| Fred
Goodman: 2005
Bearish New Year Friday,
December 30, 2005, 9:13 am It's shaping
up for a drop as 2006 opens -- but that could set the stage for a major rally.
Stocks Fritter, Gold Glitters
December 29, 2005, 2:56 am
Another quiet holiday session, with gold offering
the only excitement.
Time for a Bounce December
28, 2005, 3:35 am Markets dropped to support,
and could have a higher-volume bounce from here.
Get a Good Rest
December 27, 2005, before 12:00
am Use this low-volume holiday week to
prepare yourself for next year's action.
Taking Off for Christmas
December 23, 2005, 9:02 am
Typical -- the market drifts higher on lower and lower
holiday volume.
Christmas Stopping Thursday,
December 22, 2005, 8:41 am Yesterday's
rally stalled into just the go-nowhere market Fred had predicted.
Technicals in Brief
December 21, 2005, before 12:00
am
A Nasty Turn December
20, 2005, 8:42 am No permanent damage yet,
but we're not done testing support.
Are Raindrops Falling on My Head?
December 19, 2005, before 12:00
am Not yet, but the market's skies are
getting grey. Keep your umbrella handy.
Technicals in Brief
December 16, 2005, before 12:00
am
No Cigar for the Dow December
15, 2005, 6:04 am Fred thinks that the
lagging Dow still holds the key to the market getting back in gear.
Almost, But the Stogie is Absent
December 14, 2005, 8:13 am
Yesterday's post-FOMC market victory dance failed
to achieve new highs.
Sell Signal, or Hedge Signal? December
13, 2005, 7:29 am The SI sell signal has
come, but Fred is only using at as a time to hedge.
Fire Sale
December 12, 2005, before 12:00
am It looks like a Summary Index sell signal
is coming at today's close. It may lead to a buying opportunity.
Have A Good Weak End
December 9, 2005, 8:42 am
It now looks like an SI sell signal will come on Monday,
and there are other signs of weakness as well.
Two Days or Two Indicators
December 7, 2005, 8:50 am
We're looking at an SI sell signal in two days unless
two indicators turn up.
The Dow Holds the Key December
6, 2005, 8:43 am If the laggard can't lead
the market to new highs, a sell signal looms ahead.
Dow Not Now -- So When?
December 5, 2005, before 12:00 am
The Dow is lagging, and Fred thinks it holds the key
to further stock advances.
So Now What? December
2, 2005, 8:33 am That was the bounce Fred
predicted -- now can the markets move to new highs?
Learning from Churning
Thursday,
December 1, 2005, 8:42 am Fred still thinks
higher prices lie ahead, but a sell signal may get in the way first.
Go Your Own Way
November 30, 2005, 4:20 am
The markets went their separate ways, as a trading
range emerges.
A Perfectly Predictable Pullback Tuesday,
November 29, 2005, 8:12 am Fred wanted
a pullback, and he got it. Now how bad as it?
Max Headroom
November 28, 2005, 12:27 am
We're due for at least a correction, but there's plenty
of room on the upside.
Thanks! November
23, 2005, 8:46 am It's been a terrific
market -- but after the holiday, it's due for at least a rest.
Pullback Wanted
November 22, 2005, 9:02 am
After four up days, the market needs a rest to extend
its gains the rest of the Thanksgiving holiday week.
A June Balloon for Thanksgiving?
November 21, 2005, before 12:00
am Fred looks for a good week, but thinks
markets may then pause as they did in June.
Are We All Day Traders?
November 18, 2005, 8:44 am
We are on any day that we trade! Fred reports some
good lessons from a day-trading pioneer.
The Odds Favor the Upside November
17, 2005, 2:53 am The Summary Index is
heading down, but a Thanksgiving rally could change that.
Hoping to Give Thanks
November 16, 2005, 8:38 am
Can a traditional Thanksgiving rally hold off an impending
sell signal?
It's Now or Never November
15, 2005, 5:56 am This market had better
make its move by Thanksgiving -- or it will run out of time.
