| Fred
Goodman: 2003
Stay Long, But Stay Alert December
31, 2003, 8:48 am The new Quick Summary
Index moves toward a sell signal (if the Summary Index doesn't get there first).
A Wild New Year's Party
December 30, 2003, 4:50 am
Fred's glad he got into the bull camp last week --
but the indicators are on the verge of getting seriously overextended here.
A Happy Holiday, So Far
December 29, 2003, before 12:00
am The Dow is mimicking its excellent holiday
season performance in 1998.
Meet "The Quick Summary Index" December
26, 2003, 1:31 am Must reading: Fred unveils
a major enhancement to his most important technical tool.
Fred's Christmas Present: Innovation
December 24, 2003, 8:40 am
Get ready for major new enhancements to Fred's basic
technical trading paradigm.
Something New from Goodman Labs December
23, 2003, 3:12 am Fred drops the first
hints of a coming major enhancement to his Summary Index.
Slow Down, Market Up?
December 22, 2003, before 12:00
am Volume will start to slow now -- but
a number of long-term indicators are starting to look positive.
Knowing When Not to Listen
December 19, 2003, 8:52 am
A rare VIX 3-day trading sell signal has occurred
-- and Fred says it's a signal to ignore.
Will the Trend End?
Thursday,
December 18, 2003, 8:45 am The market has
been an a slow uptrend -- is a breakout imminent?
And It Was Good
December 17, 2003, 8:48 am
At last -- the market treats good news as good news.
Is this a turning point?
Good News was Bad News December
16, 2003, 7:45 am A technically weak market
can't be pumped up by even the most bullish news.
A Test from Tikrit
December 15, 2003, before 12:00
am The best news yet from the Iraq war
will tell us what this market is made of.
Better Lucky and Smart
December 12, 2003, 6:55 am
A data-error led to a great trade!
Fred Sticks with VIX
December 11, 2003, 3:00 am
A new VIX 3-day trading buy signal makes Fred cover
his short hedge.
Splitting the Baby December
10, 2003, 7:23 am The FOMC's Solomon-like
decision pleased no one.
Dow Now December
9, 2003, 8:29 am Suddenly large-cap has
stolen the lead from small-cap and tech.
Beneath the Golden Glitter
December 8, 2003, before 12:00 am
Fred thinks gold isn't as golden as it looks, and
considers taking some profits.
Saved by the Bell December
5, 2003, 8:48 am Yesterday's late-day strength
reversed the prior day's late-day weakness.
Five Day Wonder
December 4, 2003, 8:10 am
Fred unveils a new seasonal trading technique based
on the best five days of the month.
Seasonals Greetings
December 3, 2003, 3:48 am
Fred begins to explore monthly and daily seasonal
patterns within the Presidential election cycle.
Turn, Turn, Turn
December 2, 2003, 3:08 am
The last week was the fastest ever turnaround for
Fred's indicators. Now -- can it last?
Here We Go Again
December 1, 2003, before 12:00 am
The market flirts unenthusiastically with new highs
-- and another "premature upturn" in the Summary Index seems inevitable.
Another Turkey?
November 26, 2003, 8:48 am
The Summary Index seems poised to make yet another
premature upturn -- with no buy signal.
Surprise, Surprise, Surprise!
November 25, 2003, 2:48 am
Fred predicted this -- but he didn't predict this!
After Thanksgiving, A Buy Signal? Monday,
November 24, 2003, before 12:00 am The
Summary Index is headed toward the level that will make a buy inevitable.
Bad News November
21, 2003, 8:04 am The news is bad and the
technicals are weak. It's amazing the market didn't do worse.
All Glitters (Especially Gold)
November 20, 2003, 8:48 am
Markets recovered a bit yesterday -- but gold stocks
made new highs.
Book 'Em! November
19, 2003, 3:26 am The markets look sicker
and sicker -- but Fred's found a new book he really loves.
Misery Loves Company
November 18, 2003, 2:42 am
Everything got whacked yesterday -- even gold.
Developing the Negatives
November 17, 2003, before 12:00
am The S&P briefly made new highs on
Friday -- while all the technicals continue to deteriorate.
Stocks Flatline, Gold Soars
Friday,
November 14, 2003, 8:48 am While the stock
market stutters, gold flirts with the magical 400 level.
