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Fred Goodman: 2005
Bearish New Year
Friday,
December 30, 2005, 9:13 am
It's shaping up for a drop as 2006 opens --
but that could set the stage for a major rally.
Stocks Fritter, Gold Glitters
December 29, 2005, 2:56 am
Another quiet holiday session, with gold
offering the only excitement.
Time for a Bounce
December 28, 2005, 3:35 am
Markets dropped to support, and could have a
higher-volume bounce from here.
Get a Good Rest
December 27, 2005, before
12:00 am
Use this low-volume holiday week to prepare
yourself for next year's action.
Taking Off for Christmas
December 23, 2005, 9:02 am
Typical -- the market drifts higher on lower
and lower holiday volume.
Christmas Stopping
Thursday,
December 22, 2005, 8:41 am
Yesterday's rally stalled into just the
go-nowhere market Fred had predicted.
Technicals in Brief
December 21, 2005, before
12:00 am
A Nasty Turn
December 20, 2005, 8:42 am
No permanent damage yet, but we're not done
testing support.
Are Raindrops Falling on My Head?
December 19, 2005, before
12:00 am
Not yet, but the market's skies are getting
grey. Keep your umbrella handy.
Technicals in Brief
December 16, 2005, before
12:00 am
No Cigar for the Dow
December 15, 2005, 6:04 am
Fred thinks that the lagging Dow still holds
the key to the market getting back in gear.
Almost, But the Stogie is Absent
December 14, 2005, 8:13 am
Yesterday's post-FOMC market victory dance
failed to achieve new highs.
Sell Signal, or Hedge Signal?
December 13, 2005, 7:29 am
The SI sell signal has come, but Fred is
only using at as a time to hedge.
Fire Sale
December 12, 2005, before
12:00 am
It looks like a Summary Index sell signal is
coming at today's close. It may lead to a buying opportunity.
Have A Good Weak End
December 9, 2005, 8:42 am
It now looks like an SI sell signal will
come on Monday, and there are other signs of weakness as well.
Two Days or Two Indicators
December 7, 2005, 8:50 am
We're looking at an SI sell signal in two
days unless two indicators turn up.
The Dow Holds the Key
December 6, 2005, 8:43 am
If the laggard can't lead the market to new
highs, a sell signal looms ahead.
Dow Not Now -- So When?
December 5, 2005, before
12:00 am
The Dow is lagging, and Fred thinks it holds
the key to further stock advances.
So Now What?
December 2, 2005, 8:33 am
That was the bounce Fred predicted -- now
can the markets move to new highs?
Learning from Churning
Thursday,
December 1, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred still thinks higher prices lie ahead,
but a sell signal may get in the way first.
Go Your Own Way
November 30, 2005, 4:20 am
The markets went their separate ways, as a
trading range emerges.
A Perfectly Predictable Pullback
Tuesday,
November 29, 2005, 8:12 am
Fred wanted a pullback, and he got it. Now
how bad as it?
Max Headroom
November 28, 2005, 12:27
am
We're due for at least a correction, but
there's plenty of room on the upside.
Thanks!
November 23, 2005, 8:46 am
It's been a terrific market -- but after the
holiday, it's due for at least a rest.
Pullback Wanted
November 22, 2005, 9:02 am
After four up days, the market needs a rest
to extend its gains the rest of the Thanksgiving holiday week.
A June Balloon for Thanksgiving?
November 21, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred looks for a good week, but thinks
markets may then pause as they did in June.
Are We All Day Traders?
November 18, 2005, 8:44 am
We are on any day that we trade! Fred
reports some good lessons from a day-trading pioneer.
The Odds Favor the Upside
November 17, 2005, 2:53 am
The Summary Index is heading down, but a
Thanksgiving rally could change that.
Hoping to Give Thanks
November 16, 2005, 8:38 am
Can a traditional Thanksgiving rally hold
off an impending sell signal?
It's Now or Never
November 15, 2005, 5:56 am
This market had better make its move by
Thanksgiving -- or it will run out of time.
