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Fred Goodman: 2003
Stay Long, But Stay Alert
December 31, 2003, 8:48 am
The new Quick Summary Index moves toward a
sell signal (if the Summary Index doesn't get there first).
A Wild New Year's Party
December 30, 2003, 4:50 am
Fred's glad he got into the bull camp last
week -- but the indicators are on the verge of getting seriously
overextended here.
A Happy Holiday, So Far
December 29, 2003, before
12:00 am
The Dow is mimicking its excellent holiday
season performance in 1998.
Meet "The Quick Summary Index"
December 26, 2003, 1:31 am
Must reading: Fred unveils a major
enhancement to his most important technical tool.
Fred's Christmas Present: Innovation
December 24, 2003, 8:40 am
Get ready for major new enhancements to
Fred's basic technical trading paradigm.
Something New from Goodman Labs
December 23, 2003, 3:12 am
Fred drops the first hints of a coming major
enhancement to his Summary Index.
Slow Down, Market Up?
December 22, 2003, before
12:00 am
Volume will start to slow now -- but a
number of long-term indicators are starting to look positive.
Knowing When Not to Listen
December 19, 2003, 8:52 am
A rare VIX 3-day trading sell signal has
occurred -- and Fred says it's a signal to ignore.
Will the Trend End?
Thursday,
December 18, 2003, 8:45 am
The market has been an a slow uptrend -- is
a breakout imminent?
And It Was Good
December 17, 2003, 8:48 am
At last -- the market treats good news as
good news. Is this a turning point?
Good News was Bad News
December 16, 2003, 7:45 am
A technically weak market can't be pumped up
by even the most bullish news.
A Test from Tikrit
December 15, 2003, before
12:00 am
The best news yet from the Iraq war will
tell us what this market is made of.
Better Lucky and Smart
December 12, 2003, 6:55 am
A data-error led to a great trade!
Fred Sticks with VIX
December 11, 2003, 3:00 am
A new VIX 3-day trading buy signal makes
Fred cover his short hedge.
Splitting the Baby
December 10, 2003, 7:23 am
The FOMC's Solomon-like decision pleased no
one.
Dow Now
December 9, 2003, 8:29 am
Suddenly large-cap has stolen the lead from
small-cap and tech.
Beneath the Golden Glitter
December 8, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred thinks gold isn't as golden as it
looks, and considers taking some profits.
Saved by the Bell
December 5, 2003, 8:48 am
Yesterday's late-day strength reversed the
prior day's late-day weakness.
Five Day Wonder
December 4, 2003, 8:10 am
Fred unveils a new seasonal trading
technique based on the best five days of the month.
Seasonals Greetings
December 3, 2003, 3:48 am
Fred begins to explore monthly and daily
seasonal patterns within the Presidential election cycle.
Turn, Turn, Turn
December 2, 2003, 3:08 am
The last week was the fastest ever
turnaround for Fred's indicators. Now -- can it last?
Here We Go Again
December 1, 2003, before
12:00 am
The market flirts unenthusiastically with
new highs -- and another "premature upturn" in the Summary Index seems
inevitable.
Another Turkey?
November 26, 2003, 8:48 am
The Summary Index seems poised to make yet
another premature upturn -- with no buy signal.
Surprise, Surprise, Surprise!
November 25, 2003, 2:48 am
Fred predicted this -- but he didn't predict
this!
After Thanksgiving, A Buy Signal?
Monday,
November 24, 2003, before 12:00 am
The Summary Index is headed toward the level
that will make a buy inevitable.
Bad News
November 21, 2003, 8:04 am
The news is bad and the technicals are weak.
It's amazing the market didn't do worse.
All Glitters (Especially Gold)
November 20, 2003, 8:48 am
Markets recovered a bit yesterday -- but
gold stocks made new highs.
Book 'Em!
November 19, 2003, 3:26 am
The markets look sicker and sicker -- but
Fred's found a new book he really loves.
Misery Loves Company
November 18, 2003, 2:42 am
Everything got whacked yesterday -- even
gold.
Developing the Negatives
November 17, 2003, before
12:00 am
The S&P briefly made new highs on Friday --
while all the technicals continue to deteriorate.
Stocks Flatline, Gold Soars
Friday,
November 14, 2003, 8:48 am
While the stock market stutters, gold flirts
with the magical 400 level.
