| Fred
Goodman: 2004
Happy New Year Pullback
December
31, 2004, 8:51 am
Fred still expects a
rocky start to 2005.
Rhyming Into the New Year
December
30, 2004, 8:45 am
Will today's current
market history continue to track 1999's?
A Tax-Smart Shake-Up
December 29, 2004, 8:54 am
Fred plans to redeploy assets in his portfolio, and
fool the taxman at the same time.
Smart Money Talks
December 28, 2004, 8:43 am
Intraday trading patterns and commercial futures activity
points to a pullback.
Seasonal Drift
December
27, 2004, 12:00 am
The coming mid-holiday
week should be slow -- and upwardly biased.
Fred's Price/Volume Christmas
Carol
December
23, 2004, 12:42 am
Fred signs off for the
holidays with a pair of now-and-then holiday charts.
Christmas Present, Christmas
Past
December
22, 2004, 8:47 am
It's still getting to
look at lot like Christmas -- Christmas 1999, that is.
Volume Fluctuations
December
21, 2004, 7:20 am
Look for a low volume
rally, and then a high volume pullback for the holidays.
Shades of Christmas Past
December 20, 2004, 8:47 am
Trading this season reminds Fred of the holiday patterns
of 1999.
Sevened Out
December
17, 2004, 8:52 am
No buy signal -- and
maybe a pullback instead.
New High, New Buy
December
16, 2004, 8:20 am
We're on the verge of
a new Quick Summary Index buy signal.
Absolutely Positive
December 15, 2004, 9:41 am
We're an inch away from an important bullish shift
in the number of positive indicators.
News Highs
December 14, 2004, 8:14 am
News lifted some indices to new highs -- is this the
start of something bigger?
The Set-Up
December
13, 2004, before 12:00 am
With almost no
positive indicators left, things might get bad enough for a great buying opportunity.
Release of Tension
December 10, 2004, 7:49 am
An amazing number of overextended indicators have
already worked off the excesses.
Sorry State
December 9, 2004, 7:44 am
The market continues to show all the classic signs
of basic weakness.
Deranged
December
8, 2004, 7:20 am
The S&P 500 broke
out of it's ultra-narrow trading range yesterday -- with a bang.
Stuck in Neutral
December 7, 2004, 12:00 am
The market could use a good pullback from which to
make a new run at the highs.
A Correction is Due
December
6, 2004, before 12:00 am
It doesn't have
to be a rout -- but at least it will be a rest. Be ready.
Tipping the Cap
December 3, 2004, 7:04 am
Large-cap stocks stole the show yesterday from their
small-cap rivals.
The Sell Signal and the Uptrend
December 2, 2004, 9:00 am
Here's a paradox: Fred is buying stocks, despite his
new sell signal.
Nearing the Turn
December 1, 2004, 6:34 am
A Summary Index "double-dip sell signal"
is likely to come at today's close.
The Pros Turn Con
November 30, 2004, 6:54 am
The Commitments of Traders reports reveal professional
traders getting bearish.
Digesting the Turkey
November
29, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred tries to
make sense of last week's low volume holiday trading.
Test Passed
November 24, 2004, 8:50 am
The market successfully tested support from the January
2002 highs -- for the moment.
Retracement
November
23, 2004, 8:42 am
Yesterday's rise retraced
50% of Friday's drop. That means another test.
Beginning to Feel Like Fall
November 22, 2004, before 12:00
am
The indicators are deteriorating, and
a sell signal can't be far off.
Turndown
November
19, 2004, 8:32 am
The Summary Index reverses
itself -- but the double dip sell signal is still some time away.
Stay the Course, Of Course
November 18, 2004, 3:10 am
There's a double dip sell signal in the future, but
in the meantime, why worry?
Take a Break Before the Holiday
November 16, 2004, 8:26 am
Fred looks for higher highs in 2004, but thinks the
markets may take a rest here, first.
Smart -- Like 1999
November 15, 2004, before 12:00
am
The Smart Money Indicator reminds Fred
of 1999 -- for at least a while, that's a good thing.
