Fred Goodman: 2004
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GPS: The Goodman Price-Volume Stock Selection System
January 3, 2005
Learn about Fred's breakthrough in technical stock-picking!
Introduction to Price-Volume Charting
November 26, 2001
Over twenty five years of experience have made Fred Goodman the master of price-volume loops. Now he shares the basics of his most esoteric technical indicator.
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Happy New Year Pullback
December 31, 2004, 8:51 am
Fred still expects a rocky start to 2005.

Rhyming Into the New Year
December 30, 2004, 8:45 am
Will today's current market history continue to track 1999's?

A Tax-Smart Shake-Up
December 29, 2004, 8:54 am
Fred plans to redeploy assets in his portfolio, and fool the taxman at the same time.

Smart Money Talks
December 28, 2004, 8:43 am
Intraday trading patterns and commercial futures activity points to a pullback.

Seasonal Drift
December 27, 2004, 12:00 am
The coming mid-holiday week should be slow -- and upwardly biased.

Fred's Price/Volume Christmas Carol
December 23, 2004, 12:42 am
Fred signs off for the holidays with a pair of now-and-then holiday charts.

Christmas Present, Christmas Past
December 22, 2004, 8:47 am
It's still getting to look at lot like Christmas -- Christmas 1999, that is.

Volume Fluctuations
December 21, 2004, 7:20 am
Look for a low volume rally, and then a high volume pullback for the holidays.

Shades of Christmas Past
December 20, 2004, 8:47 am
Trading this season reminds Fred of the holiday patterns of 1999.

Sevened Out
December 17, 2004, 8:52 am
No buy signal -- and maybe a pullback instead.

New High, New Buy
December 16, 2004, 8:20 am
We're on the verge of a new Quick Summary Index buy signal.

Absolutely Positive
December 15, 2004, 9:41 am
We're an inch away from an important bullish shift in the number of positive indicators.

News Highs
December 14, 2004, 8:14 am
News lifted some indices to new highs -- is this the start of something bigger?

The Set-Up
December 13, 2004, before 12:00 am
With almost no positive indicators left, things might get bad enough for a great buying opportunity.

Release of Tension
December 10, 2004, 7:49 am
An amazing number of overextended indicators have already worked off the excesses.

Sorry State
December 9, 2004, 7:44 am
The market continues to show all the classic signs of basic weakness.

Deranged
December 8, 2004, 7:20 am
The S&P 500 broke out of it's ultra-narrow trading range yesterday -- with a bang.

Stuck in Neutral
December 7, 2004, 12:00 am
The market could use a good pullback from which to make a new run at the highs.

A Correction is Due
December 6, 2004, before 12:00 am
It doesn't have to be a rout -- but at least it will be a rest. Be ready. 

Tipping the Cap
December 3, 2004, 7:04 am
Large-cap stocks stole the show yesterday from their small-cap rivals.

The Sell Signal and the Uptrend
December 2, 2004, 9:00 am
Here's a paradox: Fred is buying stocks, despite his new sell signal.

Nearing the Turn
December 1, 2004, 6:34 am
A Summary Index "double-dip sell signal" is likely to come at today's close.

The Pros Turn Con
November 30, 2004, 6:54 am
The Commitments of Traders reports reveal professional traders getting bearish.

Digesting the Turkey
November 29, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred tries to make sense of last week's low volume holiday trading.

Test Passed
November 24, 2004, 8:50 am
The market successfully tested support from the January 2002 highs -- for the moment.

Retracement
November 23, 2004, 8:42 am
Yesterday's rise retraced 50% of Friday's drop. That means another test.

Beginning to Feel Like Fall
November 22, 2004, before 12:00 am
The indicators are deteriorating, and a sell signal can't be far off.

Turndown
November 19, 2004, 8:32 am
The Summary Index reverses itself -- but the double dip sell signal is still some time away.

Stay the Course, Of Course
November 18, 2004, 3:10 am
There's a double dip sell signal in the future, but in the meantime, why worry?

Take a Break Before the Holiday
November 16, 2004, 8:26 am
Fred looks for higher highs in 2004, but thinks the markets may take a rest here, first.