Going for the Gold
Thursday,
November 13, 2003, 8:55 am The technicals
are finally falling into place, and Fred goes shopping for a gold fund.
Incriminating Negatives
November 12, 2003, 1:40 am
The technical condition of the market is just getting
worse and worse.
Getting Turned Down November
11, 2003, 8:48 am Fred discusses some of
his most obscure indicators -- because they're all turning down now!
A Star is Born Monday,
November 10, 2003, before 12:00 am The
Price/Volume Charts are making rare "star formations" -- which probably
means the trading range will continue.
Cycle Logical
Friday,
November 7, 2003, 8:56 am How to use the
presidential election cycle to prepare for the coming market year.
Bull Trap?
November 6, 2003, 3:35 am
Fred thinks a decline is about to set in -- and hopes
it will clear the way for the first meaningful rally in three months.
Hell to the Chief?
Wednesday,
November 5, 2003, 4:18 am Fred looks at
the presidential election cycle -- and it isn't pretty.
Pullback? What Pullback?
November 4, 2003, 9:14 am
We're making new highs without ever having corrected
from the huge rally off the March lows.
Up Against the Wall, Bears!
November 3, 2003, before 12:00 am
Any move higher is a breakout -- yet Fred isn't putting
on his horns yet.
Worried About Not Being Scared October
31, 2003, 8:13 am Fred thinks that The
Big Rally can't happen until we've had a scary decline first.
Is Gold About to Glitter?
October 30, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred's new technical take on gold is getting more
and more bullish.
Deeper into the Gold Mine October
29, 2003, 8:52 am Fred continues to explore
applying his technical tricks to gold.
Gold! October
28, 2003, 2:48 am Fred starts to turn his
technical techniques to the yellow metal.
Roll Over and Play Dead
October 27, 2003, before 12:00 am
We might get a brief respite this week, but more indicators
are turning lower.
It Ain't Over Yet October
24, 2003, 8:18 am
Fred Goodman The S&P stood
its ground, but Fred thinks the worst is yet to come.
Risk Comes Home to Roost
October 23, 2003, 3:20 am
Intermediate and short-term indicators are in synch
to the downside.
Slow Market, Risky Market October
22, 2003, 4:05 am The market is trudging
ahead at a snail's pace -- and that represents a form of risk.
Valuing Volatility and Volume
October 21, 2003, 2:08 am
The premature upturn may be running out of steam --
while he waits, Fred studies days-of-the-week liquidity patterns.
Moment of Decision
October 20, 2003, before 12:00 am
The S&P is poised at a critical
support level. Today's action will speak volumes about what the future holds.
Quiet Day, Mixed Signals
October 17, 2003, 2:37 am
Fred's indicators are poised for potential signals
-- the problem is, they don't agree with each other!
Overturning the Upturn
October 16, 2003, 2:32 am
Technical indicators are deteriorating -- and Fred
thinks that this rally is, too.
Taking Stock (and a Couple Funds)
October 15, 2003, 7:48 am
Fred does a major review of short, intermediate and
long-term positions -- and adds two hot mutual funds.
Getting Highs
October 14, 2003, 8:48 am
The S&P 500 slouched to new recovery highs on
low volume -- should we care?
The Grasso is Greener October
13, 2003, before 12:00 am Fred discovers
an ultra-bullish long-term indicator based on NYSE specialist data.
Is That the Best We Can Do?
October 10, 2003, 3:33 am
More good jobs news, another market stall-out. What's
up with that?
Upturn Knows? October
9, 2003, 8:20 am Probably not -- premature
Summary Index upturns like yesterday's offer a poor track record for the bulls.
Up Against the Wall
October 8, 2003, 2:28 am
All the major indices have been stopped within a whisper
of their previous highs.
Pattern Busters October
7, 2003, 4:00 am Yesterday blew developing
technical patterns, both bullish and bearish.
A Cold Shoulder?
October 6, 2003, before 12:00 am
Friday's rally could be little more than part of a
dangerous head-and-shoulders pattern.
All Heat, No Light
October 3, 2003, 2:25 am
Tumult in the market hasn't produced definitive guidance
on direction.
Loops and Japan to the Rescue October
2, 2003, 8:48 am Fred's portfolio was short
the NASDAQ yesterday -- so how come it was up??