Sweet 17
November
12, 2004, 7:31 am
A Summary Index sell
signal -- at least a weak one, in the midst of an uptrend, is now inevitable.
Introducing the "Trend Indicator"
November 11, 2004, 8:34 am
Fred unveils an important and exciting new technical
tool.
Tomorrow Never Comes
November
10, 2004, 8:49 am
If we don't get a sell
signal today or tomorrow, we may not get one for weeks.
The Streak is Over
November 9, 2004, 7:12 am
But a big bull move could be just beginning, if we
make it through the next couple days.
Streaking Toward a Sell
November 8, 2004, before 12:00 am
The market's on a near-historic winning streak, but
it's setting up an inevitable sell signal.
Tread Carefully -- But Tread!
November 5, 2004, 7:48 am
No doubt about it, the market's on the move. But it's
close to over-extended, too.
A Pause to Refresh, Then...
November
4, 2004, 8:50 am
Fred says the market needs
a quick rest before the next leg up.
Entry Point
November 3, 2004, 8:44 am
A post-election rally won't necessarily be the best
time to buy stocks.
Fair and Balanced
November
2, 2004, 8:21 am
The technical position
of the market is as divided as the election.
And Now, We Wait
November 1, 2004, before 12:00 am
The election will be decisive for America, and for
the technical condition of the market.
Bull Tracks
October 29, 2004, 7:41 am
Lots of technical evidence points to the upside --
at least for the moment.
What a Day!
October
28, 2004, 8:52 am
The S&P 500 Price/Volume
Chart has given a classic short-term buy signal.
Out of Order
October 27, 2004, 5:22 am
Did yesterday's big upmove come too soon? Some indicators
think it may have been important.
Wait and See
October 25, 2004, 4:18 am
A week till the election, and key technical signals
are getting cued up.
Growth in the Driver's Seat
October
22, 2004, 7:20 am
Growth is outperforming
value, and that's a good sign for the market.
In Nothing, Something
October 21, 2004, 6:39 am
Fred suspects that this quiet market may have a big
surprise in store for us.
A Peek at the Bleak
October
20, 2004, 7:22 am
Negatives abound -- so
save some powder for the inevitable buying opportunity.
Eyeing a Buying
October 18, 2004, before 12:00 am
Technicals are starting to get negative enough to
put a buy signal in view.
Below Average
October
15, 2004, 8:32 am
The important S&P
500 200-day moving average has turned down -- and the index has moved below it,
on the same day.
Going Negative
October
14, 2004, 9:01 am
You think the presidential
campaign is bad? So is the market.
Reverse Angle Replay
October 13, 2004, 9:00 am
Tuesday undid Monday. Now the market plays wait-and-see.
Post-Columbus Backlash
October 12, 2004, 8:47 am
Quiet Monday -- but maybe a not so quiet week.
Sector Vectors
October 11, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred starts a review of the major stock sectors --
and a new position in gold.
Size Matters
October
8, 2004, 8:21 am
When you know which way
to bet, how to you know how big to make the bet?
Upside-Down Double Dip?
October 7, 2004, 8:08 am
The Summary Index is headed toward a "secondary
sell signal" -- but in the meantime, markets move higher.
Filters, Trendlines and Funds
October 6, 2004, 11:13 am
Fred talks about technical techniques new and old,
and two new mutual funds.
Almost, But Not Quite
October
5, 2004, 9:04 am
The market flirted with
a breakout, but volume and momentum fell.
Big Day, Big Questions
October 4, 2004, 12:05 am
Fred examines a market at the crossroads -- and his
own trading style.
Mercky Waters
October
1, 2004, 5:02 am
The troubles of a single
drug company masked a pretty good day in the market.
History Upside-Down
September 30, 2004, 8:21 am
Fred finds remarkable inverse parallels between the
past bear and the present bull.
Looking Across the Valley
September
29, 2004, 7:41 am
In the midst of a still-new
sell signal, Fred sees brighter days just ahead.
Moving Rapidly Slowly
September 28, 2004, 7:32 am
Technicals are quickly shifting to negative -- but
volume is drying up again.