Smart -- Like 1999
November 15, 2004, before 12:00 am
The Smart Money Indicator reminds Fred of 1999 -- for at least a while, that's a good thing.

Sweet 17
November 12, 2004, 7:31 am
A Summary Index sell signal -- at least a weak one, in the midst of an uptrend, is now inevitable.

Introducing the "Trend Indicator"
November 11, 2004, 8:34 am
Fred unveils an important and exciting new technical tool.

Tomorrow Never Comes
November 10, 2004, 8:49 am
If we don't get a sell signal today or tomorrow, we may not get one for weeks.

The Streak is Over
November 9, 2004, 7:12 am
But a big bull move could be just beginning, if we make it through the next couple days.

Streaking Toward a Sell
November 8, 2004, before 12:00 am
The market's on a near-historic winning streak, but it's setting up an inevitable sell signal.

Tread Carefully -- But Tread!
November 5, 2004, 7:48 am
No doubt about it, the market's on the move. But it's close to over-extended, too.

A Pause to Refresh, Then...
November 4, 2004, 8:50 am
Fred says the market needs a quick rest before the next leg up.

Entry Point
November 3, 2004, 8:44 am
A post-election rally won't necessarily be the best time to buy stocks.

Fair and Balanced
November 2, 2004, 8:21 am
The technical position of the market is as divided as the election.

And Now, We Wait
November 1, 2004, before 12:00 am
The election will be decisive for America, and for the technical condition of the market.

Bull Tracks
October 29, 2004, 7:41 am
Lots of technical evidence points to the upside -- at least for the moment.

What a Day!
October 28, 2004, 8:52 am
The S&P 500 Price/Volume Chart has given a classic short-term buy signal.

Out of Order
October 27, 2004, 5:22 am
Did yesterday's big upmove come too soon? Some indicators think it may have been important.

Wait and See
October 25, 2004, 4:18 am
A week till the election, and key technical signals are getting cued up.

Growth in the Driver's Seat
October 22, 2004, 7:20 am
Growth is outperforming value, and that's a good sign for the market.

In Nothing, Something
October 21, 2004, 6:39 am
Fred suspects that this quiet market may have a big surprise in store for us.

A Peek at the Bleak
October 20, 2004, 7:22 am
Negatives abound -- so save some powder for the inevitable buying opportunity.

Eyeing a Buying
October 18, 2004, before 12:00 am
Technicals are starting to get negative enough to put a buy signal in view.

Below Average
October 15, 2004, 8:32 am
The important S&P 500 200-day moving average has turned down -- and the index has moved below it, on the same day.

Going Negative
October 14, 2004, 9:01 am
You think the presidential campaign is bad? So is the market.

Reverse Angle Replay
October 13, 2004, 9:00 am
Tuesday undid Monday. Now the market plays wait-and-see.

Post-Columbus Backlash
October 12, 2004, 8:47 am
Quiet Monday -- but maybe a not so quiet week.

Sector Vectors
October 11, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred starts a review of the major stock sectors -- and a new position in gold.

Size Matters
October 8, 2004, 8:21 am
When you know which way to bet, how to you know how big to make the bet?

Upside-Down Double Dip?
October 7, 2004, 8:08 am
The Summary Index is headed toward a "secondary sell signal" -- but in the meantime, markets move higher.

Filters, Trendlines and Funds
October 6, 2004, 11:13 am
Fred talks about technical techniques new and old, and two new mutual funds.

Almost, But Not Quite
October 5, 2004, 9:04 am
The market flirted with a breakout, but volume and momentum fell.

Big Day, Big Questions
October 4, 2004, 12:05 am
Fred examines a market at the crossroads -- and his own trading style.

Mercky Waters
October 1, 2004, 5:02 am
The troubles of a single drug company masked a pretty good day in the market.

History Upside-Down
September 30, 2004, 8:21 am
Fred finds remarkable inverse parallels between the past bear and the present bull.

Looking Across the Valley
September 29, 2004, 7:41 am
In the midst of a still-new sell signal, Fred sees brighter days just ahead.

Moving Rapidly Slowly
September 28, 2004, 7:32 am
Technicals are quickly shifting to negative -- but volume is drying up again.