Going for the Gold
Thursday,
November 13, 2003, 8:55 am
The technicals are finally falling into
place, and Fred goes shopping for a gold fund.
Incriminating Negatives
November 12, 2003, 1:40 am
The technical condition of the market is
just getting worse and worse.
Getting Turned Down
November 11, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred discusses some of his most obscure
indicators -- because they're all turning down now!
A Star is Born
Monday,
November 10, 2003, before 12:00 am
The Price/Volume Charts are making rare
"star formations" -- which probably means the trading range will
continue.
Cycle Logical
Friday,
November 7, 2003, 8:56 am
How to use the presidential election cycle
to prepare for the coming market year.
Bull Trap?
November 6, 2003, 3:35 am
Fred thinks a decline is about to set in --
and hopes it will clear the way for the first meaningful rally in three
months.
Hell to the Chief?
Wednesday,
November 5, 2003, 4:18 am
Fred looks at the presidential election
cycle -- and it isn't pretty.
Pullback? What Pullback?
November 4, 2003, 9:14 am
We're making new highs without ever having
corrected from the huge rally off the March lows.
Up Against the Wall, Bears!
November 3, 2003, before
12:00 am
Any move higher is a breakout -- yet Fred
isn't putting on his horns yet.
Worried About Not Being Scared
October 31, 2003, 8:13 am
Fred thinks that The Big Rally can't happen
until we've had a scary decline first.
Is Gold About to Glitter?
October 30, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred's new technical take on gold is getting
more and more bullish.
Deeper into the Gold Mine
October 29, 2003, 8:52 am
Fred continues to explore applying his
technical tricks to gold.
Gold!
October 28, 2003, 2:48 am
Fred starts to turn his technical techniques
to the yellow metal.
Roll Over and Play Dead
October 27, 2003, before
12:00 am
We might get a brief respite this week, but
more indicators are turning lower.
It Ain't Over Yet
October 24, 2003, 8:18 am
Fred Goodman
The S&P stood its ground, but Fred thinks
the worst is yet to come.
Risk Comes Home to Roost
October 23, 2003, 3:20 am
Intermediate and short-term indicators are
in synch to the downside.
Slow Market, Risky Market
October 22, 2003, 4:05 am
The market is trudging ahead at a snail's
pace -- and that represents a form of risk.
Valuing Volatility and Volume
October 21, 2003, 2:08 am
The premature upturn may be running out of
steam -- while he waits, Fred studies days-of-the-week liquidity
patterns.
Moment of Decision
October 20, 2003, before
12:00 am
The S&P is poised at a
critical support level. Today's action will speak volumes about what the
future holds.
Quiet Day, Mixed Signals
October 17, 2003, 2:37 am
Fred's indicators are poised for potential
signals -- the problem is, they don't agree with each other!
Overturning the Upturn
October 16, 2003, 2:32 am
Technical indicators are deteriorating --
and Fred thinks that this rally is, too.
Taking Stock (and a Couple Funds)
October 15, 2003, 7:48 am
Fred does a major review of short,
intermediate and long-term positions -- and adds two hot mutual funds.
Getting Highs
October 14, 2003, 8:48 am
The S&P 500 slouched to new recovery highs
on low volume -- should we care?
The Grasso is Greener
October 13, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred discovers an ultra-bullish long-term
indicator based on NYSE specialist data.
Is That the Best We Can Do?
October 10, 2003, 3:33 am
More good jobs news, another market
stall-out. What's up with that?
Upturn Knows?
October 9, 2003, 8:20 am
Probably not -- premature Summary Index
upturns like yesterday's offer a poor track record for the bulls.
Up Against the Wall
October 8, 2003, 2:28 am
All the major indices have been stopped
within a whisper of their previous highs.
Pattern Busters
October 7, 2003, 4:00 am
Yesterday blew developing technical
patterns, both bullish and bearish.
A Cold Shoulder?
October 6, 2003, before
12:00 am
Friday's rally could be little more than
part of a dangerous head-and-shoulders pattern.
All Heat, No Light
October 3, 2003, 2:25 am
Tumult in the market hasn't produced
definitive guidance on direction.
Loops and Japan to the Rescue
October 2, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred's portfolio was short the NASDAQ
yesterday -- so how come it was up??
Knocked for a Loop
October 1, 2003, 7:58 am
Yesterday's steep drop nixed possible buy
loops in the Price/Volume Charts.