The Sell Signal has Arrived
September
27, 2004, before 12:00 am
Okay... so now
what do we do about it?
Storm Warning
September
24, 2004, 8:54 am
Sell signal coming --
but will it be a tropical storm, a hurricane, or just rain?
Trend Reversal
September 23, 2004, 7:51 am
Get ready: yesterday's drop could bring a Summary
Index sell signal in a matter of days.
The Fed as Expected
September 22, 2004, 7:58 am
Yesterday's FOMC announcement had no surprises --
which is always a good thing.
Stalled
September
21, 2004, 8:50 am
Why is the market like
Fred's car? Read this and see.
Tricky New Year
September
20, 2004, 8:38 am
Was Friday's volume spike
just an aberration of Thursday's Jewish New Year?
Sell In May, and... What, Exactly?
September 17, 2004, 4:26 am
Is volume ever going to come back into this
market?
Weaker Weakness than Expected
September
16, 2004, 6:47 am
Fred got the weakness
he was looking for -- and it wasn't that bad.
Overextended?
September 15, 2004, 6:34 am
The market has risen in 17 of the last 22 sessions.
How long can this go on?
Coming Back to Life
September
14, 2004, 4:08 am
Volume is creeping back
as the market creeps higher.
Sun Shines: Make Hay
Monday,
September 13, 2004, 1:40 am
Our buy signals
are in profit, and there's still room to grow.
Taking It Laterally
September 10, 2004, 2:32 am
The NASDAQ is showing signs of life on the Price/Volume
Charts, but markets are still basically churning.
Market in the Middle
September 9, 2004, 8:47 am
Volume is better, but still low -- the market is still
drifting.
Transition Period
September
8, 2004, 8:48 am
We move from summer to
fall. How soon will we move from buy signal to sell signal?
Happy New Year, and Happy Birthday
September
7, 2004, before 12:00 am
With Labor Day
done, the new market year begins -- and Fred's Discretionary Technical Portfolio
turns two.
The Trigger Approaches
September
2, 2004, 3:01 am
The Summary Index is close
to its sell signal trigger level -- but the signal itself could be weeks away.
Escape From New York
August 30, 2004, before 12:00 am
Traders are vanishing -- and they've taken the volume
with them.
The Labor Day Cycle
August
27, 2004, 8:59 am
Fred detects a seasonal
cycle to the Labor Day holiday (and it's not good).
Energy Crisis
August 26, 2004, 8:50 am
The indicators are becoming too positive, too fast.
Will the market run out of upside energy?
Marking Time
August 25, 2004, 8:44 am
Markets are in do-nothing mode ahead of the holiday
and the GOP convention.
Holiday Weak
August
24, 2004, 8:49 am
Yesterday's low-volume
decline was a bullish sign, but consider the risks too.
Four Out of Five Technicians
Agree! But...
August
23, 2004, before 12:00 am
...but the market
always does whatever it has to so surprise the majority.
Did I Buy? Yes. Am I Cautious?
Yes!
August 20,
2004, 8:50 am
Fred adds to his equity positions,
but looks to a rocky pre-election season.
Shifting into Secondary Gear
August 19, 2004, 8:42 am
A sudden bullish swing in eleven indicators ushers
in a secondary buy signal.
Show Me the Volume!
August
18, 2004, 8:46 am
The indicators are looking
great, but without volume it may not mean much.
Bouncing Ball Becomes Breakout?
August 17, 2004, 8:47 am
Fred sees potential in this go-nowhere market -- but
says wait till it proves itself.
Goodbye Charley?
August 16, 2004, before 12:00 am
Last week was a market hurricane. Has it burned itself
out?
Double Dip: Done
August
13, 2004, 7:49 am
The double dip Fred predicted
has happened. Wouldn't you know it's Friday the 13th?
Another Day, Another Double-Dip
Deferred
August
12, 2004, 7:50 am
Fred still hasn't acted
on last week's buy signal. But there are tentative signs that might make him take
a small bite.