Nudging at Resistance
November 14, 2005, before 12:00
am Fred had to get out his calculator to
see how narrowly the S&P 500 missed getting through overhead resistance.
Ready, Steady, Go
November 11, 2005, 2:58 am
The stage is now set for a test of the highs of the
year.
More Filling than Backing November
10, 2005, 8:43 am As the market consolidates,
Fred is still looking higher.
Just a Pause? Or a Stall? November
9, 2005, 8:42 am Fred looks at the case
that the market doesn't have what it takes here.
Good for the Digestion
November 8, 2005, 8:51 am
In this semi-holiday week, the market can absorb its
gains on low volume in the hopes of moving higher.
It's All Good November
7, 2005 Washington has calmed, volatility
has fallen and my technical indicators are pointing up.
Well Positioned
November 4, 2005, 8:42 am
Markets are in gear to the upside, and Fred is set
to see a challenge of the August highs.
Easter in November
November 3, 2005, 3:41 am
The indicators are acting just like they did coming
off April's bottom.
Pointing Up November
2, 2005, 8:57 am The Summary Index and
the Trend Indicator are in synch to the upside again.
Would You Believe...?
November 1, 2005, 8:41 am
That's right. A Summary Index buy signal. And this
one has a Trend Indicator Uptrend state behind it.
Whipsaw? Nah -- I Love This!
Monday,
October 31, 2005, before 12:00 am Rapid
fire changes in the indicators leave Fred well positioned for the upside and the
downside.
You're Not Going to Believe This October
28, 2005, 4:52 am It's a new sell signal,
just one day after the new buy signal.
Curb Your Enthusiasm
October 27, 2005, 8:46 am
An SI buy signal has arrived, but it's a mixed bag
-- so let's wait for more clarity.
Any Day Now
October 26, 2005, 8:37 am
The market takes a little break as a buy signal draws
near.
Jumping the Gun October
25, 2005, 8:41 am An SI buy signal could
come as soon as tomorrow, but Fred's already buying.
Stocks Glitter, Gold Doesn't
October 24, 2005, before 12:00 am
Fred expects to buy stocks ahead of a buy signal this
week -- but he's bailing on gold.
Is This What Bottoms are Made
Of? October 21,
2005, 7:47 am Don't be too disappointed
by yesterday's give-back -- much good was done.
Very Constructive
Thursday,
October 20, 2005, 6:17 am Yesterday's rally
brought a buy signal closer. Buy now? Or wait for it?
Bottom Indicators
October 19, 2005, 7:09 am
With the Summary Index making historic lows, a bounce
is getting due.
Banded October
18, 2005, 8:42 am Stocks are stuck in the
S&P's support/resistance band -- but a buy signal is coming.
Winding Up for the Upside
October 17, 2005, before 12:00 am
Deeply negative technicals are so extreme, there has
to be an upside play here soon.
Trouble Ahead October
14, 2005, 8:48 am A rally's coming. But
Fred thinks we'll see lower lows before higher highs.
Has Support Become Resistance?
October 12, 2005, 8:45 am
The market faces a test that will determine the rest
of the year's performance.
Broken Band October
11, 2005, 8:49 am The S&P 500's trusty
support band at 1190-1194 was violated. Repair now must be done.
No Positives?
October 10, 2005, before 12:00 am
There's not a single positive indicator now -- and
believe it or not, that's bullish.
Looking for a Bounce
October 7, 2005, 8:17 am
There are lots of negatives, but Fred thinks there's
a short term play here.
Looking For Hope October
6, 2005, 8:42 am Yesterday looked just
awful -- except for a few encouraging signs.
A Negative Consensus October
5, 2005, 8:22 am Fred polls all his indicators,
and most of them are not happy.
Ready for the Test October
4, 2005, 8:41 am The indicators are poised
to support the markets for a new assault on the highs.
A Positive Turn
October 3, 2005, before 12:00 am
Friday's advance swept Fred's indicators higher --
and may sweep the market higher, too.