The Sell Signal has Arrived
September 27, 2004, before 12:00 am
Okay... so now what do we do about it?

Storm Warning
September 24, 2004, 8:54 am
Sell signal coming -- but will it be a tropical storm, a hurricane, or just rain?

Trend Reversal
September 23, 2004, 7:51 am
Get ready: yesterday's drop could bring a Summary Index sell signal in a matter of days.

The Fed as Expected
September 22, 2004, 7:58 am
Yesterday's FOMC announcement had no surprises -- which is always a good thing.

Stalled
September 21, 2004, 8:50 am
Why is the market like Fred's car? Read this and see.

Tricky New Year
September 20, 2004, 8:38 am
Was Friday's volume spike just an aberration of Thursday's Jewish New Year?

Sell In May, and... What, Exactly?
September 17, 2004, 4:26 am
Is volume ever going to come back into this market?

Weaker Weakness than Expected
September 16, 2004, 6:47 am
Fred got the weakness he was looking for -- and it wasn't that bad.

Overextended?
September 15, 2004, 6:34 am
The market has risen in 17 of the last 22 sessions. How long can this go on?

Coming Back to Life
September 14, 2004, 4:08 am
Volume is creeping back as the market creeps higher.

Sun Shines: Make Hay
Monday, September 13, 2004, 1:40 am
Our buy signals are in profit, and there's still room to grow.

Taking It Laterally
September 10, 2004, 2:32 am
The NASDAQ is showing signs of life on the Price/Volume Charts, but markets are still basically churning.

Market in the Middle
September 9, 2004, 8:47 am
Volume is better, but still low -- the market is still drifting.

Transition Period
September 8, 2004, 8:48 am
We move from summer to fall. How soon will we move from buy signal to sell signal?

Happy New Year, and Happy Birthday
September 7, 2004, before 12:00 am
With Labor Day done, the new market year begins -- and Fred's Discretionary Technical Portfolio turns two.

The Trigger Approaches
September 2, 2004, 3:01 am
The Summary Index is close to its sell signal trigger level -- but the signal itself could be weeks away.

Escape From New York
August 30, 2004, before 12:00 am
Traders are vanishing -- and they've taken the volume with them.

The Labor Day Cycle
August 27, 2004, 8:59 am
Fred detects a seasonal cycle to the Labor Day holiday (and it's not good).

Energy Crisis
August 26, 2004, 8:50 am
The indicators are becoming too positive, too fast. Will the market run out of upside energy?

Marking Time
August 25, 2004, 8:44 am
Markets are in do-nothing mode ahead of the holiday and the GOP convention.

Holiday Weak
August 24, 2004, 8:49 am
Yesterday's low-volume decline was a bullish sign, but consider the risks too.

Four Out of Five Technicians Agree! But...
August 23, 2004, before 12:00 am
...but the market always does whatever it has to so surprise the majority.

Did I Buy? Yes. Am I Cautious? Yes!
August 20, 2004, 8:50 am
Fred adds to his equity positions, but looks to a rocky pre-election season.

Shifting into Secondary Gear
August 19, 2004, 8:42 am
A sudden bullish swing in eleven indicators ushers in a secondary buy signal.

Show Me the Volume!
August 18, 2004, 8:46 am
The indicators are looking great, but without volume it may not mean much.

Bouncing Ball Becomes Breakout?
August 17, 2004, 8:47 am
Fred sees potential in this go-nowhere market -- but says wait till it proves itself.

Goodbye Charley?
August 16, 2004, before 12:00 am
Last week was a market hurricane. Has it burned itself out?

Double Dip: Done
August 13, 2004, 7:49 am
The double dip Fred predicted has happened. Wouldn't you know it's Friday the 13th?

Another Day, Another Double-Dip Deferred
August 12, 2004, 7:50 am
Fred still hasn't acted on last week's buy signal. But there are tentative signs that might make him take a small bite.

Double-Dip Delayed, By Days At Least
August 11, 2004, 8:55 am
Yesterday's rally was encouraging for the moment, but the volume wasn't there.