Double-Dip Delayed, By Days At Least
August
11, 2004, 8:55 am
Yesterday's rally was
encouraging for the moment, but the volume wasn't there.
Going to Extremes
August 10, 2004, 8:51 am
We're moving toward the point of negativity where
high probability rally signals are born.
Experience is the Only Holy Grail
August 9, 2004, before 12:00 am
On what it takes to turn technical indicators into
real investment success.
Now You Know Why I Waited
August
6, 2004, 8:53 am
It looks like the "double
dip" Fred predicted is on the way. Be careful out there.
Congratulations: It's a Buy
August 5, 2004, 8:54 am
Fred takes profits on his shorts, and contemplates
how to best play the new buy signal.
A Double-Dip?
August 4, 2004, 8:53 am
A buy signal may well come at today's close, but Fred
is in no hurry to play it.
Go, Speed Racer!
August
3, 2004, 8:51 am
A buy signal will probably
come tomorrow -- and it may qualify as a "big" one.
The Book on Buy Signals
August 2, 2004, before 12:00 am
Lessons from history on what makes a good buy signal:
if the next one comes quickly, it could be a good one.
Patience is a Virtue
July 30, 2004, 3:40 am
Fred cautions readers to wait for the Summary Index
buy signal -- it's coming!
The Buy Signal is Left Outside
July
29, 2004, 5:50 am
"Outside days"
presage big moves -- but yesterday's delayed the buy signal.
It's Today -- Or It's Not
July 28, 2004, 7:48 am
If the market doesn't make a stand today, we'll have
to wait at least a week for a buy signal.
Triggered
July 27, 2004, 8:05 am
Yesterday made slight new lows, but it set up the
Quick Summary Index for a coming buy signal.
Out of Weakness, Strength
July 26, 2004, before 12:00 am
Be patient -- but things are getting so negative,
a buy signal can't be far off.
Trappings
July
23, 2004, 8:39 am
Bull traps. Bear traps.
They're nothing compared to the trading range trap.
We Won't Get Fooled Again
July 22, 2004, 8:55 am
Fred's indicators kept him from a bull trap, and now
he sidesteps a possible bear trap, too.
Too Instant Gratification
July 21, 2004, 2:49 am
Yesterday's big move kept the indicators from reaching
a definitive bottom.
The End is Near?
July
20, 2004, 8:29 am
Fred's now seeing evidence
that the market is overextended to the downside.
Dangerous Liaison
July 19, 2004, before 12:00 am
The 200-day and 50-day moving averages of the S&P
500 could soon cross -- in the wrong direction.
Close-Up and Personal
July 16, 2004, 8:43 am
Is this trading range like a distorted photograph?
Maybe it's time to back up a bit.
Tipping Point?
July 15, 2004, 8:46 am
Volume is up, technicals are down. But so far we're
still stuck in the range.
Trust in the Thrust?
July
14, 2004, 8:51 am
The Thrust Oscillator
says sell -- but overall, it's still a trading range.
Channel Surfing
July 13, 2004, 8:42 am
The market's dynamics are keying off its position
within the trading range.
Cycle Logical?
July
12, 2004, before 12:00 am
Most cyclical
theories of the market don't make sense -- but here are a couple that do.
Gathering Speed, but a Speed-Bump Ahead
July
9, 2004, 8:49 am
Downside momentum is picking
up, but today we face potentially important support.
She's (Not) Got Legs
July 8, 2004, 8:46 am
Yesterday was a nice relief, but we're still moving
down the trading range.
Still Neutral -- But Cautious
July
7, 2004, 8:27 am
Deteriorating indicators
predicted yesterday's drop, but on balance we're still rangebound.
The Bear Case
July 6, 2004, before 12:00 am
We're still just in a trading range so far, but it's
prudent to look at the negative signs.
And They're Off
July 2, 2004, 3:00 am
The second quarter ended with a whimper and the third
started with a bang.
Crowd Pleaser
July
1, 2004, 3:00 am
Game, set and match. A
difficult quarter ends quietly.
Are there Problems? Absolutely!
June
30, 2004, 3:00 am
Fred worries about the
tiny difference between advances and declines.