Take What You Can Get
September 30, 2005, 5:03 am
Fred got the rally he expected, but he would have
preferred a decline first.
Big Deal! September
29, 2005, 7:51 am Yesterday's anemic advance
only beat the previous days' even weaker ones -- but it may signal better things
ahead.
Coming Out of the Quiet Period September
28, 2005, 7:31 am The markets have been
asleep for three days -- and that may be a good thing.
Oversold September
27, 2005, 8:40 am Could be some more weakness
here, but things may be turning up.
Record Time
September 26, 2005, 7:17 am
The Summary Index's positive indicators have completely
reversed in a matter of days.
Just a Little Sanity September
23, 2005, 7:56 am The grim mood of overreaction
to negatives abated midday yesterday.
Overreaction
September 22, 2005, 8:51 am
Investors underreacted to Katrina, and they're overreacting
to Rita.
Getting Negative September
21, 2005, 8:52 am A QSI sell signal arrives
-- but a QSI buy signal may be just around the corner.
Looks Can Be Deceiving
September 20, 2005, 8:38 am
Friday wasn't as good as it looked, and yesterday
wasn't as bad.
Was That the Real Thing? September
19, 2005, before 12:00 am Friday's upside
action may have been an artifact of derivatives trading.
Marking Time
September 16, 2005, 2:37 am
Another run at the highs? Or more likely, a drift
into a sell signal.
Big Thoughts on the "Big
One" September
15, 2005, 2:06 am Are we at the edge of
the major decline that Fred as been worrying about?
Well Done
September 14, 2005, 2:48 am
The weakness Fred predicted arrived right away --
and stocks handled it well.
Tired September
13, 2005, 8:55 am There are signs that
it's getting to be time for a pullback.
Running Out of Gas?
September 12, 2005, before 12:00
am No, not America's energy resources --
Fred means the stock market.
A Matter of Volume September
9, 2005, 8:39 am Fred says higher volume
is necessary if stocks are really going to break out.
Consolidation Station
September 8, 2005, 8:41 am
Volume is low, and markets are struggling against
overhead resistance.
Nice Start
September 7, 2005, 8:41 am
Thursday's buy signal is looking great -- but don't
expect too much from this one.
Advantage: Bulls September
6, 2005, before 12:00 am But it's a slight
edge, and Fred wants to see a breakout before becoming a true believer.
Taking Risk Cautiously
September 2, 2005, 8:46 am
Fred goes bullish -- but he respects the extreme risk
in today's environment.
A Pre-Post-Labor Day Rally?
September 1, 2005, 8:42 am
With yesterday's remarkable technical performance,
things are ahead of schedule.
A Sigh Sighed Too Quickly August
31, 2005, 12:51 am New Orleans ended up
getting the worst of it -- but markets have been surprisingly strong.
Facing the Storm August
30, 2005, 12:29 am The rally yesterday
was impressive -- but this pre-holiday week doesn't mean much.
Okay Everybody, Calm Down
August 29, 2005, before 12:00 am
Last week's volatility should subside as markets relax
for the holiday.
Goodbye Gold August
26, 2005, 9:03 am Fred sells his position
in the yellow metal, while stocks go nowhere fast.
Not As Bad As It Looks
August 25, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred still thinks a post-Labor Day holiday rally is
in the cards.
Finger on the Trigger August
24, 2005, 8:27 am We may be just days away
from the level at which a Quick Summary Index buy signal becomes impossible.
Working Vacation
August 23, 2005, 8:44 am
As we slide into Labor Day laziness, some small technical
improvement.
Hit the Beach August
22, 2005, before 12:00 am Every year it's
the same around Labor Day -- low volume, predictable markets.
Supporting Cast
August 19, 2005, 5:53 am
Stocks tested support yesterday. More of the same
today.
Max Pain August
18, 2005, 1:03 am Yesterday was Energy
and Gold's time to suffer -- the day before, it was everyone else's.
GPS Trade Update
August 17, 2005, 1:12 am
Fred is on vacation today. Here's a quick update of
GPS trades.
