle.
Free-Range Chicken Friday, November 7, 2008
We're in a scary 2150 point Dow trading range.
Let's Get Serious Thursday, November 6, 2008
He who loses the least wins.
Bought on the Rumor Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Sell on the news?
VOTE! Tuesday, November 4, 2008
What else can you do?
Breaking Out is Hard to Do Monday, November 3, 2008
SPY and QQQQ have made a series of lower highs.
Launch Minus 5 and Counting Friday, October 31, 2008
Not much we can do now but wait.
GE Whiz Thursday, October 30, 2008
Thanks to a last minute announcement by GE the Dow gave back 300 points in 12 minutes.
The Seven Wonders of the Stock Market Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Yesterday was the seventh time the Dow gained more than 10% in one day.
Good to the Last Drop Tuesday, October 28, 2008
The Dow was up until the final 10 minutes when it quickly gave up 200 points.
Better than a Poke in the Eye with a Sharp Stick Monday, October 27, 2008
After a limit-down move in after-hours trading, the 3.7% decline was a relief.
Triple Option Friday, October 24, 2008
There are three ways to play the long side, but not much reason to do so.
The Barbaric Metal Thursday, October 23, 2008
It may be barbaric, but it sure is consistent.
In the Zone Wednesday, October 22, 2008
The demilitarized zone.
Checking Up on W Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Not the President, the potential breakout.
Past is Prologue Monday, October 20, 2008
But do we remember?
No News is Good News Friday, October 17, 2008
Many economic reports were released yesterday -- all bad.
The Trend is Your Friend Thursday, October 16, 2008
Except at the end.
Boom! Wednesday, October 15, 2008
The Boomerang Indicators have joined the other bullish indicators.
11.08% -- Big Deal Tuesday, October 14, 2008
The Dow made its fifth biggest gain in history, 936.42 points.
It' a Long Way to Tipperary Monday, October 13, 2008
It's a World War I song I learned from Snoopy -- I'm not that old
Keynes Said it Best Friday, October 10, 2008
"Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
How Long is a Piece of String? Thursday, October 9, 2008
Oversold indicators continue to explore new territory as we wait for the rally.
Are We There Yet? Wednesday, October 8, 2008
The S&P 500 closed within one percent of the loss it sustained in two legs of the 2001 decline.
Red Sky at Night, Sailor's Delight Tuesday, October 7, 2008
Yesterday's strong close should spill over to today's trading.
All Better Monday, October 06, 2008
That's what I told my daughters when I put Band-aids on their scrapes.
Surprise Surprise Friday, October 3, 2008
There were several unexpected events yesterday.
It's Been a Good Run Thursday, October 2, 2008
232 years is 32 more than De Tocqueville though we'd get.
Still Oversold Wednesday, October 1, 2008
It was a nice bounce, but we got back only half what we lost Monday.
M'm, M'm, Good Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Campbell Soup was as good as gold yesterday -- well not quite, but defensive stocks did better than most.
Flip a Coin Monday, September 29, 2008
When the odds are nearly even, technique is all that matters.
One Chance in Four Friday, September 26, 2008
First guess what they'll do, then guess what the reaction will be.
Waiting for the Other Shoe to Drop Thursday, September 25, 2008
It looks like we'll have to wait for the bill until after the weekend.
The Market Got Buffeted Around and It'll be Worse Today Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Warren Buffett is buying a hunk of Goldman Sachs.
About Face Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Market reversals become more frequent near a bottom.
Anybody Can Become Angry, that is Easy -- Aristotle Monday, September 22, 2008
Read the rest of the quote below.
I Guess My Mother was Wrong Friday, September 19, 2008
She taught me to be honest and pay my bills.
Ducks in a Row Redux Thursday, September 18, 2008
Many indicators are falling into place, a bounce is not far away.
How to Survive an Avalanche Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Be somewhere else.
A Voice in the Wilderness Tuesday, September 16, 2008
A VIX 3-day buy signal occurred at the close.
As Good As Gold Monday, September 15, 2008
The question is, 'How good is gold?'
Patience Friday, September 12, 2008
We're waiting for an opportunity to get back into the market, and into gold as well.
Don't Bank On it Thursday, September 11, 2008
WaMu -- oh woe. Another couple of banks are close to biting the dust.
Zen Investing Wednesday, September 10, 2008
A definite sense of tranquility has descended now that we're 100% in cash.
Four Minutes of Fame Tuesday, September 9, 2008
That's how long the market rallied yesterday.
Safe or Out? Monday, September 8, 2008
Actually, we're both.
Deranged Friday, September 5, 2008
The trading range ended with a bang.