Nudging at Resistance
November 14, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred had to get out his calculator to see
how narrowly the S&P 500 missed getting through overhead resistance.
Ready, Steady, Go
November 11, 2005, 2:58 am
The stage is now set for a test of the highs
of the year.
More Filling than Backing
November 10, 2005, 8:43 am
As the market consolidates, Fred is still
looking higher.
Just a Pause? Or a Stall?
November 9, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred looks at the case that the market
doesn't have what it takes here.
Good for the Digestion
November 8, 2005, 8:51 am
In this semi-holiday week, the market can
absorb its gains on low volume in the hopes of moving higher.
It's All Good
November 7, 2005
Washington has calmed, volatility has fallen and my technical indicators
are pointing up.
Well Positioned
November 4, 2005, 8:42 am
Markets are in gear to the upside, and Fred
is set to see a challenge of the August highs.
Easter in November
November 3, 2005, 3:41 am
The indicators are acting just like they did
coming off April's bottom.
Pointing Up
November 2, 2005, 8:57 am
The Summary Index and the Trend Indicator
are in synch to the upside again.
Would You Believe...?
November 1, 2005, 8:41 am
That's right. A Summary Index buy signal.
And this one has a Trend Indicator Uptrend state behind it.
Whipsaw? Nah -- I Love This!
Monday,
October 31, 2005, before 12:00 am
Rapid fire changes in the indicators leave
Fred well positioned for the upside and the downside.
You're Not Going to Believe This
October 28, 2005, 4:52 am
It's a new sell signal, just one day after
the new buy signal.
Curb Your Enthusiasm
October 27, 2005, 8:46 am
An SI buy signal has arrived, but it's a
mixed bag -- so let's wait for more clarity.
Any Day Now
October 26, 2005, 8:37 am
The market takes a little break as a buy
signal draws near.
Jumping the Gun
October 25, 2005, 8:41 am
An SI buy signal could come as soon as
tomorrow, but Fred's already buying.
Stocks Glitter, Gold Doesn't
October 24, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred expects to buy stocks ahead of a buy
signal this week -- but he's bailing on gold.
Is This What Bottoms are Made Of?
October 21, 2005, 7:47 am
Don't be too disappointed by yesterday's
give-back -- much good was done.
Very Constructive
Thursday,
October 20, 2005, 6:17 am
Yesterday's rally brought a buy signal
closer. Buy now? Or wait for it?
Bottom Indicators
October 19, 2005, 7:09 am
With the Summary Index making historic lows,
a bounce is getting due.
Banded
October 18, 2005, 8:42 am
Stocks are stuck in the S&P's
support/resistance band -- but a buy signal is coming.
Winding Up for the Upside
October 17, 2005, before
12:00 am
Deeply negative technicals are so extreme,
there has to be an upside play here soon.
Trouble Ahead
October 14, 2005, 8:48 am
A rally's coming. But Fred thinks we'll see
lower lows before higher highs.
Has Support Become Resistance?
October 12, 2005, 8:45 am
The market faces a test that will determine
the rest of the year's performance.
Broken Band
October 11, 2005,
8:49 am
The S&P 500's trusty support band at
1190-1194 was violated. Repair now must be done.
No Positives?
October 10, 2005, before
12:00 am
There's not a single positive indicator now
-- and believe it or not, that's bullish.
Looking for a Bounce
October 7, 2005, 8:17 am
There are lots of negatives, but Fred thinks
there's a short term play here.
Looking For Hope
October 6, 2005, 8:42 am
Yesterday looked just awful -- except for a
few encouraging signs.
A Negative Consensus
October 5, 2005, 8:22 am
Fred polls all his indicators, and most of
them are not happy.
Ready for the Test
October 4, 2005, 8:41 am
The indicators are poised to support the
markets for a new assault on the highs.
A Positive Turn
October 3, 2005, before
12:00 am
Friday's advance swept Fred's indicators
higher -- and may sweep the market higher, too.
Take What You Can Get
September 30, 2005, 5:03
am
Fred got the rally he expected, but he would
have preferred a decline first.