Going to Extremes
August 10, 2004, 8:51 am
We're moving toward the point of negativity where high probability rally signals are born.

Experience is the Only Holy Grail
August 9, 2004, before 12:00 am
On what it takes to turn technical indicators into real investment success.

Now You Know Why I Waited
August 6, 2004, 8:53 am
It looks like the "double dip" Fred predicted is on the way. Be careful out there.

Congratulations: It's a Buy
August 5, 2004, 8:54 am
Fred takes profits on his shorts, and contemplates how to best play the new buy signal.

A Double-Dip?
August 4, 2004, 8:53 am
A buy signal may well come at today's close, but Fred is in no hurry to play it.

Go, Speed Racer!
August 3, 2004, 8:51 am
A buy signal will probably come tomorrow -- and it may qualify as a "big" one.

The Book on Buy Signals
August 2, 2004, before 12:00 am
Lessons from history on what makes a good buy signal: if the next one comes quickly, it could be a good one.

Patience is a Virtue
July 30, 2004, 3:40 am
Fred cautions readers to wait for the Summary Index buy signal -- it's coming!

The Buy Signal is Left Outside
July 29, 2004, 5:50 am
"Outside days" presage big moves -- but yesterday's delayed the buy signal.

It's Today -- Or It's Not
July 28, 2004, 7:48 am
If the market doesn't make a stand today, we'll have to wait at least a week for a buy signal.

Triggered
July 27, 2004, 8:05 am
Yesterday made slight new lows, but it set up the Quick Summary Index for a coming buy signal.

Out of Weakness, Strength
July 26, 2004, before 12:00 am
Be patient -- but things are getting so negative, a buy signal can't be far off.

Trappings
July 23, 2004, 8:39 am
Bull traps. Bear traps. They're nothing compared to the trading range trap.

We Won't Get Fooled Again
July 22, 2004, 8:55 am
Fred's indicators kept him from a bull trap, and now he sidesteps a possible bear trap, too.

Too Instant Gratification
July 21, 2004, 2:49 am
Yesterday's big move kept the indicators from reaching a definitive bottom.

The End is Near?
July 20, 2004, 8:29 am
Fred's now seeing evidence that the market is overextended to the downside.

Dangerous Liaison
July 19, 2004, before 12:00 am
The 200-day and 50-day moving averages of the S&P 500 could soon cross -- in the wrong direction.

Close-Up and Personal
July 16, 2004, 8:43 am
Is this trading range like a distorted photograph? Maybe it's time to back up a bit.

Tipping Point?
July 15, 2004, 8:46 am
Volume is up, technicals are down. But so far we're still stuck in the range.

Trust in the Thrust?
July 14, 2004, 8:51 am
The Thrust Oscillator says sell -- but overall, it's still a trading range.

Channel Surfing
July 13, 2004, 8:42 am
The market's dynamics are keying off its position within the trading range.

Cycle Logical?
July 12, 2004, before 12:00 am
Most cyclical theories of the market don't make sense -- but here are a couple that do.

Gathering Speed, but a Speed-Bump Ahead
July 9, 2004, 8:49 am
Downside momentum is picking up, but today we face potentially important support.

She's (Not) Got Legs
July 8, 2004, 8:46 am
Yesterday was a nice relief, but we're still moving down the trading range.

Still Neutral -- But Cautious
July 7, 2004, 8:27 am
Deteriorating indicators predicted yesterday's drop, but on balance we're still rangebound.

The Bear Case
July 6, 2004, before 12:00 am
We're still just in a trading range so far, but it's prudent to look at the negative signs.

And They're Off
July 2, 2004, 3:00 am
The second quarter ended with a whimper and the third started with a bang.

Crowd Pleaser
July 1, 2004, 3:00 am
Game, set and match. A difficult quarter ends quietly.

Are there Problems? Absolutely!
June 30, 2004, 3:00 am
Fred worries about the tiny difference between advances and declines.

One Down and One To Go
June 29, 2004, 3:00 am
Bush eliminated the Iraq wild card two days early, but we still have to wait for the FOMC.

Bracing for the Unexpected
June 28, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred's getting extra cautious ahead of a tricky week of big events.