Not Exactly Confidence Inspiring August
16, 2005, 8:46 am Yesterday's rally was
on low volume even for a Monday -- a good day to sell
A Signal, But Not The
Signal August
15, 2005, before 12:00 am We have a QSI
sell signal, but it's not the bearish warning Fred expects later this year.
Going for the Gold
August 12, 2005, 8:43 am
Fred's investment in gold pays off immediately, and
there could be more upside.
Complex Currents August
11, 2005, 8:49 am Was yesterday really
such a bad day for stocks? Look again.
Strict Neutrality
August 10, 2005, 9:09 am
Nice bounce yesterday, but the technicals aren't pointing
the way forward yet.
Thank You For Your Support
Tuesday,
August 9, 2005, 8:43 am Three days of decline
stopped yesterday at technical support on the S&P 500.
Reversible Reversal
August 8, 2005, before 12:00 am
A sell signal may be just around the corner, but a
buy signal isn't far behind it.
Vulnerable August
5, 2005, 6:12 am We have a shot at new
highs, but yesterday showed that the upmove is at risk.
Churning, But Not Yet Turning
August 4, 2005, 2:21 am
Stocks have yet to put in a true reaction to recent
gains -- but there's action below the surface.
Enjoy the Profits, But...
August 3, 2005, 2:02 am
A reaction is inevitable at some point, and when it
comes we'll learn from it.
Life Extension August
2, 2005, 3:28 am The rally lacks energy,
but Fred still thinks there's probably still life in it.
Fragile Goods
August 1, 2005, before 12:00 am
How can a market at four-year highs have been so weak
on Friday?
Cruising High Friday,
July 29, 2005, 5:47 am It's another four-year
high for the markets, and we're still fully invested.
Mixed Picture July
28, 2005, 7:49 am We profit as the market
drifts higher, but there are nagging doubts about the future.
A Leaky Tire
July 27, 2005, 2:02 am
Is all the air gradually running out of this rally?
Little Damage, Lost Potential
July 26, 2005, 9:10 am
Yesterday's decline limited the upside in one key
indicator.
The Boomerangs Turn Five July
25, 2005, before 12:00 am Fred celebrates
five years of his Boomerang Indicators with a major upgrade.
Last Minute Weakness
July 22, 2005, 8:55 am
A news-resistant market showed its strength again,
but the last hour was disappointing.
Burning a Hole in his Pocket
July 21, 2005, 2:04 am
Fred is already long -- but he wants to get even longer.
Watchful Waiting
July 20, 2005, 9:11 am
Technically things still look good -- but Intel and
Yahoo! put the market to a test today.
Right On Schedule
July 19, 2005, 9:12 am
The market cooled yesterday, just as expected. Where
do we go from here?
Head and Shoulders Above July
18, 2005, before 12:00 am The head and
shoulders top has been aborted -- now do we have a head and shoulders bottom?
Something for Everyone
July 15, 2005, 8:47 am
The different sectors yesterday sent very different
signals.
The Three Most Important Factors July
14, 2005, 9:11 am Break-out or fake-out?
Here's what to look for in order to know.
Are You Toying With Me?
July 13, 2005, 8:42 am
The S&P 500 may spend a little longer building
up strength for a breakout.
Moving Fast July
12, 2005, 8:47 am The Summary Index has
turned up, and Fred outlines a very bullish short-term scenario.
Think Quick
July 11, 2005, before 12:00 am
We've had a correction -- and now a QSI buy signal
means a new assault on the highs.
Still Above the Band
July 7, 2005, 2:38 am
The S&P 500 approached its support band, but didn't
penetrate it.
The Start of Something Big?
July 6, 2005, 8:50 am
Yesterday's move may have been more than just a bounce.
And Now, A New Program
July 5, 2005, before 12:00 am
Fred looks at a new indicator based on NYSE "program
trading."
B-to-B (Back to the Band) July
1, 2005, 8:42 am The market is back at
support, and may get a bounce in a lazy pre-holiday session.