Big Deal!
September 29, 2005, 7:51 am
Yesterday's anemic advance only beat the
previous days' even weaker ones -- but it may signal better things
ahead.
Coming Out of the Quiet Period
September 28, 2005, 7:31
am
The markets have been asleep for three days
-- and that may be a good thing.
Oversold
September 27, 2005, 8:40
am
Could be some more weakness here, but things
may be turning up.
Record Time
September 26, 2005, 7:17
am
The Summary Index's positive indicators have
completely reversed in a matter of days.
Just a Little Sanity
September 23, 2005, 7:56
am
The grim mood of overreaction to negatives
abated midday yesterday.
Overreaction
September 22, 2005, 8:51
am
Investors underreacted to Katrina, and
they're overreacting to Rita.
Getting Negative
September 21, 2005, 8:52
am
A QSI sell signal arrives -- but a QSI buy
signal may be just around the corner.
Looks Can Be Deceiving
September 20, 2005, 8:38
am
Friday wasn't as good as it looked, and
yesterday wasn't as bad.
Was That the Real Thing?
September 19, 2005, before
12:00 am
Friday's upside action may have been an
artifact of derivatives trading.
Marking Time
September 16, 2005, 2:37
am
Another run at the highs? Or more likely, a
drift into a sell signal.
Big Thoughts on the "Big One"
September 15, 2005, 2:06
am
Are we at the edge of the major decline that
Fred as been worrying about?
Well Done
September 14, 2005, 2:48
am
The weakness Fred predicted arrived right
away -- and stocks handled it well.
Tired
September 13, 2005, 8:55
am
There are signs that it's getting to be time
for a pullback.
Running Out of Gas?
September 12, 2005, before
12:00 am
No, not America's energy resources -- Fred
means the stock market.
A Matter of Volume
September 9, 2005, 8:39 am
Fred says higher volume is necessary if
stocks are really going to break out.
Consolidation Station
September 8, 2005, 8:41 am
Volume is low, and markets are struggling
against overhead resistance.
Nice Start
September 7, 2005, 8:41 am
Thursday's buy signal is looking great --
but don't expect too much from this one.
Advantage: Bulls
September 6, 2005, before
12:00 am
But it's a slight edge, and Fred wants to
see a breakout before becoming a true believer.
Taking Risk Cautiously
September 2, 2005, 8:46 am
Fred goes bullish -- but he respects the
extreme risk in today's environment.
A Pre-Post-Labor Day Rally?
September 1, 2005, 8:42 am
With yesterday's remarkable technical
performance, things are ahead of schedule.
A Sigh Sighed Too Quickly
August 31, 2005, 12:51 am
New Orleans ended up getting the worst of it
-- but markets have been surprisingly strong.
Facing the Storm
August 30, 2005, 12:29 am
The rally yesterday was impressive -- but
this pre-holiday week doesn't mean much.
Okay Everybody, Calm Down
August 29, 2005, before
12:00 am
Last week's volatility should subside as
markets relax for the holiday.
Goodbye Gold
August 26, 2005, 9:03 am
Fred sells his position in the yellow metal,
while stocks go nowhere fast.
Not As Bad As It Looks
August 25, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred still thinks a post-Labor Day holiday
rally is in the cards.
Finger on the Trigger
August 24, 2005, 8:27 am
We may be just days away from the level at
which a Quick Summary Index buy signal becomes impossible.
Working Vacation
August 23, 2005, 8:44 am
As we slide into Labor Day laziness, some
small technical improvement.
Hit the Beach
August 22, 2005, before
12:00 am
Every year it's the same around Labor Day --
low volume, predictable markets.
Supporting Cast
August 19, 2005, 5:53 am
Stocks tested support yesterday. More of the
same today.
Max Pain
August 18, 2005, 1:03 am
Yesterday was Energy and Gold's time to
suffer -- the day before, it was everyone else's.
GPS Trade Update
August 17, 2005, 1:12 am
Fred is on vacation today. Here's a quick
update of GPS trades.