One Down and One To Go
June 29, 2004, 3:00 am
Bush eliminated the Iraq wild card
two days early, but we still have to wait for the FOMC.
Bracing for the Unexpected
June 28, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred's getting extra cautious ahead of a tricky week
of big events.
Quiet, But Good
June
25, 2004, 3:57 am
Beneath yesterday's sleepy
facade was a good technical day.
Does One Good Day Deserve Another?
June 24, 2004, 7:10 am
Yesterday was the way it's supposed to be. But will
it be back to the same old trading range today?
Long Time?
June 23, 2004, 7:26 am
Readers want to know why Fred is staying long during
this Summary Index sell signal.
Strict Neutrality
June
22, 2004, 8:15 am
22 neutral indicators!
That's only happened four times before, and always during a sell signal.
Our Date with Destiny
June 21, 2004, before 12:00 am
Markets are frozen in the headlights of the June 30
mega-events -- but they may surprise us by coming to life before then.
Mild Seasoning
June 18, 2004, 8:19 am
We're in the doldrums. But don't let your guard down.
Talking Trading Sense
June 17, 2004, 8:15 am
A smart trader considers the costs of trading, and
measures them against potential gains.
Trading the Trading Range
June 16, 2004, 8:24 am
This kind of market calls for a special approach to
technical analysis.
The Sell Signal Arrives
June
15, 2004, 7:23 am
We've moved up through
the trading range, and now it's time to take profits.
On the Brink
June 14, 2004, before 12:00 am
Unless there's a rally today, the March 31 buy and
the May 25 "secondary buy" are history.
Sell Signal is Possible
June 10, 2004, 6:18 am
Back in the area of the highs on the S&P, a sell
could come next week unless the indicators perk up.
Shhh!
June
9, 2004, 7:47 am
A quiet market prepares
to get quieter -- while the indicators get more and more positive.
Speed Bumps?
June 8, 2004, 7:21 am
With yesterday's big move, the market now faces some
real resistance.
It's Not Different This Time
June
7, 2004, before 12:00 am
Don't believe
reports trashing the put/call ratio and NYSE specialist short ratio -- believe
the indicators!
Apollo 13?
June
4, 2004, 3:22 am
Fred Goodman
Is the buy signal
still go-for-launch? Or, Houston, do we have a problem?
The Missing Link
June 3, 2004, 8:41 am
There's just one problem with the market's technical
condition: volume is too low.
Nothing Negative
June
2, 2004, 8:46 am
Of Fred's 29 major indicators,
today there is not a single negative one!
A Positive Surprise
June 1, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred's new study shows that technically overbought
markets act a lot different than you'd ever guess.
Making History
May 28, 2004, 8:46 am
An indicator that (so far) has never missed made one
of its few signals in over half a century.
Kicking Back and Waiting
May 27, 2004, 8:41 am
The pre-holiday lull is already upon us -- next week,
favorable seasonals come into play.
The Tide Turns
May 26, 2004, 8:40 am
Coming right up: a test of the S&P 500 50-day
moving average.
We Got Our Signal -- Big Time
May
25, 2004, before 12:00 am
The market was
seemingly quiet, but the indicators spoke loudly.
It's All Coming Together for
the Bulls
May
24, 2004, before 12:00 am
There will be
a rare "secondary" SI buy signal today -- and scads of indicators are
turning positive at the same time.
A Secondary Buy Signal?
May 21 2004, 8:55 am
The Summary Index is poised to lay a new buy signal
on top of the one it already gave on March 31.
That Was the Bounce That Was
May 20, 2004, 2:55 am
And now we wait, while the indicators patiently move
to the bull side.
Signs of Life
May
19, 2004, 8:38 am
Indicators Fred hasn't
heard from since the March 2003 bottom are starting to line up bullish.
Bounce Alert
May 18, 2004, 7:17 am
Key indicators are turning bullish -- time to clean
house and prepare for a bounce.
What a Day!
May
13, 2004, before 4:02 am
We're not out
of the woods, but yesterday's stunning reversal was clearly bullish.