We Got the Bounce -- Now Pounce!
September 30, 2003, 3:13
am
Fred is getting ready to use quarter-end strength to add to his shorts.
Over the Next Hill... a Big Valley?
September 29, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred expects a bounce -- here's how to tell
whether or not to sell into it.
Follow the Bouncing Ball
September 26, 2003, 3:05
am
This decline is getting some volume behind
it, but Fred thinks there's a bounce coming in the next couple days.
Volatility... It's Back!
September 25, 2003, 8:52
am
Or is it? One day doesn't make a trend... so
watch the Price/Volume charts.
Where has all the Volume Gone?
September 24, 2003, 2:28
am
September is supposed to be a high-volume
month -- but no volume, no move.
Pull Your Weight!
September 23, 2003, 8:47
am
After last week's sell signal, this decline
is no surprise -- but Fred demands strength from his few long positions.
Margin Call!
September 22, 2003, before
12:00 am
NASDAQ margin debt has spiked to an all-time
high -- but does it mean what it seems to mean?
Technical Conflict
September 19, 2003, 6:55
am
Things are not as bullish as the bulls would
like -- but the put-call ratio doesn't help the bears, either.
Risk Control
September 18, 2003, 6:48
am
A history lesson in not having a heart
attack while trading sell signals.
Quite a Move
September 17, 2003, 7:25
am
Yesterday's pop gave Fred a great chance to
do some selling -- but he didn't go short yet.
Carve Another Notch
September 16, 2003, 5:20
am
The August buy signal has come and gone,
with profits for both the S&P and the NASDAQ.
On Edge
September 15, 2003, before
12:00 am
The Summary Index closed precisely at its
trigger point -- any move down, and we have a sell signal.
Going Both Ways
September 12, 2003, 3:12
am
The Summary Index sell signal could be any
day now -- but a short term trading indicator is saying buy!
Bin Laden, Done That
September 11, 2003, 2:33
am
The terror-master's video spooked the market
-- and now a Summary Index sell signal could come as soon as tomorrow.
Reversal of Fortune
September 10, 2003, 1:45
am
A raft of indicators went negative
yesterday, but there still probably won't be a sell signal until next
week.
Life Extension
Tuesday,
September 9, 2003, 8:50 am
Yesterday's reversal of Friday's losses
pushes the inevitable sell signal into the future.
The Streak is a Bust, But Now a Thrust
September 8, 2003, before
12:00 am
The market finally broke its winning run.
But now Fred's Thrust Indicator is flashing a rare bull signal.
And on the Ninth Day...
September 5, 2003, 8:47 am
...the market rested? Maybe, but this is a
high-quality rally.
After the Holiday, a Vacation?
September 4, 2003, 7:45 am
With the market up 12 out of the last 14
days, it may be time for a rest.
And They're Off!
September 3, 2003, 8:48 am
A great start to the post Labor Day season
-- but eventually a sell signal is inevitable.
Many Happy Returns
September 2, 2003, before
12:00 am
The Discretionary Technical Portfolio is one
year old, and going strong. Now Fred introduces a high-powered new model
portfolio.
The Wind-Up... The Pitch... It's a Fastball!
August 29, 2003, 4:10 am
The buy signal is speeding by, but the
market may be getting ready to move up and out.
Smell the Flowers
August 28, 2003, 8:54 am
A quiet week is a good time to work on new
investing tools, and enjoy what we've accomplished.
Minimaxed Out?
August 27, 2003, 8:52 am
Fred introduces a new indicator on the verge
of saying sell -- but the Summary Index buy signal has just been
extended.
Before the Storm
August 26, 2003, 8:48 am
Summer is almost over -- this low volume
can't last, and the market's indecision will be resolved.
Heading Into the Holiday
August 25, 2003, before
12:00 am
If the markets are preparing for the Labor
Day holiday, how come volume is picking up?
Short, But Sweet (for the Longs)
August 22, 2003, 7:44 am
The current buy signal may not last forever
-- but while it does, there's a low risk buying opportunity.
Speed Trap?
August 21, 2003, 8:48 am
The Summary Index is moving so fast at this
point, the buy signal could exhaust itself just after Labor Day.
Odd Index Out
August 20, 2003, 3:48 am
How come the S&P 500 is the only index not
to make new highs?