Knocked for a Loop
October 1, 2003, 7:58 am
Yesterday's steep drop nixed possible buy loops in
the Price/Volume Charts.
We Got the Bounce -- Now Pounce! September
30, 2003, 3:13 am Fred is getting ready
to use quarter-end strength to add to his shorts.
Over the Next Hill... a Big Valley?
September 29, 2003, before 12:00
am Fred expects a bounce -- here's how
to tell whether or not to sell into it.
Follow the Bouncing Ball
September 26, 2003, 3:05 am
This decline is getting some volume behind it, but
Fred thinks there's a bounce coming in the next couple days.
Volatility... It's Back!
September 25, 2003, 8:52 am
Or is it? One day doesn't make a trend... so watch
the Price/Volume charts.
Where has all the Volume Gone? September
24, 2003, 2:28 am September is supposed
to be a high-volume month -- but no volume, no move.
Pull Your Weight!
September 23, 2003, 8:47 am
After last week's sell signal, this decline is no
surprise -- but Fred demands strength from his few long positions.
Margin Call!
September 22, 2003, before 12:00
am NASDAQ margin debt has spiked to an
all-time high -- but does it mean what it seems to mean?
Technical Conflict
September 19, 2003, 6:55 am
Things are not as bullish as the bulls would like
-- but the put-call ratio doesn't help the bears, either.
Risk Control
September 18, 2003, 6:48 am
A history lesson in not having a heart attack while
trading sell signals.
Quite a Move September
17, 2003, 7:25 am Yesterday's pop gave
Fred a great chance to do some selling -- but he didn't go short yet.
Carve Another Notch
September 16, 2003, 5:20 am
The August buy signal has come and gone, with profits
for both the S&P and the NASDAQ.
On Edge September
15, 2003, before 12:00 am The Summary Index
closed precisely at its trigger point -- any move down, and we have a sell signal.
Going Both Ways
September 12, 2003, 3:12 am
The Summary Index sell signal could be any day now
-- but a short term trading indicator is saying buy!
Bin Laden, Done That
September 11, 2003, 2:33 am
The terror-master's video spooked the market -- and
now a Summary Index sell signal could come as soon as tomorrow.
Reversal of Fortune
September 10, 2003, 1:45 am
A raft of indicators went negative yesterday, but
there still probably won't be a sell signal until next week.
Life Extension
Tuesday,
September 9, 2003, 8:50 am Yesterday's
reversal of Friday's losses pushes the inevitable sell signal into the future.
The Streak is a Bust, But Now
a Thrust September
8, 2003, before 12:00 am The market finally
broke its winning run. But now Fred's Thrust Indicator is flashing a rare bull
signal.
And on the Ninth Day... September
5, 2003, 8:47 am ...the market rested?
Maybe, but this is a high-quality rally.
After the Holiday, a Vacation?
September 4, 2003, 7:45 am
With the market up 12 out of the last 14 days, it
may be time for a rest.
And They're Off! September
3, 2003, 8:48 am A great start to the post
Labor Day season -- but eventually a sell signal is inevitable.
Many Happy Returns
September 2, 2003, before 12:00
am The Discretionary Technical Portfolio
is one year old, and going strong. Now Fred introduces a high-powered new model
portfolio.
The Wind-Up... The Pitch... It's a Fastball! August
29, 2003, 4:10 am The buy signal is speeding
by, but the market may be getting ready to move up and out.
Smell the Flowers
August 28, 2003, 8:54 am
A quiet week is a good time to work on new investing
tools, and enjoy what we've accomplished.
Minimaxed Out?
August 27, 2003, 8:52 am
Fred introduces a new indicator on the verge of saying
sell -- but the Summary Index buy signal has just been extended.
Before the Storm
August 26, 2003, 8:48 am
Summer is almost over -- this low volume can't last,
and the market's indecision will be resolved.
Heading Into the Holiday
August 25, 2003, before 12:00 am
If the markets are preparing for the Labor Day holiday,
how come volume is picking up?
Short, But Sweet (for the Longs) August
22, 2003, 7:44 am The current buy signal
may not last forever -- but while it does, there's a low risk buying opportunity.
Speed Trap?
August 21, 2003, 8:48 am
The Summary Index is moving so fast at this point,
the buy signal could exhaust itself just after Labor Day.
Odd Index Out
August 20, 2003, 3:48 am
How come the S&P 500 is the only index not to
make new highs?