Not Exactly Confidence Inspiring
August 16, 2005, 8:46 am
Yesterday's rally was on low volume even for
a Monday -- a good day to sell
A Signal, But Not The Signal
August 15, 2005, before
12:00 am
We have a QSI sell signal, but it's not the
bearish warning Fred expects later this year.
Going for the Gold
August 12, 2005, 8:43 am
Fred's investment in gold pays off
immediately, and there could be more upside.
Complex Currents
August 11, 2005, 8:49 am
Was yesterday really such a bad day for
stocks? Look again.
Strict Neutrality
August 10, 2005, 9:09 am
Nice bounce yesterday, but the technicals
aren't pointing the way forward yet.
Thank You For Your Support
Tuesday,
August 9, 2005, 8:43 am
Three days of decline stopped yesterday at
technical support on the S&P 500.
Reversible Reversal
August 8, 2005, before
12:00 am
A sell signal may be just around the corner,
but a buy signal isn't far behind it.
Vulnerable
August 5, 2005, 6:12 am
We have a shot at new highs, but yesterday
showed that the upmove is at risk.
Churning, But Not Yet Turning
August 4, 2005, 2:21 am
Stocks have yet to put in a true reaction to
recent gains -- but there's action below the surface.
Enjoy the Profits, But...
August 3, 2005, 2:02 am
A reaction is inevitable at some point, and
when it comes we'll learn from it.
Life Extension
August 2, 2005, 3:28 am
The rally lacks energy, but Fred still
thinks there's probably still life in it.
Fragile Goods
August 1, 2005, before
12:00 am
How can a market at four-year highs have
been so weak on Friday?
Cruising High
Friday,
July 29, 2005, 5:47 am
It's another four-year high for the markets,
and we're still fully invested.
Mixed Picture
July 28, 2005, 7:49 am
We profit as the market drifts higher, but
there are nagging doubts about the future.
A Leaky Tire
July 27, 2005, 2:02 am
Is all the air gradually running out of this
rally?
Little Damage, Lost Potential
July 26, 2005, 9:10 am
Yesterday's decline limited the upside in
one key indicator.
The Boomerangs Turn Five
July 25, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred celebrates five years of his Boomerang
Indicators with a major upgrade.
Last Minute Weakness
July 22, 2005, 8:55 am
A news-resistant market showed its strength
again, but the last hour was disappointing.
Burning a Hole in his Pocket
July 21, 2005, 2:04 am
Fred is already long -- but he wants to get
even longer.
Watchful Waiting
July 20, 2005, 9:11 am
Technically things still look good -- but
Intel and Yahoo! put the market to a test today.
Right On Schedule
July 19, 2005, 9:12 am
The market cooled yesterday, just as
expected. Where do we go from here?
Head and Shoulders Above
July 18, 2005, before
12:00 am
The head and shoulders top has been aborted
-- now do we have a head and shoulders bottom?
Something for Everyone
July 15, 2005, 8:47 am
The different sectors yesterday sent very
different signals.
The Three Most Important Factors
July 14, 2005, 9:11 am
Break-out or fake-out? Here's what to look
for in order to know.
Are You Toying With Me?
July 13, 2005, 8:42 am
The S&P 500 may spend a little longer
building up strength for a breakout.
Moving Fast
July 12, 2005, 8:47 am
The Summary Index has turned up, and Fred
outlines a very bullish short-term scenario.
Think Quick
July 11, 2005, before
12:00 am
We've had a correction -- and now a QSI buy
signal means a new assault on the highs.
Still Above the Band
July 7, 2005, 2:38 am
The S&P 500 approached its support band, but
didn't penetrate it.
The Start of Something Big?
July 6, 2005, 8:50 am
Yesterday's move may have been more than
just a bounce.
And Now, A New Program
July 5, 2005, before 12:00
am
Fred looks at a new indicator based on NYSE
"program trading."
B-to-B (Back to the Band)
July 1, 2005, 8:42 am
The market is back at support, and may get a
bounce in a lazy pre-holiday session.