Contain Your Enthusiasm
August 19, 2003, 8:55 am
Fretful Fred finds fault with the Summary
Index buy signal -- but he finds a new fun fund, too.
No Wilder and Crazy Guy
August 18, 2003, before
12:00 am
The buy signal has arrived, but Fred's
in-depth examination of Welles Wilder's ADX indicator suggests playing
it close to the vest.
When The Lights Come On, A Buy Signal
August 15, 2003, 2:05 am
Unless the market trips over something in
the dark today, we'll get our Summary Index buy signal at the close.
No Va-va-va-volume
August 14, 2003, 1:04 am
Unless the volume turns up, the market's not
going to turn up either.
It's Earlier Than You Think
August 13, 2003, 5:15 am
The Summary Index buy signal could come as
soon as Friday!
It Is Your Destiny!
August 12, 2003, 6:55 am
The Summary Index has fallen below the 4.5
trigger level -- an eventual buy signal is now a sure thing.
The Inevitable Is Now Inevitable
August 11, 2003, before
12:00 am
The Summary Index seems destined to move
below the 4.5 trigger level today -- and that sets up the coming buy
signal.
VIX Redux
August 7, 2003, 8:48 am
The Volatility Index has given a second
overlapping buy signal -- but Fred hopes it's too early to matter.
Drip, Drip... Drop!
August 6, 2003, 4:48 am
Low volume down-days are quietly -- but
effectively -- moving the market lower.
Volatile Volatility
August 5, 2003, 8:58 am
This crazy market can't decide whether to go
nuts or sit still. So it does both.
For What It's Worse
August 4, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred's indicators deteriorated further, and
his Summary Index is heading down again.
Another Wild Ride
August 1, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred predicts another crazy one today, and
starts looking at a whole new indicator.
Deeper into Volume
July 31, 2003, 9:02 am
Fred continues his technical study of
volume, looking at the history of its 5-day average.
Making It Up and Down in Volume
July 30, 2003, 4:17 am
Two news torpedoes hit the market yesterday
-- but volume was right out of Fred's play-book
Adjusting the Volume Again
July 29, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred explains how trading volume is playing
more tricks on investors.
The Truth about Volume
July 28, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred reveals an important study of
historical price and volume patterns -- and it's different than what you
read anywhere else.
All the Market's a Stage...
July 25, 2003, 3:01 am
You know the market's stuck in a trading
range when Fred starts quoting Shakespeare.
It's All in the Volume
July 24, 2003, 1:48 am
Fred Goodman
While the market rests, Fred introduces a
new study on volume patterns.
Long Range Planning
July 23, 2003, 1:31 am
The trading range is lasting longer than
anyone thought -- so Fred is planning for the eventual breakout.
The Importance of Being Low Volume
July 22, 2003, 6:25 am
Think only high volume days are important?
Think again.
Changing of the Guard?
July 21, 2003, before
12:00 am
Is leadership finally shifting to the
large-cap sector?
Payback is Awesome
July 18, 2003, 3:48 am
Thursday's drop turned all the big winners
into big losers.
Unholy Trinity
July 17, 2003, 8:55 am
Three indicators that have sustained the
market are all turning negative.
Tech Rules
July 16, 2003, 8:12 am
Tech, micro-cap and Asia are leaving the Dow
in the dust.
Advanced Placement Class in Loopology
July 15, 2003, 3:01 am
Fred goes to the original source material
and brings out new insights into Price/Volume Charting.
Some Pain for Some Gain
July 14, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred's expecting big new highs this year --
and a big drop now will help set the stage.
I've Got Bad News, and I've Got Bad News
July 11, 2003, 2:57 am
A technically weak market did what
technically weak markets always do.
Strong Expectations, Weak Technicals
July 10, 2003, 2:01 am
Even Yahoo's great numbers can't make a dent
in a technically weak market.
Learning the Loops
July 9, 2003, 2:00 am
While the markets churn indecisively, Fred
teaches how his Price/Volume loops could call the next move.
We Have (Premature) Lift-Off!
July 8, 2003, 8:45 am
The Summary Index as turned up, but at these
levels it's no buy signal.
Now It Gets Interesting
July 7, 2003, before 12:00
am
Last week was a write-off -- but the next
few days could be critical.
Breakout or Fake-out?
July 3, 2003
Never put off until tomorrow what you can do
the day after tomorrow -- Mark Twain.