Extreme Sports
May 10, 2004, before 12:00 am
The number of negative indicators is at an extreme
reading of 22 -- a rally has to be near.
Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
May 7, 2004, 8:48 am
The jobs report will roil the markets for a while
-- but we're still in a low-volume trading range.
I Like To Watch
May 6, 2004, 7:13 am
Jobs on Friday -- another excuse for the market to
watch, instead of trade.
Just as I Predicted -- Sort Of
May
5, 2004, 2:41 am
Fred had it right for
FOMC day, but the market still managed to throw a curve-ball.
Walking into the Sweet Spot
May 4, 2004, 8:51 am
Yesterday's rally wasn't exactly impressive, but technicals
and seasonals are beginning to converge to the upside.
Brace for a Bounce
May 3, 2004, before 12:00 am
And maybe a big one -- we could be close to a double
buy signal.
A Bounce Coming Up
April
30, 2004, 8:41 am
We got Price/Volume sell
loops -- but Fred thinks there's a bounce in our future anyway.
So Bad It's Good?
April 29, 2004, 12:00 am
Sell loops were completed yesterday, but the indicators
are rapidly approaching a negative extreme.
Still Circling
April 28, 2004, 8:26 am
No resolution to the Price/Volume loops yet -- but
the positive seasonals may come into play next week.
Still Hanging on Loops
April 27, 2004, 9:25 am
The Price/Volume loops still have all their options
open.
There's Life in the Loops
April
26, 2004, before 12:00 am
The Price/Volume
Charts are coming into play -- and probably on the upside.
Curb Your Enthusiasm
April 23, 2004, 8:13 am
Fred didn't get shaken out on Tuesday, but he's not
chasing yesterday's bull move either.
Short Term Troubles
April 22, 2004, 7:56 am
The market calmed yesterday, but all the Price/Volume
charts confirmed sell loops.
Thanks, Alan
April
21, 2004, 9:07 am
The market evaluates
the reality of higher rates sooner rather than later.
Big Little Market
April 20, 2004, 8:42 am
Riddle me this: why is the market like a children's
book?
Reverse Angle Replay
April
19, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's like February
all over again. But the indecision won't last forever.
Eye of the Storm
April 16, 2004, 7:16 am
Yesterday's indecisive action was on high volume --
the market may be close to making up it's mind.
Goodbye Easy Comparables
April 15, 2004, 7:20 am
With the bull market maturing, it's no longer easy
for stocks to look good.
Mixed Bag
April
14, 2004, 8:48 am
It was a bad day, but
a new indicator is just gave a buy signal.
Give Me a Slow Hand
April 13, 2004, 8:47 am
The market remains technically robust despite low
volume, and Fred reviews the details of the RSI.
Will the Fighting Fight the Tape?
April 12, 2004,
before 12:00 am
Fred expects a continued
up-move -- but worries that Iraq violence may derail things.
Yesterday Was a Good Day... Really!
April 8, 2004, 2:54 am
Behind apparent weakness was real technical strength.
Uprising in Iraq, Not the Market
April 7, 2004, 7:41 am
With low holiday volume, the rally probably can't
pick up until next week.
Problems in Volume
April
6, 2004, 8:52 am
Great rally? Yeah, but
the volume has dried up again!
It's Great Ointment, But there's
a Fly In It
April
5, 2004, before 12:00 am
Volume is back
-- but there's just one indicator that's rubbing Fred the wrong way.
So Far, So Good
April 2, 2004, 8:32 am
Our new buy signal got off to a great start. But Fred's
still worried about volume.
Buy Signal!
April
1, 2004, 8:43 am
It's here! The low volume
is still troubling, but things look great for small and midcap stocks.
A Buy by Today, or Maybe by Tomorrow
March 31, 2004, 7:45 am
It looks like Fred is going to get his April Fools
Day buy signal (and that's no joke).
Overhead Resistance was Futile
March 30, 2004, 8:49 am
There will be some weakness today, but Fred expects
the rally to keep going.
Reverse Engines!