Waiting for Alan
June 3, 2005, 8:42 am
One big distorting factor faces the markets
this afternoon -- then to the beach!
Okay, That Was A Bounce
June 29, 2005, 8:40 am
Fred called it -- and says the market may be
setting up for a buy signal.
Bounce Check
June 28, 2005, 8:44 am
As usual, there could be a low-volume bounce
following the latest sell signal.
Defensive, But Not Aggressive
June 27, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred's locking the barn door -- but he's not
selling the ranch.
Last Chance, and Then...
June 24, 2005, 8:41 am
The market will have to rally today to avoid
an immediate sell signal.
Sweet Seventeen
June 23, 2005, 8:53 am
How long can the Summary Index hover above
the sell signal trigger level?
Plan Ahead
June 22, 2005, 8:45 am
Fred addresses readers' questions about what
to do about the coming sell signal.
Volume Fluctuations
June 21, 2005, 1:41 am
High volume followed by low volume -- just
as a sell signal looms on the horizon.
Distorted Volume
June 20, 2005, before
12:00 am
Don't get all excited by Friday's
derivatives-induced trading -- but there are some bullish signs.
Sit Back and Enjoy
June 17, 2005, 8:47 am
The Summary Index sell signal has been
pushed back -- so hang in there a while longer.
Saved By The Bell
June 16, 2005, 2:18 am
A sudden improvement in the indicators has
delayed the sell signal, by perhaps as much as a week.
Unconvinced
June 15, 2005, 8:46 am
Fred doubts a convincing rally can be
mounted today, but without one we'll have an unconvincing Summary Index
sell signal.
Lazy Day
June 14, 2005, 2:16 am
Amid lackluster rangebound trading, the
indicators improved a bit.
Centered and Trendless
June 13, 2005, before
12:00 am
In the middle of a trading range, the market
is going nowhere -- but a sell signal approaches.
Plans To Sell
June 10, 2005, 8:45 am
Fred fine-tunes his plans to lighten up in
anticipation of a sell signal.
Going on Defense
June 9, 2005, 8:43 am
Looking to a Summary Index signal, Fred
prepares to batten down the hatches.
Fiddling While Rome Burns?
June 8, 2005, 8:07 am
Look below the placid exterior, and
yesterday's market reveals technical risks.
Looking Up
June 7, 2005, 4:15 am
The support band was tested, and Fred thinks
a rally attempt is in store.
Backing and Filling
June 6, 2005, before 12:00
am
The S&P is hovering just above strong
support, and the NASDAQ is due for a rest.
Volume, Oh Where is the Volume?
June 3, 2005, 8:42 am
It's the weak point for this rally -- and
Fred examines it from every technical angle.
But for a Glitch
June 2, 2005, 8:57 am
Volume would have confirmed yesterday's move
if it hadn't been for an NYSE foul-up.
Tight Stops
June 1, 2005, 8:52 am
Fred is still willing to buy if the market
shows any strength, but he has an exit strategy too.
Too Perfect to Last?
May 31, 2005, before 12:00
am
Even dormant indicators are all flipping
positive -- good, or too good to be true?
Easy Did It
May 27, 2005, 8:42 am
So much for resistance. Now all we need is
volume.
Taking a Holiday
May 26, 2005, 7:02 am
Next week will be crucial, but Fred thinks
this week will be a write-off.
Strike Up The Band
May 25, 2005, 7:17 am
With a sell signal looming, the market
remains trapped in a narrow band.
Don't Be Too Positive
May 24, 2005, 8:42 am
There are so many positive indicators now
that a sell signal is possible.
A Graying Buy Signal
May 23, 2005, before 12:00
am
The April 11 Summary Index buy signal --
though profitable -- is getting long in the tooth.
A Pause to Refresh?
May 20, 2005, 3:06 am
The rally has been nice, but it's due for at
least a quick break.
That's What I'm Talking About
May 19, 2005, 4:17 am
With the S&P 500 through resistance at 1183,
all systems are go.
Right on the Line
May 18, 2005, 8:42 am
The S&P 500 is poised to move out above
critical resistance.