Head Fake? Great One, But No Touchdown
July 2, 2003
The early decline broke out, but we're right
back in the trading range.
Much Ado About Nothing
July 1, 2003
The end of the quarter and the reshuffle of
the Russell created action without meaning.
Waiting for Big Gulp
June 30, 2003, before
12:00 am
We've had three swallows, when can we expect
to test 946 support?
Sentimental Journey
June 27, 2003, 2:22 am
Short term sentiment indicators are showing
excessive bullishness -- and that's bearish.
The 1% Solution
June 26, 2003, 8:45 am
The Fed gave the market just what it
expected. So why the sell-off.
The Great Rate Wait
June 25, 2003, 1:37 am
Nothing doin' till FOMC time today -- but in
the background, the Summary Index is dropping rapidly.
Heck of a Start!
June 24, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred's not getting giddy, but yesterday was
a nice way to kick off his sell signal.
The Long Party is Finally Over
June 23, 2003, before
12:00 am
The Summary Index finally gave its sell
signal on Friday. Now what do we do about it?
Is This "It"?
June 20, 2003, 3:55 am
The long-awaited Summary Index sell signal
could come at today's close!
The Leader of the Bands
June 19, 2003, 9:13 am
Fred Goodman
Fred reports on John Bollinger's debate with
fundamental investors.
Enjoy the Show
June 18, 2003, 1:47 am
Quadruple-witching is coming, and volatility
is building. But Fred's eye is on the Summary Index.
Staying in the Game
June
17, 2003, 2:01 am
Technical indicators can give you the
discipline to make money -- even when common sense is telling you to cut
your profits.
Battle Stations!
June 16, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fund managers may try to pump the
quarter-end, but if the sell signal comes Fred will be selling to them.
Dumping Iron
June 13, 2003, 8:54 am
Muscle fatigue is starting to set in -- this
market has done too many reps.
Make It Snappy
June 12, 2003, 1:16 am
What happens when you stretch the indicators
as far as they can go?
Much Ado for Nothing
June 11, 2003, 2:45 am
Volatile day, but the indicators were
unchanged. Hang in there -- cautiously.
Down in the Details
June 10, 2003, 8:48 am
Fred takes a close look at some of his
indicators, and shows why the party can't go on forever.
Unsettling but Unimportant
June 9, 2003, before 12:00
am
The indicators are so over-extended,
Friday's whipsaw had no effect. Still, a sell signal is inevitable...
An Unrestful Nap
June 6, 2003, 1:33 am
The market was nearly unchanged yesterday,
but there's lots going on under the quiet surface.
Party On
June 5, 2003, 2:49 am
Another power surge pushes the inevitable
sell signal even further into the future.
A Day of Rest, A Week of Respite
June 4, 2003, 7:48 am
The indicators continue to deteriorate, but
the market still resists an official sell signal.
Balancing Act
June 3, 2003, 8:04 am
The market continues to walk the razor's
edge.
Beat the Reaper
June 2, 2003, before 12:00
am
Friday's rally halted the Summary Index just
short of a sell signal -- and this week Fred's super-indicator is likely
to head up again!
Just a Shot Away
May 30, 2003, 2:48 am
The dreaded Summary Index sell signal could
now come as soon as today.
Never-Never Land
May 29, 2003, 1:10 am
As far as Fred's indicators are concerned,
yesterday never happened.
Off With Their Head and Shoulders!
May 28, 2003, 4:48 am
A monster rally overcame an ominous chart
pattern -- but the Summary Index sell signal is still out there.
Getting Highs
May 27, 2003, before 12:00
am
Should investors be getting excited by the
booming new-highs statistics? Maybe not!
Learning While We Wait
May 23, 2003, 8:48 am
The doomsday clock still ticks, and Fred
discusses some new stock research.
Hanging in There -- Barely
May 22, 2003, 2:12 am
A small positive change in the balance of
indicators defers the day of reckoning.
Progressive Weakness
May 21, 2003, 3:12 am
As more indicators deteriorate, the Summary
Index sell signal could now come next Wednesday or sooner.
Wake-Up Call
May 20, 2003, 3:48 am
With yesterday's drop, the inevitable sell
signal came a lot closer.
The Vegas Bulls versus the LA Bears
May 19, 2003, before 12:00
am
After a week in Sin City listening to the
bulls, Fred's back home thinking bearish thoughts.