Contain Your Enthusiasm August
19, 2003, 8:55 am Fretful Fred finds fault
with the Summary Index buy signal -- but he finds a new fun fund, too.
No Wilder and Crazy Guy
August 18, 2003, before 12:00 am
The buy signal has arrived, but Fred's in-depth examination
of Welles Wilder's ADX indicator suggests playing it close to the vest.
When The Lights Come On, A Buy
Signal August
15, 2003, 2:05 am Unless the market trips
over something in the dark today, we'll get our Summary Index buy signal at the
close.
No Va-va-va-volume
August 14, 2003, 1:04 am
Unless the volume turns up, the market's not going
to turn up either.
It's Earlier Than You Think August
13, 2003, 5:15 am The Summary Index buy
signal could come as soon as Friday!
It Is Your Destiny!
August 12, 2003, 6:55 am
The Summary Index has fallen below the 4.5 trigger
level -- an eventual buy signal is now a sure thing.
The Inevitable Is Now Inevitable
August 11, 2003, before 12:00 am
The Summary Index seems destined to move below the
4.5 trigger level today -- and that sets up the coming buy signal.
VIX Redux
August 7, 2003, 8:48 am
The Volatility Index has given a second overlapping
buy signal -- but Fred hopes it's too early to matter.
Drip, Drip... Drop!
August 6, 2003, 4:48 am
Low volume down-days are quietly -- but effectively
-- moving the market lower.
Volatile Volatility August
5, 2003, 8:58 am This crazy market can't
decide whether to go nuts or sit still. So it does both.
For What It's Worse
August 4, 2003, before 12:00 am
Fred's indicators deteriorated further, and his Summary
Index is heading down again.
Another Wild Ride
August 1, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred predicts another crazy one today, and starts
looking at a whole new indicator.
Deeper into Volume
July 31, 2003, 9:02 am
Fred continues his technical study of volume, looking
at the history of its 5-day average.
Making It Up and Down in Volume
July 30, 2003, 4:17 am
Two news torpedoes hit the market yesterday -- but
volume was right out of Fred's play-book
Adjusting the Volume Again
July 29, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred explains how trading volume is playing more tricks
on investors.
The Truth about Volume July
28, 2003, before 12:00 am Fred reveals
an important study of historical price and volume patterns -- and it's different
than what you read anywhere else.
All the Market's a Stage...
July 25, 2003, 3:01 am
You know the market's stuck in a trading range when
Fred starts quoting Shakespeare.
It's All in the Volume
July 24, 2003, 1:48 am
Fred
Goodman While the market rests,
Fred introduces a new study on volume patterns.
Long Range Planning
July 23, 2003, 1:31 am
The trading range is lasting longer than anyone thought
-- so Fred is planning for the eventual breakout.
The Importance of Being Low Volume
July 22, 2003, 6:25 am
Think only high volume days are important? Think again.
Changing of the Guard?
July 21, 2003, before 12:00 am
Is leadership finally shifting to the large-cap sector?
Payback is Awesome
July 18, 2003, 3:48 am
Thursday's drop turned all the big winners into big
losers.
Unholy Trinity July
17, 2003, 8:55 am Three indicators that
have sustained the market are all turning negative.
Tech Rules
July 16, 2003, 8:12 am
Tech, micro-cap and Asia are leaving the Dow in the
dust.
Advanced Placement Class in Loopology July
15, 2003, 3:01 am Fred goes to the original
source material and brings out new insights into Price/Volume Charting.
Some Pain for Some Gain
July 14, 2003, before 12:00 am
Fred's expecting big new highs this year -- and a
big drop now will help set the stage.
I've Got Bad News, and I've Got
Bad News July
11, 2003, 2:57 am A technically weak market
did what technically weak markets always do.
Strong Expectations, Weak Technicals
July 10, 2003, 2:01 am
Even Yahoo's great numbers can't make a dent in a
technically weak market.
Learning the Loops July
9, 2003, 2:00 am While the markets churn
indecisively, Fred teaches how his Price/Volume loops could call the next move.
We Have (Premature) Lift-Off!
July 8, 2003, 8:45 am
The Summary Index as turned up, but at these levels
it's no buy signal.
Now It Gets Interesting July
7, 2003, before 12:00 am Last week was
a write-off -- but the next few days could be critical.