Quiet, But Good
June 25, 2004, 3:57 am
Beneath yesterday's sleepy facade was a good technical day.

Does One Good Day Deserve Another?
June 24, 2004, 7:10 am
Yesterday was the way it's supposed to be. But will it be back to the same old trading range today?

Long Time?
June 23, 2004, 7:26 am
Readers want to know why Fred is staying long during this Summary Index sell signal.

Strict Neutrality
June 22, 2004, 8:15 am
22 neutral indicators! That's only happened four times before, and always during a sell signal.

Our Date with Destiny
June 21, 2004, before 12:00 am
Markets are frozen in the headlights of the June 30 mega-events -- but they may surprise us by coming to life before then.

Mild Seasoning
June 18, 2004, 8:19 am
We're in the doldrums. But don't let your guard down.

Talking Trading Sense
June 17, 2004, 8:15 am
A smart trader considers the costs of trading, and measures them against potential gains.

Trading the Trading Range
June 16, 2004, 8:24 am
This kind of market calls for a special approach to technical analysis.

The Sell Signal Arrives
June 15, 2004, 7:23 am
We've moved up through the trading range, and now it's time to take profits.

On the Brink
June 14, 2004, before 12:00 am
Unless there's a rally today, the March 31 buy and the May 25 "secondary buy" are history.

Sell Signal is Possible
June 10, 2004, 6:18 am
Back in the area of the highs on the S&P, a sell could come next week unless the indicators perk up.

Shhh!
June 9, 2004, 7:47 am
A quiet market prepares to get quieter -- while the indicators get more and more positive.

Speed Bumps?
June 8, 2004, 7:21 am
With yesterday's big move, the market now faces some real resistance.

It's Not Different This Time
June 7, 2004, before 12:00 am
Don't believe reports trashing the put/call ratio and NYSE specialist short ratio -- believe the indicators!

Apollo 13?
June 4, 2004, 3:22 am
Fred Goodman
Is the buy signal still go-for-launch? Or, Houston, do we have a problem?

The Missing Link
June 3, 2004, 8:41 am
There's just one problem with the market's technical condition: volume is too low.

Nothing Negative
June 2, 2004, 8:46 am
Of Fred's 29 major indicators, today there is not a single negative one!

A Positive Surprise
June 1, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred's new study shows that technically overbought markets act a lot different than you'd ever guess.

Making History
May 28, 2004, 8:46 am
An indicator that (so far) has never missed made one of its few signals in over half a century.

Kicking Back and Waiting
May 27, 2004, 8:41 am
The pre-holiday lull is already upon us -- next week, favorable seasonals come into play.

The Tide Turns
May 26, 2004, 8:40 am
Coming right up: a test of the S&P 500 50-day moving average.

We Got Our Signal -- Big Time
May 25, 2004, before 12:00 am
The market was seemingly quiet, but the indicators spoke loudly.

It's All Coming Together for the Bulls
May 24, 2004, before 12:00 am
There will be a rare "secondary" SI buy signal today -- and scads of indicators are turning positive at the same time.

A Secondary Buy Signal?
May 21 2004, 8:55 am
The Summary Index is poised to lay a new buy signal on top of the one it already gave on March 31.

That Was the Bounce That Was
May 20, 2004, 2:55 am
And now we wait, while the indicators patiently move to the bull side.

Signs of Life
May 19, 2004, 8:38 am
Indicators Fred hasn't heard from since the March 2003 bottom are starting to line up bullish.

Bounce Alert
May 18, 2004, 7:17 am
Key indicators are turning bullish -- time to clean house and prepare for a bounce.

What a Day!
May 13, 2004, before 4:02 am
We're not out of the woods, but yesterday's stunning reversal was clearly bullish.

Extreme Sports
May 10, 2004, before 12:00 am
The number of negative indicators is at an extreme reading of 22 -- a rally has to be near.

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
May 7, 2004, 8:48 am
The jobs report will roil the markets for a while -- but we're still in a low-volume trading range.

I Like To Watch
May 6, 2004, 7:13 am
Jobs on Friday -- another excuse for the market to watch, instead of trade.