One of 29 Shines
May 17, 2005, 8:32 am
Fred focuses on a bright star among the 29
indicators that make up the Summary Index.
Below Average
May 16, 2005, before 12:00
am
The S&P 500 broke its 200-day moving average
-- but that's not necessarily a bad thing.
NASDAQ in the Spotlight
May 13, 2005, 8:40 am
Is the NASDAQ really the strongest index? Or
just the least weak one?
All Clear
May 12, 2005, 7:56 am
Yesterday's scare in Washington revealed the
market's underlying technical strength.
Averages About
May 11, 2005, 8:46 am
Trapped between two key moving averages,
Fred waits for the market to break out one way or the other.
It's All Relative
May 10, 2005, 8:44 am
Relative volume was strong yesterday,
so the market did better than it appeared.
Stuck Again!
May 9, 2005, before 12:00
am
If it's not one trading range, it's another.
Fleeting Impact
May 6, 2005, 8:55 am
S&P's GM downgrade foiled the Price/Volume
charts, but the rally isn't necessarily over.
Climbing the Wall of Worry
May 5, 2005, 8:42 am
Fred lists the short term challenges a
technically strong market must overcome.
In Position
May 4, 2005, 2:51 am
Everything's right for a rally -- without
one, it means a test of the lows.
Hidden Strength, Remaining Risks
May 3, 2005, 8:42 am
Monday's dull action masked strength -- but
there's still downside risk.
Different This Time?
May 2, 2005, before 12:00
am
Does Friday's rally mean the market will
give up is schizophrenic ways?
Running Out of Rope
April 29, 2005, 7:25 am
The market is oversold -- but it's done
itself a lot of damage.
Nothing To Do But Wait
April 28, 2005, 8:08 am
Stuck in a trading range on low volume, the
market remains deeply oversold.
The Number to Beat
April 27, 2005, 8:11 am
Fred still favors the upside here, and says
1166 will be an important test for the S&P.
The Sign of the Three
April 26, 2005, 6:15 am
A trio of trusty indicators have all turned
to "buy." But where's the volume?
Odds Favor the Upside
April 25, 2005, before
12:00 am
Sentiment and volume are starting to look
like could be a good month for stocks.
A Two-Day One-Day Reversal?
April 22, 2005, 8:46 am
Does yesterday's big move mean the decline
is over? It's not that simple.
The Megaphone Gets Louder
April 21, 2005, 8:17 am
A bearish chart pattern is completed --
here's how Fred thinks it could lead to a rally.
Shuffling the Deck
April 20, 2005, 3:46 am
Fred plans a major reorganization of his
major online portfolio.
Four is a Charm
April 19, 2005, 8:51 am
The markets broke their free-fall -- now
what might a recovery look like?
Risk Aversion
April 18, 2005, 12:50 am
Breaking the S&P 500 200-day moving average
has changed the risk/reward picture.
Bad Start, Better Finish?
April 15, 2005, 7:57 am
Fred thinks there's a decent chance that a
bad day today could end well.
Under the Microscope
Thursday,
April 14, 2005, 8:29 am
For all the violent swings like yesterday
and the day before, the market's barely moving.
Suddenly, It's Spring
April 13, 2005, 8:45 am
Yesterday's turnaround was both fundamental
and technical.
TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE
How to Play a Low Volume Buy Signal
April 12, 2005, 8:33 am
So now we have a buy signal. But when should
we actually buy?
Cliffhanger!
April 11, 2005, before
12:00 am
Friday's decline perched the Summary Index
precisely at the edge.
The Today Show
April 8, 2005, 12:00 am
Unless there is a big reversal, a Summary
Index buy signal comes at the close today.
Prosperity is Just Around the Corner?
April 7, 2005, 8:41 am
A buy signal is coming, but without volume
picking up Fred remains doubtful.
Unfree-Range Chickens
April 6, 2005, 8:46 am
The markets are trapped in a tiny trading
range, and only the NASDAQ shows any spirit.
Adjusting the Volume
April 5, 2005, 4:00 am
The low volume is good. But high volume is
needed to sustain a rally.