Walking the Straight and Narrow Thursday, September 4, 2008
The trading range will narrow further today -- will increasing volume get us out of it?
It's Gustav's Fault Wednesday, September 3, 2008
One of my data sources is in New Orleans, or was.
About Face! Tuesday, September 2, 2008
The Dow gave back almost all of its previous day's gains.
A Good Time Was Had By All Friday, August 29, 2008
On more volume than has been seen in a week, the Dow gained more than it has in three weeks.
Nothing to Report Thursday, August 28, 2008
Volume was the lowest in two years for a full trading day.
Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Trading volume continues to contract.
From the Sublime to the Ridiculous Tuesday, August 26, 2008
The Olympics have ended.
Will the Last One to Leave Please Turn Out the Lights Monday, August 25, 2008
Volume was the lowest for any full day since Christmas.
Ho Hum Friday, August 22, 2008
More sideways activity on low volume.
Major Players are Still AWOL Thursday, August 21, 2008
Low volume shows there is little interest in the market, is everyone watching the Olympics?
While the Cat's Away, the Mice will Play Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Low volume suggests that institutional traders are already on holiday.
Walking the Straight and Narrow Tuesday, August 19, 2008
The S&P 500 is based on its trendline.
Holiday Madness Monday, August 18, 2008
Labor Day has been pivotal in the past.
Summer Doldrums Friday, August 15, 2008
The lowest volume period of the year is upon us.
Brief Encounter Thursday, August 14, 2008
traveling today, we'll keep it short.
Been There, Done That Wednesday, August 13, 2008
Twice in 12 months as a matter of fact.
It's Moot Tuesday, August 12, 2008
The Dow broke out of its ascending triangle yesterday no matter how you calculate its high.
Close Only Counts in Horseshoes Monday, August 11, 2008
The Dow fell short of a new intraday high by 12 points.
Back in the Saddle Again Friday, August 8, 2008
The Dow settled back into its trading range after a single close above it.
Take Five Thursday, August 7, 2008
Or at least take off the three negative days the Daily Rating is predicting.
Picky, Picky, Picky Wednesday, August 6, 2008
It was a great day, but some hurdles are close at hand.
What Goes Up Must Come Down, Spinning Wheel Got To Go Round Tuesday, August 5, 2008
Yeah, but twice in one day is a bit much.
Ding Dong The Witch is Dead Monday, August 4, 2008
The Hindenburg Omen ends at the close today.
Double Reverse Friday, August 1, 2008
Just like in football, it's a great way to trick the opposition.
Missed It By That Much Thursday, July 31, 2008
The S&P 500 came within 65 cents of a new high.
What a Difference a Day Makes, 24 Little Hours Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Important indicators gave new buy signals yesterday and others are improving.
Gettng Close Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Our stops are under pressure, but they have held so far.
Still Hanging Monday, July 28, 2008
Friday wasn't too bad when you consider the alternative.
Hanging by a Thread Friday, July 25, 2008
It was a terrible day, but none of our stops was triggered.
Did Some Buying Thursday, July 24, 2008
Qs and SPY are close to a breakout.
Gone Fishing Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Reports will be abbreviated until Labor Day.
Little to Add Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Yesterday was neutral, but low volume gave a positive sign.
So What Else is New? Monday, July 21, 2008
Several indicators are pointing in different directions.
Time Signature Friday, July 18, 2008
Just like a waltz, the market seems to be set at 3/4 time.
Day Two Thursday, July 17, 2008
The VIX 3-day buy signal is one day old and will need the support of other indicators.
What'll They Do for an Encore Wednesday, July 16, 2008
The economic stimulus package has produced modest results, so now what?.
Take the Day Off Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Win, lose or draw, there is no way I can justify a reentry today.
Catch a Falling Knife and Put it in your Pocket Monday, July 14, 2008
Looking for a bottom.
Back to the Drawing Board Friday, July 11, 2008
The new lows ended the Kangaroo Tail entries, but new ones may form today.
No Harm, No Foul Thursday, July 10, 2008
The market gave back its gains and then some, but our buys didn't get triggered.
The Swing has Swung, the Market has Riz Wednesday, July 9, 2008
The new Swing Oscillator gave a buy signal.
Swing Low Tuesday, July 8, 2008
A new bottom indicator -- still a work in progress -- shows promise.
I'm Feeling Mighty Loooooow Monday, July 7, 2008
Candy Candido -- 1946.
Mitigating Circumstances Thursday, July 3, 2008
As far as buying today is concerned, there are none.
Good Intentions Wednesday, July 2, 2008
And we know where that road often leads.