Breakout or Fake-out?
July 3, 2003 Never
put off until tomorrow what you can do the day after tomorrow -- Mark Twain.
Head Fake? Great One, But No
Touchdown July
2, 2003 The early decline broke out, but
we're right back in the trading range.
Much Ado About Nothing
July 1, 2003 The
end of the quarter and the reshuffle of the Russell created action without meaning.
Waiting for Big Gulp
June 30, 2003, before 12:00 am
We've had three swallows, when can we expect to test
946 support?
Sentimental Journey June
27, 2003, 2:22 am Short term sentiment
indicators are showing excessive bullishness -- and that's bearish.
The 1% Solution
June 26, 2003, 8:45 am
The Fed gave the market just what it expected. So
why the sell-off.
The Great Rate Wait June
25, 2003, 1:37 am Nothing doin' till FOMC
time today -- but in the background, the Summary Index is dropping rapidly.
Heck of a Start!
June 24, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred's not getting giddy, but yesterday was a nice
way to kick off his sell signal.
The Long Party is Finally Over
June 23, 2003, before 12:00 am
The Summary Index finally gave its sell signal on
Friday. Now what do we do about it?
Is This "It"?
June 20, 2003, 3:55 am
The long-awaited Summary Index sell signal could come
at today's close!
The Leader of the Bands
June 19, 2003, 9:13 am
Fred
Goodman Fred reports on John Bollinger's
debate with fundamental investors.
Enjoy the Show
June 18, 2003, 1:47 am
Quadruple-witching is coming, and volatility is building.
But Fred's eye is on the Summary Index.
Staying in the Game
June
17, 2003, 2:01 am Technical indicators
can give you the discipline to make money -- even when common sense is telling
you to cut your profits.
Battle Stations! June
16, 2003, before 12:00 am Fund managers
may try to pump the quarter-end, but if the sell signal comes Fred will be selling
to them.
Dumping Iron June
13, 2003, 8:54 am Muscle fatigue is starting
to set in -- this market has done too many reps.
Make It Snappy
June 12, 2003, 1:16 am
What happens when you stretch the indicators as far
as they can go?
Much Ado for Nothing June
11, 2003, 2:45 am Volatile day, but the
indicators were unchanged. Hang in there -- cautiously.
Down in the Details
June 10, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred takes a close look at some of his indicators,
and shows why the party can't go on forever.
Unsettling but Unimportant
June 9, 2003, before 12:00 am
The indicators are so over-extended, Friday's whipsaw
had no effect. Still, a sell signal is inevitable...
An Unrestful Nap
June 6, 2003, 1:33 am
The market was nearly unchanged yesterday, but there's
lots going on under the quiet surface.
Party On June
5, 2003, 2:49 am Another power surge pushes
the inevitable sell signal even further into the future.
A Day of Rest, A Week of Respite
June 4, 2003, 7:48 am
The indicators continue to deteriorate, but the market
still resists an official sell signal.
Balancing Act
June 3, 2003, 8:04 am
The market continues to walk the razor's edge.
Beat the Reaper
June 2, 2003, before 12:00 am
Friday's rally halted the Summary Index just short
of a sell signal -- and this week Fred's super-indicator is likely to head up
again!
Just a Shot Away May
30, 2003, 2:48 am The dreaded Summary Index
sell signal could now come as soon as today.
Never-Never Land
May 29, 2003, 1:10 am
As far as Fred's indicators are concerned, yesterday
never happened.
Off With Their Head and Shoulders! May
28, 2003, 4:48 am A monster rally overcame
an ominous chart pattern -- but the Summary Index sell signal is still out there.
Getting Highs
May 27, 2003, before 12:00 am
Should investors be getting excited by the booming
new-highs statistics? Maybe not!
Learning While We Wait
May 23, 2003, 8:48 am
The doomsday clock still ticks, and Fred discusses
some new stock research.
Hanging in There -- Barely May
22, 2003, 2:12 am A small positive change
in the balance of indicators defers the day of reckoning.
Progressive Weakness
May 21, 2003, 3:12 am
As more indicators deteriorate, the Summary Index
sell signal could now come next Wednesday or sooner.
Wake-Up Call
May 20, 2003, 3:48 am
With yesterday's drop, the inevitable sell signal
came a lot closer.