That Was the Quarter That Was
April 4, 2005, before
12:00 am
Fred's portfolios did okay during a tough
quarter. Better days may be ahead.
No Follow-Through
April 1, 2005, 1:41 am
And now a test of the lows is likely, even
though stocks are already oversold.
Where Was the Volume?
March 31, 2005, 8:50 am
There wasn't any yesterday, and that means
another test of support coming up.
Getting Smart
March 30, 2005, 8:38 am
Fred waits for a big bounce, and studies in
detail his "Smart Money Indicator."
Worry, Worry
March 29, 2005, 8:12 am
With a buy signal on the way, Fred gives the
negatives their due.
Prepare for Liftoff
March 28, 2005, before
12:00 am
Today, tomorrow, next week? A rally is just
a short matter of time.
A Tip of the Cap
March 24, 2005, 8:02 am
The shift in favor from small stocks to
large stocks came with a jolt yesterday.
Post-Fed Flop
March 23, 2005, 5:49 am
The decline plays out, and is starting to
get over-extended.
Hope from Adversity
March 22, 2005, 8:35 am
Yesterday's decline carried hidden signs of
future strength.
A Quiet Kind of Strength
March 21, 2005, before
12:00 am
Neither talking heads nor expiring
derivatives could spook the market Friday.
Good Bad Sentiment
March 18, 2005, 8:43 am
Several market psychological indicators are
bearish, which is good for the bulls.
Looking for Signs
March 17, 2005, 8:42 am
Readers want to know where the bottom is in
this move. Fred has some answers.
Back and Forth
March 16, 2005, 8:55 am
The market is see-sawing back and forth in a
tiny trading range.
Give Me A Break
March 15, 2005, 8:54 am
Yesterday's rally was nice, but probably
just a respite in a soggy market.
Whipsaw!
March 14, 2005, before
12:00 am
A sell signal rears its ugly head, just ten
days after the last buy.
Damaged Goods
March 11, 2005, 8:42 am
The market takes another technical hit, and
the buy signal hangs by a thread.
Megaphone Top?
March 10, 2005, 8:51 am
The S&P 500 is perfectly playing out a
classic chart pattern.
Damage Under the Surface
March 9, 2005, 8:44 am
Yesterday's small decline may have been
worse than it looked.
The Vigor Thing
March 8, 2005, 8:40 am
The NASDAQ caught up yesterday, but value is
still outperforming growth.
Rational Exuberance
March 7, 2005, before
12:00 am
It's a buy signal, but the next sell could
come quickly.
Either Way
March 4, 2005, 5:28 am
Fred looks at the bull case and the bear
case: both are very real.
TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE
Close, But No Cigar
March 3, 2005, 12:00 am
We didn't break through the old highs
yesterday, but there are positive signs.
It'll Pay to Wait
March 2, 2005, 8:32 am
We're just one indicator away from a buy
signal, but risk still abounds.
Positives and Negatives
March 1, 2005, 8:51 am
Bad day yesterday, but there were signs of
technical strength.
Not So Fast
February 28, 2005, before
12:00 am
New calendar year highs don't necessarily
mean a coming breakout -- but Fred has a plan either way.
Mutual Attraction
February 25, 2005, 8:34 am
Fred talks about three mutual funds he likes
for the next buy signal.
Support Becomes Resistance
February 24, 2005, 8:46 am
Yesterday's rally failed at what should have
been support in Tuesday's decline.
Sharp -- And Short, Too?
February 23, 2005, 5:38 am
Fred sees some reasons to believe this
decline could be short-lived.
A World of Almosts
February 22, 2005, before
12:00 am
Stocks are almost a sell, and gold is almost
a buy.
Only Gold Glitters
February 18, 2005, 8:27 am
Yesterday's decline hastens the sell signal,
but gold could be a buy soon.
Making It Up In Volume
February 17, 2005, 8:56 am
There can't be an assault on the December
highs until trading picks up.
That Close!
February 16, 2005, 8:57 am
Stocks missed a new high -- and now they
wait for Greenspan.