Form Over Substance Tuesday, July 1, 2008
Lots of volume for a Monday, but little progress.
Where Am I, What Happened? Monday, June 30, 2008
We try to get our bearings.
The Hair of the Dog that Bit Us Friday, June 27, 2008
Looking for a port of entry.
Round and Round She Goes Thursday, June 26, 2008
The Dow gained 45 points in the hour following the FOMC announcement, but it covered 323 points in doing so.
Still Hanging Wednesday, June 25, 2008
Not much happened, but we're approaching the March lows and it's important they hold.
Hanging by a Thread Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Many indicators are about to give buy signals, but QQQQ came within four cents of our stop.
Elder Statesman Monday, June 23, 2008
Dr. elder is waiting for an entry, but he's definitely waiting on the buy side.
Numbers Only Friday, June 20, 2008
I'll be back to LA in time for a normal length report on Monday.
Busman's Holiday Thursday, June 19, 2008
I'm on my way to a one-day lecture tomorrow by Alexander Elder, on selling.
Omen-ous Wednesday, June 18, 2008
A sell signal was given by the infamous Hindenburg Omen on Monday and confirmed yesterday.
What a Difference a Day Makes Tuesday, June 17, 2008
Friday's favorable signs didn't survive Monday's trading.
Taking Stock Monday, June 16, 2008
The indicators are turning positive on balance, is it time to take another bite?
Secret Fantasy Friday, June 13, 2008
Exxon's decision to get out of the retail gasoline business fulfills a long-held wish of mine.
100% Guaranteed Thursday, June 12, 2008
Not one, but two e-mails proclaimed yesterday as the low.
Stay of Execution Wednesday, June 11, 2008
SPY came within 0.32 points of it, but did not reach its mental stop.
Stop Already Tuesday, June 10, 2008
There is little chance that SPY will survive its mental stop.
Here Today, Gone Tomorrow Monday, June 9, 2008
What Buy & Hold hucksters never tell you.
Deflating the Oil Bubble Friday, June 6, 2008
Relief is possible this fall.
The Pot Calling the Kettle Safe Thursday, June 5, 2008
Merrill Lynch just upgraded Lehman Brothers.
Eye of the Storm Wednesday, June 4, 2008
Between now and the election there is a good opportunity for a rally.
And The Beat Goes On Tuesday, June 3, 2008
Don't expect much from the market this week.
Win, Place and Show Monday, June 2, 2008
Who's winning and what it means.
Where's the Beef? Friday, May 30, 2008
We're going to need a push from more volume to get out of this rut.
Running in Place Thursday, May 29, 2008
A lot of bluster, but no progress.
A Tough Row to Hoe Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Don't let yesterday's positive move lull you into complacency, there are still hurdles to overcome.
Damaged Goods Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Several indicators were harmed by Friday's decline, which also came close to producing a well known negative chart pattern.
Take the Day Off Friday, May 23, 2008
For 10 years, the average Friday before Memorial Day has traded lower on light volume.
FOMC FOMC FOMC Thursday, May 22, 2008
Things were doing pretty well until the echo of the April FOMC meeting was heard at 2 PM
Hitting the Wall Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Is the marathon over, or do we just need to catch our breath?
Been There, Done That Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Something looks familiar, and it's okay.
Messing with Mister In-Between Monday, May 19, 2008
Reuters has reversed Bing Crosby's philosophy.
The Lay of the Land Friday, May 16, 2008
Getting our bearings.
Interference Thursday, May 15, 2008
Out of phase signals cancel each other out.
A Rare Buy Signal Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Enough Fidelity Select Funds jumped above their 45-week moving averages to produce a buy signal.
Déjà Vu All Over Again Tuesday, May 13, 2008
QQQQ is within 2 cents of where it was when we sold half our position.
A Word to the Wise Monday, May 12, 2008
When excited by a new investment vehicle it's often best to lie down until the feeling goes away.
The Beauty was Just Skin Deep Friday, May 9, 2008
Let's not be lulled by one good day.
In the Nick of Time Thursday, May 8, 2008
Fortunately, the market gave us an opportunity to sell half our Qs before it spilled.
Preemptive Strike Wednesday, May 7, 2008
We'll sell half of our QQQQs today.
Whac-a-Bull Tuesday, May 6, 2008
The market was stronger than the averages represent.
A 100-year Event Monday, May 5, 2008
Alan Abelson and I agree on something.
A Day Late and a Dollar Strong Friday, May 2, 2008
It must have dawned on Forex traders that the Fed is probably finished cutting the interest rate.