Endangered Species
May 16, 2003, 6:34 am
The bears are disappearing, and that worries
Fred about this market.
As Good As It Gets?
May 15, 2003, 5:48 am
With only one negative indicator, is there
any more room for improvement -- or for the rally?
Now That's Power
May 14, 2003, 7:24 am
Maybe not quite shock and awe, but Fred is
impressed by the market's resiliency.
Is It Too Late?
May 13, 2003, 7:06 am
Fred shares some thoughts with readers who
missed the rally.
Hanging In There
May 12, 2003, before 12:00
am
Friday didn't get the market out of the
woods -- but the trees are thinner for the moment.
Me Worry
May 9, 2003, 3:05 am
Don't panic, but the Summary Index sell
signal is most definitely coming.
Streeeeeetched
May 8, 2003, 1:48 am
The indicators are so extended that even
small changes make big differences.
Enjoy the Ride
May 7, 2003, 3:00 am
The Summary Index may hit all-time highs
tomorrow. Keep your seat-belts on and you'll be fine.
This is Getting Ridiculous!
May 6, 2003, 8:52 am
Yet another indicator flips over to positive
-- yet the market goes nowhere.
Buy Direct (Or At Least Hold)
May 5, 2003, before 12:00
am
Fred shows you how to hang on during this
rally by seeing the difference between "direct" and "indirect"
indicators.
Moving Averages Moving
May 2, 2003, 5:41 am
The 200-day moving average of the S&P 500
has turned up. Should you care?
Breaking Away, or Breaking?
May 1, 2003, 3:15 am
The Summary Index could make new highs here
-- but that could be a symptom of exhaustion.
The Air Up There
April 30, 2003, 7:58 am
The Summary Index makes a new high, perhaps
extending the life of this rally even further.
No Rush to Judgment
April 29, 2003, 8:48 am
The inevitable sell signal is deferred --
and Fred looks at two new indicators.
Last Gasps?
April 28, 2003, before
12:00 am
The market could bounce after last week's
drop -- but it's fighting an impending Summary Index sell signal.
The Doomsday Clock
April 25, 2003, 3:48 am
The countdown has started now on a Summary
Index sell signal.
Extending, but Extended
April 24, 2003, 8:52 am
Fred adds to the portfolio's equities -- but
at this point in the rally it's not a forever thing.
The Eve of the Seeds of Destruction
April 23, 2003, 8:54 am
As the market climbs, some indicators
inevitably get over-extended.
Crosscurrent Events
April 21, 2003, 12:39 am
It's a mixed bag -- the indicators support a
breakout in either direction.
Two Forward, One Back
April 17, 2003, 8:48 am
Yesterday was not as bad as Tuesday was
good, but it was disappointing.
For Goodness Sake
April 16, 2003, 2:41 am
Lots of indicators are coming up roses --
and Fred commits to let the good times roll for a while.
Made It by That Much
April 15, 2003, 9:05 am
Several tiny victories yesterday give Fred
the hope that the rally may be resuming.
Peace Dividend?
April 14, 2003, 1:55 am
The market is peaceful, all right -- too
peaceful.
Narrowing, but Still Harrowing
April 11, 2003, 8:57 am
Scary market -- but the fact is, we're in a
narrowing trading range.
Reality Bites
April 10, 2003, 1:47 am
Saddam's statue wasn't the only thing that
fell over yesterday.
A Refreshment That Pauses
April 9, 2003, 8:39 am
Fred's happy to see the market cut itself a
little slack here.
Ominous Parallel
April 8, 2003, 8:48 am
The last time the market had a reversal like
yesterday's was in April 2000.
Will History Repeat Itself?
April 7, 2003, 12:25 am
Comparing 2003 to 1991 -- and a look at a
new indicator applied to individual stocks.
Trend of Foe?
April 4, 2003, 8:39 am
Fred initiates a new indicator to determine
whether stocks are trending or stuck in a range.
New Lease on Life
April 3, 2003, 8:39 am
They're not confirmed yet, but "continuation
buy loops" could keep this rally alive.
Optim-ISM?
April 2, 2003, 2:16 am
Bad economic numbers weren't enough to
crunch a market that wanted to go up.
Behave!
April 1, 2003, 2:37 am
Fred looks to new theories
to explain this crazy market.