Waiting for Alan
June 3, 2005, 8:42 am
One big distorting factor faces the markets this afternoon
-- then to the beach!
Okay, That Was A Bounce June
29, 2005, 8:40 am Fred called it -- and
says the market may be setting up for a buy signal.
Bounce Check
June 28, 2005, 8:44 am
As usual, there could be a low-volume bounce following
the latest sell signal.
Defensive, But Not Aggressive
June 27, 2005, before 12:00 am
Fred's locking the barn door -- but he's not selling
the ranch.
Last Chance, and Then... June
24, 2005, 8:41 am The market will have
to rally today to avoid an immediate sell signal.
Sweet Seventeen
June 23, 2005, 8:53 am
How long can the Summary Index hover above the sell
signal trigger level?
Plan Ahead June
22, 2005, 8:45 am Fred addresses readers'
questions about what to do about the coming sell signal.
Volume Fluctuations
June 21, 2005, 1:41 am
High volume followed by low volume -- just as a sell
signal looms on the horizon.
Distorted Volume June
20, 2005, before 12:00 am Don't get all
excited by Friday's derivatives-induced trading -- but there are some bullish
signs.
Sit Back and Enjoy June
17, 2005, 8:47 am The Summary Index sell
signal has been pushed back -- so hang in there a while longer.
Saved By The Bell
June 16, 2005, 2:18 am
A sudden improvement in the indicators has delayed
the sell signal, by perhaps as much as a week.
Unconvinced
June 15, 2005, 8:46 am
Fred doubts a convincing rally can be mounted today,
but without one we'll have an unconvincing Summary Index sell signal.
Lazy Day June
14, 2005, 2:16 am Amid lackluster rangebound
trading, the indicators improved a bit.
Centered and Trendless
June 13, 2005, before 12:00 am
In the middle of a trading range, the market is going
nowhere -- but a sell signal approaches.
Plans To Sell
June 10, 2005, 8:45 am
Fred fine-tunes his plans to lighten up in anticipation
of a sell signal.
Going on Defense June
9, 2005, 8:43 am Looking to a Summary Index
signal, Fred prepares to batten down the hatches.
Fiddling While Rome Burns?
June 8, 2005, 8:07 am
Look below the placid exterior, and yesterday's market
reveals technical risks.
Looking Up June
7, 2005, 4:15 am The support band was tested,
and Fred thinks a rally attempt is in store.
Backing and Filling
June 6, 2005, before 12:00 am
The S&P is hovering just above strong support,
and the NASDAQ is due for a rest.
Volume, Oh Where is the Volume?
June 3, 2005, 8:42 am
It's the weak point for this rally -- and Fred examines
it from every technical angle.
But for a Glitch June
2, 2005, 8:57 am Volume would have confirmed
yesterday's move if it hadn't been for an NYSE foul-up.
Tight Stops
June 1, 2005, 8:52 am
Fred is still willing to buy if the market shows any
strength, but he has an exit strategy too.
Too Perfect to Last?
May 31, 2005, before 12:00 am
Even dormant indicators are all flipping positive
-- good, or too good to be true?
Easy Did It
May 27, 2005, 8:42 am
So much for resistance. Now all we need is volume.
Taking a Holiday
May 26, 2005, 7:02 am
Next week will be crucial, but Fred thinks this week
will be a write-off.
Strike Up The Band May
25, 2005, 7:17 am With a sell signal looming,
the market remains trapped in a narrow band.
Don't Be Too Positive
May 24, 2005, 8:42 am
There are so many positive indicators now that a sell
signal is possible.
A Graying Buy Signal May
23, 2005, before 12:00 am The April 11
Summary Index buy signal -- though profitable -- is getting long in the tooth.
A Pause to Refresh? May
20, 2005, 3:06 am The rally has been nice,
but it's due for at least a quick break.
That's What I'm Talking About
May 19, 2005, 4:17 am
With the S&P 500 through resistance at 1183, all
systems are go.