White Water Thursday, May 1, 2008
The peace and quiet abruptly ended, and reports today may keep things stirred up.
The Barbaric Metal Wednesday, April 30, 2008
Gold fell through its neckline and may take the market with it.
Intermezzo Tuesday, April 29, 2008
Nothing is scheduled for today, but the rest of the week will make up for it.
A Common Thread Monday, April 28, 2008
The University of Michigan Confidence Index fell to its lowest level since 1992.
Good to the Last Drop Friday, April 25, 2008
I wish we were talking about coffee, but it's about yesterday's final hour.
Between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea Thursday, April 24, 2008
The market is hypersensitive to news as it bounces between its moving averages.
Measure Twice, Cut Once Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Unfortunately the media doesn't measure at all.
Taking a Time Out Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Volume disappeared -- it was low even for a Monday.
The Head & Shoulders Bottom Formation Monday, April 21, 2008
More than you wanted to know.
The Jury's Out Friday, April 18, 2008
It may take sometime to sort through the evidence, which includes many divergent indicators.
Close Only Counts in Horseshoes Thursday, April 17, 2008
The S&P 500 closed within a point of its Head & Shoulders neckline.
A Play Within a Play Wednesday, April 16, 2008
The main theme is the developing reverse head & shoulders pattern, while the mixed indicators have their own story to tell.
Entr'acte Tuesday, April 15, 2008
A little traveling music Sam.
Go with the Flow Monday, April 14, 2008
It may be okay for salmon, but I see little benefit from swimming upstream in the stock market.
Things are Looking Up Friday, April 11, 2008
Well, there are also some looking down.
What, When and Where Thursday, April 10, 2008
A journalist's approach to the market.
Do or Die Wednesday, April 9, 2008
To continue following the 2002 interim bottom, we must see a rally today.
When the Cat's Away, the Mice Will Play Tuesday, April 8, 2008
In the last four sessions the market rallied through lunch and fell to the close.
Stick with the Program Monday, April 7, 2008
Mixed indicators suggest 50% equities and 50% cash.
I'm bidin' my time, 'cause that's the kinda guy I'm Friday, April 4, 2008
Those Gershwins sure had a way with words.
Like the Red, Red Robin Thursday, April 3, 2008
The rally comes bob, bob, bobbin' along.
Please, Sir I Want Some More Wednesday, April 2, 2008
Careful, remember what happened to Oliver.
The Ducks are in a Row Tuesday, April 1, 2008
Well there's a straggler or two, but they're about as straight as possible.
The Path to Profit Monday, March 31, 2008
It may be narrow, but it isn't straight.
Which one will the Fountain Bless? Friday, March 28, 2008
This time thee are just two coins instead of three.
When is Bad News, Good News? Thursday, March 27, 2008
Answer: When it's wrong.
The Race is not to the Swift... Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Important indicators are about to give signals, but they are not unanimous.
Even Spinach Looks Good if You're Hungry Enough Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Existing home sales ticked up by a pittance and home-building stocks "soared."
What Are the Odds? Monday, March 24, 2008
We evaluate the risk and reward of buying now.
One Penny Opera Thursday, March 20, 2008
The StreetTracks Gold Trust fell to within one penny of our stop loss.
Dow Adds Four Points Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Actually it added four points to the 416 it gained a week ago and jumped 420 -- the third biggest point gain ever.
Double Jeopardy Tuesday, March 18, 2008
To make a winning trade today one must guess both the size of the rate cut, and the market's reaction to it.
This Is The Week That Is Monday, March 17, 2008
Every week is uncertain, but this one will be more so because of the FOMC announcement, the options expiration and the 3-day weekend.
Returning to the Scene of the Crime Friday, March 14, 2008
The Dow's low was within 17 points of its 2000 high.
R-SIP and Old Lace Thursday, March 13, 2008
Sorry, I can't pass up a pun.
Buy and Hold Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Does the mantra of the fund managers have value?
Are We There Yet? Tuesday, March 11, 2008
The rubber band is stretched pretty tight, but the question is, when will it snap back?
"With self-discipline most anything is possible." -- Theodore Roosevelt Monday, March 10, 2008
I really didn't want to sell SPY, but I did it anyway.
The Ides of March Friday, March 7, 2008
Now that new lows have been established, it will take at least a week for indicators to regroup.
Good to the Last Drop Thursday, March 6, 2008
The S&P 500 tested its low for the fourth time in a row -- are we there yet?
Back from the Brink Wednesday, March 5, 2008
A late afternoon rally recovered 112 Dow points and produced a gain for the NASDAQ."