Just as I Predicted -- Sort Of
May 5, 2004, 2:41 am
Fred had it right for FOMC day, but the market still managed to throw a curve-ball.

Walking into the Sweet Spot
May 4, 2004, 8:51 am
Yesterday's rally wasn't exactly impressive, but technicals and seasonals are beginning to converge to the upside.

Brace for a Bounce
May 3, 2004, before 12:00 am
And maybe a big one -- we could be close to a double buy signal.

A Bounce Coming Up
April 30, 2004, 8:41 am
We got Price/Volume sell loops -- but Fred thinks there's a bounce in our future anyway.

So Bad It's Good?
April 29, 2004, 12:00 am
Sell loops were completed yesterday, but the indicators are rapidly approaching a negative extreme.

Still Circling
April 28, 2004, 8:26 am
No resolution to the Price/Volume loops yet -- but the positive seasonals may come into play next week.

Still Hanging on Loops
April 27, 2004, 9:25 am
The Price/Volume loops still have all their options open.

There's Life in the Loops
April 26, 2004, before 12:00 am
The Price/Volume Charts are coming into play -- and probably on the upside.

Curb Your Enthusiasm
April 23, 2004, 8:13 am
Fred didn't get shaken out on Tuesday, but he's not chasing yesterday's bull move either.

Short Term Troubles
April 22, 2004, 7:56 am
The market calmed yesterday, but all the Price/Volume charts confirmed sell loops.

Thanks, Alan
April 21, 2004, 9:07 am
The market evaluates the reality of higher rates sooner rather than later.

Big Little Market
April 20, 2004, 8:42 am
Riddle me this: why is the market like a children's book?

Reverse Angle Replay
April 19, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's like February all over again. But the indecision won't last forever.

Eye of the Storm
April 16, 2004, 7:16 am
Yesterday's indecisive action was on high volume -- the market may be close to making up it's mind.

Goodbye Easy Comparables
April 15, 2004, 7:20 am
With the bull market maturing, it's no longer easy for stocks to look good.

Mixed Bag
April 14, 2004, 8:48 am
It was a bad day, but a new indicator is just gave a buy signal.

Give Me a Slow Hand
April 13, 2004, 8:47 am
The market remains technically robust despite low volume, and Fred reviews the details of the RSI.

Will the Fighting Fight the Tape?
April 12, 2004, before 12:00 am
Fred expects a continued up-move -- but worries that Iraq violence may derail things.

Yesterday Was a Good Day... Really!
April 8, 2004, 2:54 am
Behind apparent weakness was real technical strength.

Uprising in Iraq, Not the Market
April 7, 2004, 7:41 am
With low holiday volume, the rally probably can't pick up until next week.

Problems in Volume
April 6, 2004, 8:52 am
Great rally? Yeah, but the volume has dried up again!

It's Great Ointment, But there's a Fly In It
April 5, 2004, before 12:00 am
Volume is back -- but there's just one indicator that's rubbing Fred the wrong way.

So Far, So Good
April 2, 2004, 8:32 am
Our new buy signal got off to a great start. But Fred's still worried about volume.

Buy Signal!
April 1, 2004, 8:43 am
It's here! The low volume is still troubling, but things look great for small and midcap stocks.

A Buy by Today, or Maybe by Tomorrow
March 31, 2004, 7:45 am
It looks like Fred is going to get his April Fools Day buy signal (and that's no joke).

Overhead Resistance was Futile
March 30, 2004, 8:49 am
There will be some weakness today, but Fred expects the rally to keep going.

Reverse Engines!
March 29, 2004, before 12:00 am
Winners became losers last week, and losers became winners. Perfect for an April Fools Day buy signal.

Big Rally + Small Volume = Big Question
March 26, 2004, 7:32 am
Was it for real? Maybe yes, but the volume argues for no.

A Big Bowl of Nothing
March 25, 2004, 8:13 am
All that happened yesterday was that nothing happened.

Waiting for April Fools
March 24, 2004, 7:42 am
Based on traditional new-month strength, April Fools Day could be the start of a real rally.

Destiny Takes a Hand
March 23, 2004, 8:53 am
From the rubble of a terrifying day in the market, a buy signal becomes inevitable.