The Vegas Bulls versus the LA Bears May
19, 2003, before 12:00 am After a week
in Sin City listening to the bulls, Fred's back home thinking bearish thoughts.
Endangered Species
May 16, 2003, 6:34 am
The bears are disappearing, and that worries Fred
about this market.
As Good As It Gets? May
15, 2003, 5:48 am With only one negative
indicator, is there any more room for improvement -- or for the rally?
Now That's Power
May 14, 2003, 7:24 am
Maybe not quite shock and awe, but Fred is impressed
by the market's resiliency.
Is It Too Late? May
13, 2003, 7:06 am Fred shares some thoughts
with readers who missed the rally.
Hanging In There
May 12, 2003, before 12:00 am
Friday didn't get the market out of the woods -- but
the trees are thinner for the moment.
Me Worry May
9, 2003, 3:05 am Don't panic, but the Summary
Index sell signal is most definitely coming.
Streeeeeetched
May 8, 2003, 1:48 am
The indicators are so extended that even small changes
make big differences.
Enjoy the Ride May
7, 2003, 3:00 am The Summary Index may
hit all-time highs tomorrow. Keep your seat-belts on and you'll be fine.
This is Getting Ridiculous!
May 6, 2003, 8:52 am
Yet another indicator flips over to positive -- yet
the market goes nowhere.
Buy Direct (Or At Least Hold) May
5, 2003, before 12:00 am Fred shows you
how to hang on during this rally by seeing the difference between "direct"
and "indirect" indicators.
Moving Averages Moving
May 2, 2003, 5:41 am
The 200-day moving average of the S&P 500 has
turned up. Should you care?
Breaking Away, or Breaking? May
1, 2003, 3:15 am The Summary Index could
make new highs here -- but that could be a symptom of exhaustion.
The Air Up There
April 30, 2003, 7:58 am
The Summary Index makes a new high, perhaps extending
the life of this rally even further.
No Rush to Judgment
April 29, 2003, 8:48 am
The inevitable sell signal is deferred -- and Fred
looks at two new indicators.
Last Gasps?
April 28, 2003, before 12:00 am
The market could bounce after last week's drop --
but it's fighting an impending Summary Index sell signal.
The Doomsday Clock
April 25, 2003, 3:48 am
The countdown has started now on a Summary Index sell
signal.
Extending, but Extended April
24, 2003, 8:52 am Fred adds to the portfolio's
equities -- but at this point in the rally it's not a forever thing.
The Eve of the Seeds of Destruction
April 23, 2003, 8:54 am
As the market climbs, some indicators inevitably get
over-extended.
Crosscurrent Events April
21, 2003, 12:39 am It's a mixed bag --
the indicators support a breakout in either direction.
Two Forward, One Back
April 17, 2003, 8:48 am
Yesterday was not as bad as Tuesday was good, but
it was disappointing.
For Goodness Sake April
16, 2003, 2:41 am Lots of indicators are
coming up roses -- and Fred commits to let the good times roll for a while.
Made It by That Much
April 15, 2003, 9:05 am
Several tiny victories yesterday give Fred the hope
that the rally may be resuming.
Peace Dividend? April
14, 2003, 1:55 am The market is peaceful,
all right -- too peaceful.
Narrowing, but Still Harrowing
April 11, 2003, 8:57 am
Scary market -- but the fact is, we're in a narrowing
trading range.
Reality Bites April
10, 2003, 1:47 am Saddam's statue wasn't
the only thing that fell over yesterday.
A Refreshment That Pauses
April 9, 2003, 8:39 am
Fred's happy to see the market cut itself a little
slack here.
Ominous Parallel April
8, 2003, 8:48 am The last time the market
had a reversal like yesterday's was in April 2000.
Will History Repeat Itself?
April 7, 2003, 12:25 am
Comparing 2003 to 1991 -- and a look at a new indicator
applied to individual stocks.
Trend of Foe? April
4, 2003, 8:39 am Fred initiates a new indicator
to determine whether stocks are trending or stuck in a range.
New Lease on Life
April 3, 2003, 8:39 am
They're not confirmed yet, but "continuation
buy loops" could keep this rally alive.
Optim-ISM?
April 2, 2003, 2:16 am
Bad economic numbers weren't enough to crunch a market
that wanted to go up.