Right on the Line May
18, 2005, 8:42 am The S&P 500 is poised
to move out above critical resistance.
One of 29 Shines
May 17, 2005, 8:32 am
Fred focuses on a bright star among the 29 indicators
that make up the Summary Index.
Below Average May
16, 2005, before 12:00 am The S&P 500
broke its 200-day moving average -- but that's not necessarily a bad thing.
NASDAQ in the Spotlight
May 13, 2005, 8:40 am
Is the NASDAQ really the strongest index? Or just
the least weak one?
All Clear May
12, 2005, 7:56 am Yesterday's scare in
Washington revealed the market's underlying technical strength.
Averages About
May 11, 2005, 8:46 am
Trapped between two key moving averages, Fred waits
for the market to break out one way or the other.
It's All Relative
May 10, 2005, 8:44 am
Relative volume was strong yesterday, so the
market did better than it appeared.
Stuck Again!
May 9, 2005, before 12:00 am
If it's not one trading range, it's another.
Fleeting Impact
May 6, 2005, 8:55 am
S&P's GM downgrade foiled the Price/Volume charts,
but the rally isn't necessarily over.
Climbing the Wall of Worry
May 5, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred lists the short term challenges a technically
strong market must overcome.
In Position May
4, 2005, 2:51 am Everything's right for
a rally -- without one, it means a test of the lows.
Hidden Strength, Remaining Risks
May 3, 2005, 8:42 am
Monday's dull action masked strength -- but there's
still downside risk.
Different This Time? May
2, 2005, before 12:00 am Does Friday's
rally mean the market will give up is schizophrenic ways?
Running Out of Rope
April 29, 2005, 7:25 am
The market is oversold -- but it's done itself a lot
of damage.
Nothing To Do But Wait April
28, 2005, 8:08 am Stuck in a trading range
on low volume, the market remains deeply oversold.
The Number to Beat
April 27, 2005, 8:11 am
Fred still favors the upside here, and says 1166 will
be an important test for the S&P.
The Sign of the Three
April 26, 2005, 6:15 am
A trio of trusty indicators have all turned to "buy."
But where's the volume?
Odds Favor the Upside April
25, 2005, before 12:00 am Sentiment and
volume are starting to look like could be a good month for stocks.
A Two-Day One-Day Reversal?
April 22, 2005, 8:46 am
Does yesterday's big move mean the decline is over?
It's not that simple.
The Megaphone Gets Louder April
21, 2005, 8:17 am A bearish chart pattern
is completed -- here's how Fred thinks it could lead to a rally.
Shuffling the Deck
April 20, 2005, 3:46 am
Fred plans a major reorganization of his major online
portfolio.
Four is a Charm April
19, 2005, 8:51 am The markets broke their
free-fall -- now what might a recovery look like?
Risk Aversion
April 18, 2005, 12:50 am
Breaking the S&P 500 200-day moving average has
changed the risk/reward picture.
Bad Start, Better Finish?
April 15, 2005, 7:57 am
Fred thinks there's a decent chance that a bad day
today could end well.
Under the Microscope Thursday,
April 14, 2005, 8:29 am For all the violent
swings like yesterday and the day before, the market's barely moving.
Suddenly, It's Spring
April 13, 2005, 8:45 am
Yesterday's turnaround was both fundamental and technical. TECHNICAL
EXCELLENCE
How to Play a Low Volume Buy Signal April
12, 2005, 8:33 am So now we have a buy
signal. But when should we actually buy?
Cliffhanger!
April 11, 2005, before 12:00 am
Friday's decline perched the Summary Index precisely
at the edge.
The Today Show April
8, 2005, 12:00 am Unless there is a big
reversal, a Summary Index buy signal comes at the close today.
Prosperity is Just Around the
Corner? April
7, 2005, 8:41 am A buy signal is coming,
but without volume picking up Fred remains doubtful.
Unfree-Range Chickens
April 6, 2005, 8:46 am
The markets are trapped in a tiny trading range, and
only the NASDAQ shows any spirit.