Low-Volume Languishing
March 22, 2004, before 12:00 am
We could be just a day or two away from a buy signal -- but it's not yet inevitable.

Why Fred Doesn't Want a Buy Signal
March 19, 2004, 4:18 am
Why settle for a Quick Summary Index buy signal, when a full-fledged Summary Index buy signal is just around the corner?

Bracing for a Buy, So Soon?
March 18, 2004, 8:55 am
As the market shrugs off bad news, we could be looking at another buy signal in a matter of days.

Something for Everybody -- and Nobody
March 17, 2004, 7:46 am
Don' t like the market? Wait 15 minutes. 

Looking Across the Valley
March 16, 2004, 8:46 am
The great thing about market weakness is that it always sets up the next buy signal.

Returning to the Scene of the Crime
March 15, 2004, before 12:00 am
Friday's big rally was on low-volume, and may be no more than a snap-back to the point of break-down from the trading range.

Leaving Home on the Range
March 12, 2004, 6:11 am
The buy signal ends precisely when the trading range has been violated -- to the downside.

Critical Mess
March 11, 2004, 6:51 am
Volume is back, and it's starting to look nasty. Here's a major review of the indicators.

Fred Takes the Fifth
March 10, 2004, 6:44 am
Like clockwork, the first-five-days seasonals have played out again this month.

Low-Volume Rotation
March 9, 2004, 5:35 am
Moves within the trading range on low volume don't mean anything.

The Big Squeeze
March 8, 2004, before 12:00 am
The trading range gets narrower and narrower. Only volume can make a breakout happen.

Testing, Testing, 123
March 5, 2004, 4:52 am
This low-volume market could be setting up for a test of the bottom of our narrow trading range.

Same Trading Range, New Technique
March 4, 2004, 8:57 am
Fred unveils a first look at a new tool for applying Price/Volume Charting to individual stocks.

Fourth Down
March 3, 2004, 1:45 am
The trading range now has four tops above 1155 -- when do we go for the goal?

But... Where is the Volume?
March 2, 2004, 7:58 am
An in-depth study of trading volume makes yesterday's advance even more questionable.

The Doctor Is In
March 1, 2004, before 12:00 am
Dr. Goodman puts the market on his couch for some much needed cycle-analysis.

Waiting for a Break
February 27, 2004, 8:46 am
Still in the trading range -- but making plans for the breakout.

Range of Possibilities
Thursday, February 26, 2004, 5:39 am
The market's losing streak ended -- but leaves us stuck in the trading range.

The Sign of the Five
February 25, 2004, 8:42 am
Fred looks at what has happened in history when the market has dropped five days in a row -- like it just did.

Tech Dreck
February 24, 2004, 8:45 am
The market's darling sector has suddenly become the dog.

The 6% Solution
February 23, 2004, before 12:00 am
We're stuck in a 6% trading range -- but one of the most reliable indicators of all is turning very bullish.

Wha' Hoppen?
February 20, 2004, 8:08 am
Everything was going along so well until the bottom fell out. Just more trading range behavior?

Don't Fence Me In
February 19, 2004, 8:47 am
Trading ranges aren't fun -- but you have to stay alert, because they all eventually end.

Disappointing Points
February 18, 2004, 8:40 am
Love the rally? Fred worries that all was not as rosy at it seemed.

New Economy Down, Old Economy Up
February 17, 2004, before 12:00 am
Old-fashioned basic materials have been beating new-fangled tech!

A Rest, and Then... A Rest?
Friday, February 13, 2004, 8:28 am
A surging market took a break -- and now comes a holiday.

Congratulations: It's a Buy!
February 12, 2004, 8:48 am
In less than two weeks, we've now gone from a sell signal to a buy signal.

Maestro, If You Please...
February 11, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's Greenspeak day... and it could be what we need to ignite a buy signal.

Loop Pooped
Tuesday, February 10, 2004, 2:51 am
The Price/Volume buy-loops failed to materialize -- but a QSI buy signal waits in the wings.

Getting It Out of Our System?
February 9, 2004, before 12:00 am
Just a week after a sell signal, we could be looking at a buy within days!