Behave! April
1, 2003, 2:37 am Fred looks
to new theories to explain this crazy market.
The Unch Bunch
March 31, 2003, Before 12:00 am
Fred's indicators are unched for the 4th day in a
row -- but that means pivotal action ahead.
All Quiet on the Wall Street
Front March 28,
2003, 8:24 am Talk about the eye of the
hurricane! No changes in the indicators for the third day in a row!
Eerie Calm
March 27, 2003, 8:37 am
Volatile markets and indicators have suddenly frozen
in their tracks.
Underlying Strength March
26, 2003, 6:53 am A technically strong
market was able to shrug off bad news yesterday.
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
March 25, 2003, 8:39 am
It wasn't pretty yesterday, but it wasn't all bad
either.
There's a War On, Moron March
24, 2003, 12:10 am Fred discusses buy signals,
sell signals and risk.
Slowing Down a Bit March
21, 2003, 5:37 am Despite 7 up days in
a row, Fred is still looking for a low-volume rest for this market.
Consecutive Days of our Lives
March 20, 2003, 8:39 am
The market was up six days in a row! Fred asks --
why does that matter?
Perfect... Too Perfect? March
19, 2003, 3:24 am It's always something
-- the problem now is that the market is moving too far and too fast.
Everybody Back in the Pool!
March 18, 2003, 12:24 am
At least a little bit -- as Fred starts to build exposure
to this rally.
Long Term Loops March
17, 2003, 12:20 am Fred unveils the results
of a major research project -- examining the long-term Price/Volume charts of
the last half decade.
Continuing Education March
14, 2003, 8:49 am Fred's learned a lot
about markets this week -- now you can, too.
False Reprieve
Thursday,
March 13, 2003, 8:23 am Yesterday's small
recovery masks underlying technical weakness that remains.
No More Mr. Nice Guy
March 12, 2003, 8:31 am
The balance of evidence is tilting to the negative,
so Fred takes defensive action.
Leeway March
11, 2003, 3:19 am Fred will cut the market
some slack, thanks to yesterday's low volume.
Beach Ball Bingo
March 10, 2003, before 12:00 am
A catchy analogy -- and some bullish signs from his
indicators Friday -- change Fred's mood for the better.
Something is Alive
March 7, 2003, 1:15 am
The market looks awful, but Fred sees encouraging
signs.
Scraping the Bottom? March
6, 2003, 1:39 am
Fred Goodman The S&P flirts
with Fred's stop-loss, but it hasn't been triggered yet.
Taking Stock -- Or Leaving It?
March 5, 2003, 3:41 am
Fred stops to reflect on a very, very difficult market.
No Man's Land
March 4, 2003, 9:13 am
With the Summary Index suspended now between extreme
bull or bear readings, Fred uses other indicators to guide him.
The Tide Becomes a Flood?
March 3, 2003, before 12:00 am
More indicators turn bullish, and Fred prepares a
what-if in case things get too good too fast.
Battle Tactics
February 27, 2003, 8:48 am
Okay, we have a major signal -- here's how to play
it.
Bad News, Good Technicals February
26, 2003, 8:36 am Could the news have been
worse yesterday? Yet strong technicals supported the market.
We Have Our Buy Signal!
February 25, 2003, 8:20 am
Just when it seems the world is ending, the Summary
Index says "buy 'em."
Upside Surprise February
24, 2003, 8:39 am The Price/Volume charts
surprised Fred by suddenly turning bullish, adding energy to the imminent Summary
Index buy signal.
Cross-talk February
21, 2003, 8:45 am The Summary Index buy
signal could come as soon as Monday -- but the Price/Volume Charts could throw
sand in the gears.
Hopes and Cautions February
20, 2003, 8:54 am There's a buy signal
coming... but the waters are getting choppy. It's never easy, is it?
If It Walks Like a Duck, Does
It Quack? February
19, 2003, 9:01 am Fred's not overly impressed
by the low-volume rally. But a buy signal could still come any day now.
Prepare for Attack
February 18, 2003, before 12:00
am Fred is perfecting classic indicators
and rolling out new ones ahead of the buy signal to come.
It's a Lock!
February 14, 2003, 2:45 am
Yep -- a buy signal from the Summary Index is now
a sure thing. It's just a question of how soon.
Winding Up for the Pitch!