Adjusting the Volume
April 5, 2005, 4:00 am
The low volume is good. But high volume is needed
to sustain a rally.
That Was the Quarter That Was April
4, 2005, before 12:00 am Fred's portfolios
did okay during a tough quarter. Better days may be ahead.
No Follow-Through
April 1, 2005, 1:41 am
And now a test of the lows is likely, even though
stocks are already oversold.
Where Was the Volume? March
31, 2005, 8:50 am There wasn't any yesterday,
and that means another test of support coming up.
Getting Smart
March 30, 2005, 8:38 am
Fred waits for a big bounce, and studies in detail
his "Smart Money Indicator."
Worry, Worry
March 29, 2005, 8:12 am
With a buy signal on the way, Fred gives the negatives
their due.
Prepare for Liftoff March
28, 2005, before 12:00 am Today, tomorrow,
next week? A rally is just a short matter of time.
A Tip of the Cap
March 24, 2005, 8:02 am
The shift in favor from small stocks to large stocks
came with a jolt yesterday.
Post-Fed Flop March
23, 2005, 5:49 am The decline plays out,
and is starting to get over-extended.
Hope from Adversity
March 22, 2005, 8:35 am
Yesterday's decline carried hidden signs of future
strength.
A Quiet Kind of Strength March
21, 2005, before 12:00 am Neither talking
heads nor expiring derivatives could spook the market Friday.
Good Bad Sentiment
March 18, 2005, 8:43 am
Several market psychological indicators are bearish,
which is good for the bulls.
Looking for Signs
March 17, 2005, 8:42 am
Readers want to know where the bottom is in this move.
Fred has some answers.
Back and Forth March
16, 2005, 8:55 am The market is see-sawing
back and forth in a tiny trading range.
Give Me A Break
March 15, 2005, 8:54 am
Yesterday's rally was nice, but probably just a respite
in a soggy market.
Whipsaw! March
14, 2005, before 12:00 am A sell signal
rears its ugly head, just ten days after the last buy.
Damaged Goods
March 11, 2005, 8:42 am
The market takes another technical hit, and the buy
signal hangs by a thread.
Megaphone Top? March
10, 2005, 8:51 am The S&P 500 is perfectly
playing out a classic chart pattern.
Damage Under the Surface
March 9, 2005, 8:44 am
Yesterday's small decline may have been worse than
it looked.
The Vigor Thing March
8, 2005, 8:40 am The NASDAQ caught up yesterday,
but value is still outperforming growth.
Rational Exuberance
March 7, 2005, before 12:00 am
It's a buy signal, but the next sell could come quickly.
Either Way
March 4, 2005, 5:28 am
Fred looks at the bull case and the bear case: both
are very real. TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE
Close, But No Cigar March
3, 2005, 12:00 am We didn't break through
the old highs yesterday, but there are positive signs.
It'll Pay to Wait March
2, 2005, 8:32 am We're just one indicator
away from a buy signal, but risk still abounds.
Positives and Negatives
March 1, 2005, 8:51 am
Bad day yesterday, but there were signs of technical
strength.
Not So Fast February
28, 2005, before 12:00 am New calendar
year highs don't necessarily mean a coming breakout -- but Fred has a plan either
way.
Mutual Attraction February
25, 2005, 8:34 am Fred talks about three
mutual funds he likes for the next buy signal.
Support Becomes Resistance
February 24, 2005, 8:46 am
Yesterday's rally failed at what should have been
support in Tuesday's decline.
Sharp -- And Short, Too? February
23, 2005, 5:38 am Fred sees some reasons
to believe this decline could be short-lived.
A World of Almosts
February 22, 2005, before 12:00
am Stocks are almost a sell, and gold is
almost a buy.
Only Gold Glitters February
18, 2005, 8:27 am Yesterday's decline hastens
the sell signal, but gold could be a buy soon.
Making It Up In Volume
February 17, 2005, 8:56 am
There can't be an assault on the December highs until
trading picks up.
That Close! February
16, 2005, 8:57 am Stocks missed a new high
-- and now they wait for Greenspan.