VIX to the Rescue Tuesday, March 4, 2008
A VIX 3-day buy signal starts today -- the 14th in 11 months."
What Goes Around Comes Around Monday, March 3, 2008
Déjà vu all over again."
Friedrich Nietzsche said: Friday, February 29, 2008
"That which does not kill us makes us stronger."
In Limbo Thursday, February 28, 2008
We've enjoyed a nice bounce, but the going is getting tough.
A Good Start Wednesday, February 27, 2008
The S&P 500 broke out, but there are still obstacles.
Q&D Tuesday, February 26, 2008
A quick and dirty review while traveling.
A Little Traveling Music Monday, February 25, 2008
I'll be traveling this week and will keep the reports as brief as my guilt permits.
Quick Change Artist Friday, February 22, 2008
As the trading range narrows, it takes very little to change the appearance of the market from good to bad, and back again.
Painting Itself Into a Corner Thursday, February 21, 2008
The S&P 500 trading range is narrowing.
A Fond Farewell Wednesday, February 20, 2008
We'll sell Paradigm Kinetics today, after holding it for three years.
Status Quo Tuesday, February 19, 2008
There's been very little action -- the trading range is now one month old.
Take Ten Friday, February 15, 2008
We'll break early for the Monday holiday since the indicators are pulling in opposite directions.
Dubbya Thursday, February 14, 2008
No, I don't mean the President.
Coincidence or Consequence? Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Everything was going along just fine until the Treasury report came out at 2 PM.
Early Losses and Late Wins... Tuesday, February 12, 2008
...recipe for a recovery.
Like Music On Hold... Monday, February 11, 2008
...it's never fun and often too loud.
There's No Place to Go but Up... Friday, February 8, 2008
...when all the indicators hit bottom.
The Last Straw Thursday, February 7, 2008
A Quick Summary Index sell signal was generated yesterday.
Down, but not Out Wednesday, February 6, 2008
The market was hit hard yesterday, but it remains within its trading range.
Runs Like Clockwork Tuesday, February 5, 2008
Several Price/Volume Charts are poised to complete counterclockwise loops.
Up, Up and Away Monday, February 4, 2008
Just keep in mind that the next line is, "my beautiful, my beautiful balloon."
As Night Follows Day Friday, February 1, 2008
With real hourly earnings in the tank, is it any wonder that personal consumption is at a five-year low?
Live by the Sword, Die by the Sword Thursday, January 31, 2008
The Fed cut a half-point from the interest rate, but it was not enough to satisfy the masses.
The Sky is Falling Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Expectations are often worse than reality.
Businessman's Risk or Crapshoot Tuesday, January 29, 2008
The market exhibited considerable strength yesterday, but is it worth the risk?
I'm Feeling Mighty Loooowwww Monday, January 28, 2008
Trying to guess how low "mighty low" is, is the problem.
It Ain't Over Friday, January 25, 2008
Still waiting for the fat lady to sing.
By any other Name Thursday, January 24, 2008
No matter what you call it, yesterday's rally was sweet.
Ben to the Rescue Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Fed slashes key rate 3/4% to prop market.
Damage Control Tuesday, January 22, 2008
How long can we expect the downtrend to last?
What Works and What Doesn't Friday, January 18, 2008
Several of our indicators got us out before the damage, and some did not.
Relatively Speaking Thursday, January 17, 2008
We take a closer look at the Relative Strength Indicator.
I have Good News and Bad News Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Mostly bad.
Balance of Power Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Conflicating indicators are keeping the market in a trading range.
A Tail of Two Kangaroos Monday, January 14, 2008
As we approach a tradable rally we can expect many one-day spikes.
With a Little Help from My Friends Friday, January 11, 2008
Ben Bernanke and the BofA helped make the day a winner.
Use it for Bait Thursday, January 10, 2008
The first rally is likely to be a small one.
Wishful Thinking Wednesday, January 9, 2008
By misreading the pending home sales, one might think there has been an improvement.
Success is How High you Bounce when you Hit the Bottom -- George Patton Tuesday, January 8, 2008
The problem is that the first bounce may be off a ledge, rather than the bottom.
Sit Back and Relax Monday, January 7, 2008
This is a very long report -- I'll make up for it the rest of the week by being brief.
It Ain't Perfect... Friday, January 4, 2008
...but the economic news is nowhere nearly as bad as the politicos would have you believe.
Positively Amazing Thursday, January 3, 2008
In spite of sharply lower indexex, the market displayed considerable internal strength.
Dead Reckoning Wednesday, January 2, 2008
It's time to check how we did in 2007.
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