New Highs, More Sighs
February 15, 2005, 8:30 am
It's high ground for calendar 2005, but
volume has suddenly dried up.
Granted a Deferment
February 14, 2005, before
12:00 am
The sell signal, once imminent, has been put
on hold for days or weeks.
Bull Trap or Bear Trap?
February 11, 2005, 8:59 am
It could go either way -- the market is on
the brink.
Hanging by a Thread
February 10, 2005, 9:01 am
Yesterday damaged the technical condition of
the market, but it ain't over till it's over.
His Highness
February 9, 2005, 9:00 am
Fred analyzes why it's so important for the
market to establish new highs in this move.
Eyeing the Highs
February 8, 2005, 8:32 am
With only one negative indicator, can the
market take out the highs?
Looking One Move Ahead
February 7, 2005, before
12:00 am
The buy signal is great -- but let's plan
what to do on the next sell.
Bad Day, Good Day
February 4, 2005, 3:37 am
The market failed at resistance again -- but
it closed above support.
Resistance Wasn't Futile
February 3, 2005, 4:05 am
As predicted, the market hit an upside wall
yesterday. Try, try again?
Fateful Weeks
February 2, 2005, 3:25 am
The tone for the whole year could be set by
Valentine's Day.
Dancing on the Street
February 1, 2005, 8:54 am
A technically strong market applauded
democracy in Iraq.
After the Signal
January 31, 2005, before
12:00 am
We have our buy signal -- let's see how it
plays out in this trading range market.
The Envelope Please...
January 28, 2005, 12:35 pm
Did the buy signal happen at the close
yesterday? Here's the answer.
Right on the Line!
January 27, 2005, 9:05 am
The Summary Index closed precisely at the
buy signal trigger level. Now what?
Any Day Now
January 26, 2005, 7:57 am
Yesterday's rally pooped out in the
afternoon, but Fred still thinks a short-term rally is on its way --
soon.
To Ooze or to Spurt?
January 25, 2005, 9:03 am
Yesterday's drop deferred the buy signal --
but now it may be a better one when it comes.
Thinking About a Rally
January 24, 2005, before
12:00 am
The indicators are ready to go "buy" this
week. Fred puts it in strategic context.
No Buy Today
January 21, 2005, 9:06 am
Thursday's drop deferred the coming buy
signal to next Monday at the soonest.
Patience Pays
January 20, 2005, 8:48 am
No buy signal yet -- and Fred expects
another test first.
Ducks in a Row
January 19, 2005, 8:59 am
They're all lining up for a buy signal. Jump
in now? Or wait for it?
Poised for Action
January 18, 2005, 8:21 am
A buy signal is now inevitable, and Fred
closely examines the RSI and the Commitments of Traders reports.
Buy Interrupted
January 14, 2005, 8:50 am
The buy signal has been pushed into next
week -- but the bullish stars are lining up.
Quietly Coming Together
January 13, 2005, 8:51 am
Yesterday's quiet market concealed a bullish
transformation.
Groundhog Year
January 12, 2005, 8:43 am
A number of indicators are acting just like
they did a year ago.
Drifting Toward a Buy
January 11, 2005, 8:50 am
We move closer to a Summary Index buy signal
-- but Fred is worried about the long term.
On the Other Hand
January 10, 2005, 9:41 am
Fred considers some serious negatives
clouding the horizon.
The Quarter Ahead
January 7, 2005, 8:27 am
Maybe the parallel to 1999/2000 has some
more life in it after all.
A Break from Tradition
January 6, 2005, 8:16 am
The parallel with 1999/2000 is over -- and
that may be a bullish sign.
Marching in Parallel
January 5, 2005, 8:23 am
Yesterday's big drop was the perfect echo of
the same day in 2000.
The Ominous Parallels Continue
January 4, 2005, 8:01 am
As expected, the first day of 2005 was just
like the first day of 2000.
Locating Stocks with GPS
January 3, 2005, 9:21 am
Here it is -- the first buy list from Fred's
new technical stock-picking system.
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