The Unch Bunch
March 31, 2003, Before
12:00 am
Fred's indicators are unched for the 4th day
in a row -- but that means pivotal action ahead.
All Quiet on the Wall Street Front
March 28, 2003, 8:24 am
Talk about the eye of the hurricane! No
changes in the indicators for the third day in a row!
Eerie Calm
March 27, 2003, 8:37 am
Volatile markets and indicators have
suddenly frozen in their tracks.
Underlying Strength
March 26, 2003, 6:53 am
A technically strong market was able to
shrug off bad news yesterday.
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
March 25, 2003, 8:39 am
It wasn't pretty yesterday, but it wasn't
all bad either.
There's a War On, Moron
March 24, 2003, 12:10 am
Fred discusses buy signals, sell signals and
risk.
Slowing Down a Bit
March 21, 2003, 5:37 am
Despite 7 up days in a row, Fred is still
looking for a low-volume rest for this market.
Consecutive Days of our Lives
March 20, 2003, 8:39 am
The market was up six days in a row! Fred
asks -- why does that matter?
Perfect... Too Perfect?
March 19, 2003, 3:24 am
It's always something -- the problem now is
that the market is moving too far and too fast.
Everybody Back in the Pool!
March 18, 2003, 12:24 am
At least a little bit -- as Fred starts to
build exposure to this rally.
Long Term Loops
March 17, 2003, 12:20 am
Fred unveils the results of a major research
project -- examining the long-term Price/Volume charts of the last half
decade.
Continuing Education
March 14, 2003, 8:49 am
Fred's learned a lot about markets this week
-- now you can, too.
False Reprieve
Thursday,
March 13, 2003, 8:23 am
Yesterday's small recovery masks underlying
technical weakness that remains.
No More Mr. Nice Guy
March 12, 2003, 8:31 am
The balance of evidence is tilting to the
negative, so Fred takes defensive action.
Leeway
March 11, 2003, 3:19 am
Fred will cut the market some slack, thanks
to yesterday's low volume.
Beach Ball Bingo
March 10, 2003, before
12:00 am
A catchy analogy -- and some bullish signs
from his indicators Friday -- change Fred's mood for the better.
Something is Alive
March 7, 2003, 1:15 am
The market looks awful, but Fred sees
encouraging signs.
Scraping the Bottom?
March 6, 2003, 1:39 am
Fred Goodman
The S&P flirts with Fred's stop-loss, but it
hasn't been triggered yet.
Taking Stock -- Or Leaving It?
March 5, 2003, 3:41 am
Fred stops to reflect on a very, very
difficult market.
No Man's Land
March 4, 2003, 9:13 am
With the Summary Index suspended now between
extreme bull or bear readings, Fred uses other indicators to guide him.
The Tide Becomes a Flood?
March 3, 2003, before
12:00 am
More indicators turn bullish, and Fred
prepares a what-if in case things get too good too fast.
Battle Tactics
February 27, 2003, 8:48 am
Okay, we have a major signal -- here's how
to play it.
Bad News, Good Technicals
February 26, 2003, 8:36 am
Could the news have been worse yesterday?
Yet strong technicals supported the market.
We Have Our Buy Signal!
February 25, 2003, 8:20 am
Just when it seems the world is ending, the
Summary Index says "buy 'em."
Upside Surprise
February 24, 2003, 8:39 am
The Price/Volume charts surprised Fred by
suddenly turning bullish, adding energy to the imminent Summary Index
buy signal.
Cross-talk
February 21, 2003, 8:45 am
The Summary Index buy signal could come as
soon as Monday -- but the Price/Volume Charts could throw sand in the
gears.
Hopes and Cautions
February 20, 2003, 8:54 am
There's a buy signal coming... but the
waters are getting choppy. It's never easy, is it?
If It Walks Like a Duck, Does It Quack?
February 19, 2003, 9:01 am
Fred's not overly impressed by the
low-volume rally. But a buy signal could still come any day now.
Prepare for Attack
February 18, 2003, before
12:00 am
Fred is perfecting classic indicators and
rolling out new ones ahead of the buy signal to come.
It's a Lock!
February 14, 2003, 2:45 am
Yep -- a buy signal from the Summary Index
is now a sure thing. It's just a question of how soon.
Winding Up for the Pitch!
February 13, 2003, 8:39 am
The market is doing everything right to get
ready for a great bottom. But it's not here quite yet.