New Highs, More Sighs
February 15, 2005, 8:30 am
It's high ground for calendar 2005, but volume has
suddenly dried up.
Granted a Deferment
February 14, 2005, before 12:00
am The sell signal, once imminent, has
been put on hold for days or weeks.
Bull Trap or Bear Trap?
February 11, 2005, 8:59 am
It could go either way -- the market is on the brink.
Hanging by a Thread February
10, 2005, 9:01 am Yesterday damaged the
technical condition of the market, but it ain't over till it's over.
His Highness
February 9, 2005, 9:00 am
Fred analyzes why it's so important for the market
to establish new highs in this move.
Eyeing the Highs
February 8, 2005, 8:32 am
With only one negative indicator, can the market take
out the highs?
Looking One Move Ahead February
7, 2005, before 12:00 am The buy signal
is great -- but let's plan what to do on the next sell.
Bad Day, Good Day
February 4, 2005, 3:37 am
The market failed at resistance again -- but it closed
above support.
Resistance Wasn't Futile February
3, 2005, 4:05 am As predicted, the market
hit an upside wall yesterday. Try, try again?
Fateful Weeks
February 2, 2005, 3:25 am
The tone for the whole year could be set by Valentine's
Day.
Dancing on the Street February
1, 2005, 8:54 am A technically strong market
applauded democracy in Iraq.
After the Signal
January 31, 2005, before 12:00 am
We have our buy signal -- let's see how it plays out
in this trading range market.
The Envelope Please...
January 28, 2005, 12:35 pm
Did the buy signal happen at the close yesterday?
Here's the answer.
Right on the Line! January
27, 2005, 9:05 am The Summary Index closed
precisely at the buy signal trigger level. Now what?
Any Day Now
January 26, 2005, 7:57 am
Yesterday's rally pooped out in the afternoon, but
Fred still thinks a short-term rally is on its way -- soon.
To Ooze or to Spurt?
January 25, 2005, 9:03 am
Yesterday's drop deferred the buy signal -- but now
it may be a better one when it comes.
Thinking About a Rally
January 24, 2005, before 12:00 am
The indicators are ready to go "buy" this
week. Fred puts it in strategic context.
No Buy Today
January 21, 2005, 9:06 am
Thursday's drop deferred the coming buy signal to
next Monday at the soonest.
Patience Pays January
20, 2005, 8:48 am No buy signal yet --
and Fred expects another test first.
Ducks in a Row
January 19, 2005, 8:59 am
They're all lining up for a buy signal. Jump in now?
Or wait for it?
Poised for Action January
18, 2005, 8:21 am A buy signal is now inevitable,
and Fred closely examines the RSI and the Commitments of Traders reports.
Buy Interrupted
January 14, 2005, 8:50 am
The buy signal has been pushed into next week -- but
the bullish stars are lining up.
Quietly Coming Together
January 13, 2005, 8:51 am
Yesterday's quiet market concealed a bullish transformation.
Groundhog Year
January 12, 2005, 8:43 am
A number of indicators are acting just like they did
a year ago.
Drifting Toward a Buy
January 11, 2005, 8:50 am
We move closer to a Summary Index buy signal -- but
Fred is worried about the long term.
On the Other Hand
January 10, 2005, 9:41 am
Fred considers some serious negatives clouding the
horizon.
The Quarter Ahead January
7, 2005, 8:27 am Maybe the parallel to
1999/2000 has some more life in it after all.
A Break from Tradition
January 6, 2005, 8:16 am
The parallel with 1999/2000 is over -- and that may
be a bullish sign.
Marching in Parallel January
5, 2005, 8:23 am Yesterday's big drop was
the perfect echo of the same day in 2000.
The Ominous Parallels Continue
January 4, 2005, 8:01 am
As expected, the first day of 2005 was just like the
first day of 2000.
Locating Stocks with GPS January
3, 2005, 9:21 am Here it is -- the first
buy list from Fred's new technical stock-picking system. More
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