March
29, 2004, before 12:00 am
Winners became
losers last week, and losers became winners. Perfect for an April Fools Day buy
signal.
Big Rally + Small Volume = Big Question
March
26, 2004, 7:32 am
Was it for real? Maybe
yes, but the volume argues for no.
A Big Bowl of Nothing
March 25, 2004, 8:13 am
All that happened yesterday was that nothing happened.
Waiting for April Fools
March 24, 2004, 7:42 am
Based on traditional new-month strength, April Fools
Day could be the start of a real rally.
Destiny Takes a Hand
March 23, 2004, 8:53 am
From the rubble of a terrifying day in the market,
a buy signal becomes inevitable.
Low-Volume Languishing
March 22, 2004, before 12:00 am
We could be just a day or two away from a buy signal
-- but it's not yet inevitable.
Why Fred Doesn't Want a Buy Signal
March
19, 2004, 4:18 am
Why settle for a Quick
Summary Index buy signal, when a full-fledged Summary Index buy signal is just
around the corner?
Bracing for a Buy, So Soon?
March
18, 2004, 8:55 am
As the market shrugs
off bad news, we could be looking at another buy signal in a matter of days.
Something for Everybody -- and
Nobody
March
17, 2004, 7:46 am
Don' t like the market?
Wait 15 minutes.
Looking Across the Valley
March
16, 2004, 8:46 am
The great thing about
market weakness is that it always sets up the next buy signal.
Returning to the Scene of the
Crime
March 15,
2004, before 12:00 am
Friday's big rally
was on low-volume, and may be no more than a snap-back to the point of break-down
from the trading range.
Leaving Home on the Range
March
12, 2004, 6:11 am
The buy signal ends precisely
when the trading range has been violated -- to the downside.
Critical Mess
March 11, 2004, 6:51 am
Volume is back, and it's starting to look nasty. Here's
a major review of the indicators.
Fred Takes the Fifth
March 10, 2004, 6:44 am
Like clockwork, the first-five-days seasonals have
played out again this month.
Low-Volume Rotation
March
9, 2004, 5:35 am
Moves within the trading
range on low volume don't mean anything.
The Big Squeeze
March 8, 2004, before 12:00 am
The trading range gets narrower and narrower. Only
volume can make a breakout happen.
Testing, Testing, 123
March 5, 2004, 4:52 am
This low-volume market could be setting up for a test
of the bottom of our narrow trading range.
Same Trading Range, New Technique
March 4, 2004, 8:57 am
Fred unveils a first look at a new tool for applying
Price/Volume Charting to individual stocks.
Fourth Down
March 3, 2004, 1:45 am
The trading range now has four tops above 1155 --
when do we go for the goal?
But... Where is the Volume?
March 2, 2004, 7:58 am
An in-depth study of trading volume makes yesterday's
advance even more questionable.
The Doctor Is In
March
1, 2004, before 12:00 am
Dr. Goodman puts
the market on his couch for some much needed cycle-analysis.
Waiting for a Break
February 27, 2004, 8:46 am
Still in the trading range -- but making plans for
the breakout.
Range of Possibilities
Thursday,
February 26, 2004, 5:39 am
The market's
losing streak ended -- but leaves us stuck in the trading range.
The Sign of the Five
February 25, 2004, 8:42 am
Fred looks at what has happened in history when the
market has dropped five days in a row -- like it just did.
Tech Dreck
February 24, 2004, 8:45 am
The market's darling sector has suddenly become the
dog.
The 6% Solution
February
23, 2004, before 12:00 am
We're stuck in
a 6% trading range -- but one of the most reliable indicators of all is turning
very bullish.
Wha' Hoppen?
February
20, 2004, 8:08 am
Everything was going
along so well until the bottom fell out. Just more trading range behavior?
Don't Fence Me In
February 19, 2004, 8:47 am
Trading ranges aren't fun -- but you have to stay
alert, because they all eventually end.
Disappointing Points
February 18, 2004, 8:40 am
Love the rally? Fred worries that all was not as rosy
at it seemed.