Fore! (4.0)
February 12, 2003, 4:05 am
The Summary Index is nearly destined now to
dip below 4.0, teeing up a mega-buy signal.
A Breakthrough from Fred's Lab
February 11, 2003, 8:58 am
Today Fred announces a powerful new market
timing technique based on his Summary Index.
Orange Alert!
February 10, 2003, 12:15
am
Fred says the market is
approaching a date with destiny -- and he's got his battle plans all
drawn up.
The Breakdown Breakthrough
February 7, 2003, 6:21 am
Yesterday Fred's indicators deteriorated to
the point where -- finally -- we can expect things to get bad enough to
be good.
TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE
Different News, Same Market
February 6, 2003, 7:15 am
The indicators continue to drift lower, but
low enough to trigger a rally?
Textbook Bearish
February 5, 2003, 6:20 am
The Price/Volume Charts are a painting a
perfectly negative picture.
I Think I Can't, I Think I Can't
February 4, 2003, 7:26 am
Huffing and puffing, this market just can't
get where it needs to go yet.
Tradable but Brief
February 3, 2003, 12:00 am
A rally is coming -- but it's starting too
soon to be real and lasting.
Bad Moon Rising
January 31, 2003, 8:55 am
As the Summary Index continues to fall, the
Price/Volume Charts produce "continuation sell loops."
Slowly She Turned...
January 30, 2003, 8:52 am
But that's not what this market needs --
Fred is still looking for the washout that will set up a real rally.
Like Wine in Barrels
January 29, 2003, 8:57 am
Fred knows both wine and markets -- and he
says this decline needs to age a bit more.
It's Not Soup Yet
January 28, 2003, 8:49 am
There may be an updraft today, but we're not
ready for a major bottom.
Roger, Dodger
January 27, 2003, 12:00 am
Fred lightened up on stocks just in time --
and steered clear of the latest VIX 3-day trading buy signal. Good
thing!
Double Your Pleasure?
January 24, 2003, 9:00 am
Another back-to-back VIX 3-day trading buy
signal? But Fred isn't biting.
Fixing the VIX
January 23, 2003, 7:18 am
Thanks to an e-mail from a reader, Fred does
some research that makes a great indicator even greater.
Downer
January 22, 2003, 9:01am
The Summary Index is in a serious decline
now -- and it looks a lot like deja vu all over again.
Fred Sticks with VIX
January 21, 2003, 12:10 am
Fred was surprised that Friday's wipe-out
would generate a VIX 3-day trading buy signal... but he's gonna trade
it!
Easy Come? Or Easy Go?
January 17, 2003, 8:46 am
The market's in a trading range -- but Fred
hopes it will get worse so it can get better.
Not as Bad as It Looks
January 16, 2003, 8:45 am
Fred thinks we could continue to drift a
little lower -- and then the rally could resume.
Perched
January 15, 2003, 5:48 am
The indicators are caught between bullish
and bearish possibilities -- small changes have large consequences.
Uneasy Does It
January 14, 2003,
8:54 am
Short-term Fred's Summary Index is still
rising. But longer-term, well...
Fred Contains His Enthusiasm
January 13, 2003, 3:32 am
Fred vents his concerns about a fragile
rally, and introduces a new golden indicator.
The Fickle Finger
January 10, 2003, 8:43 am
When will this market ever decide what it
wants to be when it grows up?
On the Ropes with a Ray of Hope
January 9, 2003, 3:53 am
Yesterday's drop was destructive, but it
sets up Fred's Price/Volume charts for a potential buy signal.
Don't Get Complacent
January 8, 2003, 8:58 am
Fred's participating in this rally, but is
concerned it could be a short one.
Power Up
January 7, 2003, 4:46 am
Fred Goodman
Fred loves the way this rally is gaining
steam -- and he's ready to add to his equity position today.
Risks to the Rally
January 6, 2003, 12:00 am
Fred adds to the equity position in the
Discretionary Technical Portfolio, but a review of all the indicators
suggests cautious optimism.
Lock and Load
January 3, 2003, 8:39 am
Fred gives you the price and volume levels
to watch for today so you'll know whether to play this rally.
Buy Signal Ahead
January 2, 2003, 2:23 am
The Summary Index is poised to turn around,
and if the Price/Volume charts confirm it, we could be looking at a nice
bear market rally.
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