Day Off
February 6, 2004, 2:14 am
Against a quiet market, Fred listens to the Fed and finds a nifty new ETF.

The Sweet Spot Goes Sour
February 5, 2004, 8:45 am
The first five days of the month are historically the best. What happened? Our sell signal, that's what!

This Quiet Won't Last
February 4, 2004, 1:02 am
The market has eked out gains in quiet sessions, but its days are numbered.

The Rot Spreads -- And Fast
February 3, 2004, 1:07 am
The indicators are turning negative with blinding speed.

The Sell Signal is Official
February 2, 2004, before 12:00 am
It's not if, it's not when. It's now -- and there could be a nice bounce here to sell into.

It's Just A Shot Away
January 30, 2004, 3:29 am
A Summary Index sell signal is inevitable at the close -- and the Price/Volume loops have already turned.

Freaky Friday?
January 29, 2004, 2:19 am
At this rate, we could have a Summary Index sell signal as soon as tomorrow.

Absolutely Correct
January 28, 2004, 7:49 am
Smells like a correction is in the wind, but it's still to early to jump out.

Last Minute Rescue
January 27, 2004, 2:36 am
Yesterday volume came in as the market went up in the final hour.

Bears Today, Bulls Tomorrow?
January 26, 2004, before 12:00 am
Short-term signals are getting negative, but some longer-term ones are shaping up bullish.

The Big Get Bigger
January 23, 2004, 8:48 am
Will the pundits finally be right? Large-cap stocks come to life.

No Second Guessing
Thursday, January 22, 2004, 8:41 am
Is this a replay of last April's bull run?

Four In A Row
January 21, 2004, 2:51 am
The indicators are unchanged again -- so the buy signal goes onward.

Drink Up!
January 20, 2004, before 12:00 am
What's not to like about new highs? Nothing... except that they won't last forever.

Stronger Longer?
January 16, 2004, 8:48 am
Moves always last longer than you expect. But today's bullish sentiment is worrying Fred.

Earnings Seasonings
January 15, 2004, 3:10 am
The market is technically overextended, so even good earnings news might be bad news.

Complexion Problem
January 14, 2004, 2:17 am
Fred says the complexion of the market is changing -- for the worse.

A Good Place to Go Nowhere
January 13, 2004, 5:27 am
Technically, the market was a wash yesterday -- we remain stuck in buy mode.

Storm Clouds Gathering
January 12, 2004, before 12:00 am
No sell signal yet, but more and more indicators are pointing to trouble ahead.

High Five
January 9, 2004, 2:50 am
The first five days of January are usually strong. And they were.

Chop Shop
January 8, 2004, 8:40 am
Was the market choppy? Yes. Was it strong, too? Yes.

On Stand-Buy
January 7, 2004, 3:14 am
With Fred's Summary Index now above 17.00, it's just a matter of staying long until the inevitable sell signal.

A Date with Destiny... Again
January 6, 2004, 4:01 am
This rally is great (and it's great to be long)... but the bullish technicals can only be stretched so far.

Coming into Strength
January 5, 2004, before 12:00 am
There are a lot of reasons to expect a strong market this week.

Out with the Old
January 2, 2004, 12:00 am
Fred's eager to get back to a normal market -- but the negative signs are starting to pile up.


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Fred Goodman, CFP, is a fee-only Certified Financial Planner based in Los Angeles. To send Fred your questions or comments, click here: Fred@MarketMonograph.com. E-mail sent to Fred may be edited for clarity and brevity and published on this web site, and may include your name unless you request anonymity or specify not for publication. The charts and commentary represent what Fred thinks about the market and what he is thinking of doing for his own account and for accounts he manages at the time of writing. Fred, his clients, or his family may have positions or may make trades in securities mentioned in these commentaries. There is no guarantee that you will profit from trading as discussed herein. You may lose money and Fred assumes no responsibility for what you do or do not do with this information. Copyright © 2001-2009 Fred Goodman. All rights reserved.

For information purposes only, offered as a periodical of general circulation; not to be deemed to be recommendations for buying or selling specific securities or to constitute personalized investment advice. Derived from sources believed to be reliable, but no warranty is made as to accuracy.