New Economy Down, Old Economy Up
February
17, 2004, before 12:00 am
Old-fashioned
basic materials have been beating new-fangled tech!
A Rest, and Then... A Rest?
Friday,
February 13, 2004, 8:28 am
A surging market
took a break -- and now comes a holiday.
Congratulations: It's a Buy!
February 12, 2004, 8:48 am
In less than two weeks, we've now gone from a sell
signal to a buy signal.
Maestro, If You Please...
February
11, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's Greenspeak
day... and it could be what we need to ignite a buy signal.
Loop Pooped
Tuesday,
February 10, 2004, 2:51 am
The Price/Volume
buy-loops failed to materialize -- but a QSI buy signal waits in the wings.
Getting It Out of Our System?
February 9, 2004, before 12:00 am
Just a week after a sell signal, we could be looking
at a buy within days!
Day Off
February
6, 2004, 2:14 am
Against a quiet market,
Fred listens to the Fed and finds a nifty new ETF.
The Sweet Spot Goes Sour
February 5, 2004, 8:45 am
The first five days of the month are historically
the best. What happened? Our sell signal, that's what!
This Quiet Won't Last
February 4, 2004, 1:02 am
The market has eked out gains in quiet sessions, but
its days are numbered.
The Rot Spreads -- And Fast
February
3, 2004, 1:07 am
The indicators are turning
negative with blinding speed.
The Sell Signal is Official
February
2, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's not if, it's
not when. It's now -- and there could be a nice bounce here to sell into.
It's Just A Shot Away
January 30, 2004, 3:29 am
A Summary Index sell signal is inevitable at the close
-- and the Price/Volume loops have already turned.
Freaky Friday?
January 29, 2004, 2:19 am
At this rate, we could have a Summary Index sell signal
as soon as tomorrow.
Absolutely Correct
January
28, 2004, 7:49 am
Smells like a correction
is in the wind, but it's still to early to jump out.
Last Minute Rescue
January 27, 2004, 2:36 am
Yesterday volume came in as the market went up in
the final hour.
Bears Today, Bulls Tomorrow?
January
26, 2004, before 12:00 am
Short-term signals
are getting negative, but some longer-term ones are shaping up bullish.
The Big Get Bigger
January 23, 2004, 8:48 am
Will the pundits finally be right? Large-cap stocks
come to life.
No Second Guessing
Thursday,
January 22, 2004, 8:41 am
Is this a replay
of last April's bull run?
Four In A Row
January
21, 2004, 2:51 am
The indicators are unchanged
again -- so the buy signal goes onward.
Drink Up!
January 20, 2004, before 12:00 am
What's not to like about new highs? Nothing... except
that they won't last forever.
Stronger Longer?
January
16, 2004, 8:48 am
Moves always last longer
than you expect. But today's bullish sentiment is worrying Fred.
Earnings Seasonings
January 15, 2004, 3:10 am
The market is technically overextended, so even good
earnings news might be bad news.
Complexion Problem
January 14, 2004, 2:17 am
Fred says the complexion of the market is changing
-- for the worse.
A Good Place to Go Nowhere
January
13, 2004, 5:27 am
Technically, the market
was a wash yesterday -- we remain stuck in buy mode.
Storm Clouds Gathering
January 12, 2004, before 12:00 am
No sell signal yet, but more and more indicators are
pointing to trouble ahead.
High Five
January
9, 2004, 2:50 am
The first five days of
January are usually strong. And they were.
Chop Shop
January 8, 2004, 8:40 am
Was the market choppy? Yes. Was it strong, too? Yes.
On Stand-Buy
January 7, 2004, 3:14 am
With Fred's Summary Index now above 17.00, it's just
a matter of staying long until the inevitable sell signal.
A Date with Destiny... Again
January 6, 2004, 4:01 am
This rally is great (and it's great to be long)...
but the bullish technicals can only be stretched so far.
Coming into Strength
January 5, 2004, before 12:00 am
There are a lot of reasons to expect a strong market
this week.
Out with the Old
January
2, 2004, 12:00 am
Fred's eager to get back
to a normal market -- but the negative signs are starting to pile up.
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