February 13, 2003, 8:39 am
The market is doing everything right to get ready
for a great bottom. But it's not here quite yet.
Fore! (4.0)
February 12, 2003, 4:05 am
The Summary Index is nearly destined now to dip below
4.0, teeing up a mega-buy signal.
A Breakthrough from Fred's Lab
February 11, 2003, 8:58 am
Today Fred announces a powerful new market timing
technique based on his Summary Index.
Orange Alert!
February 10, 2003, 12:15 am
Fred says the market is approaching
a date with destiny -- and he's got his battle plans all drawn up.
The Breakdown Breakthrough
February 7, 2003, 6:21 am
Yesterday Fred's indicators deteriorated to the point
where -- finally -- we can expect things to get bad enough to be good. TECHNICAL
EXCELLENCE
Different News, Same Market February
6, 2003, 7:15 am The indicators continue
to drift lower, but low enough to trigger a rally?
Textbook Bearish
February 5, 2003, 6:20 am
The Price/Volume Charts are a painting a perfectly
negative picture.
I Think I Can't, I Think I Can't February
4, 2003, 7:26 am Huffing and puffing, this
market just can't get where it needs to go yet.
Tradable but Brief
February 3, 2003, 12:00 am
A rally is coming -- but it's starting too soon to
be real and lasting.
Bad Moon Rising January
31, 2003, 8:55 am As the Summary Index
continues to fall, the Price/Volume Charts produce "continuation sell loops."
Slowly She Turned...
January 30, 2003, 8:52 am
But that's not what this market needs -- Fred is still
looking for the washout that will set up a real rally.
Like Wine in Barrels
January 29, 2003, 8:57 am
Fred knows both wine and markets -- and he says this
decline needs to age a bit more.
It's Not Soup Yet
January 28, 2003, 8:49 am
There may be an updraft today, but we're not ready
for a major bottom.
Roger, Dodger January
27, 2003, 12:00 am Fred lightened up on
stocks just in time -- and steered clear of the latest VIX 3-day trading buy signal.
Good thing!
Double Your Pleasure? January
24, 2003, 9:00 am Another back-to-back
VIX 3-day trading buy signal? But Fred isn't biting.
Fixing the VIX
January 23, 2003, 7:18 am
Thanks to an e-mail from a reader, Fred does some
research that makes a great indicator even greater.
Downer January
22, 2003, 9:01am The Summary Index is in
a serious decline now -- and it looks a lot like deja vu all over again.
Fred Sticks with VIX
January 21, 2003, 12:10 am
Fred was surprised that Friday's wipe-out would generate
a VIX 3-day trading buy signal... but he's gonna trade it!
Easy Come? Or Easy Go?
January 17, 2003, 8:46 am
The market's in a trading range -- but Fred hopes
it will get worse so it can get better.
Not as Bad as It Looks
January 16, 2003, 8:45 am
Fred thinks we could continue to drift a little lower
-- and then the rally could resume.
Perched January
15, 2003, 5:48 am The indicators are caught
between bullish and bearish possibilities -- small changes have large consequences.
Uneasy Does It January
14, 2003, 8:54 am Short-term Fred's Summary
Index is still rising. But longer-term, well...
Fred Contains His Enthusiasm
January 13, 2003, 3:32 am
Fred vents his concerns about a fragile rally, and
introduces a new golden indicator.
The Fickle Finger
January 10, 2003, 8:43 am
When will this market ever decide what it wants to
be when it grows up?
On the Ropes with a Ray of Hope January
9, 2003, 3:53 am Yesterday's drop was destructive,
but it sets up Fred's Price/Volume charts for a potential buy signal.
Don't Get Complacent
January 8, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred's participating in this rally, but is concerned
it could be a short one.
Power Up January
7, 2003, 4:46 am
Fred Goodman Fred loves the way
this rally is gaining steam -- and he's ready to add to his equity position today.
Risks to the Rally
January 6, 2003, 12:00 am
Fred adds to the equity position in the Discretionary
Technical Portfolio, but a review of all the indicators suggests cautious optimism.
Lock and Load
January 3, 2003, 8:39 am
Fred gives you the price and volume levels to watch
for today so you'll know whether to play this rally.
Buy Signal Ahead
January 2, 2003, 2:23 am
The Summary Index is poised to turn around, and if
the Price/Volume charts confirm it, we could be looking at a nice bear market
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