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Fred Goodman: 2002
Just Another *$&@# Year in Paradise
December 31, 2002, 2:49 am
Looking back, the year played out pretty
much as Fred expected (but no one else did).
Brace Yourself
December 30, 2002, 8:39 am
The low-volume holidays are almost over --
but it's been a low-volume month, and that spells trouble.
Who Will Let the Dogs Back In?
December 27, 2002, 9:10 am
Is anyone ever going to show up and trade
this market?
Just Around the Corner
December 26, 2002, 12:00
am
Fred's waiting for the holidazed indicators
to resolve -- one way or the other.
Fred's Christmas Carol
December 24, 2002, 8:39 am
Before saying "God bless us every one," Fred
is visited by some ghosts of Christmases past.
A Cooler Head Prevails
December 23, 2002, 2:39 am
Fred wanted to buy on Monday, but the
discipline of his technical indicators has made him stay his hand.
Silly Season
December 20, 2002, 8:22 am
Two weeks of anomalies starts today with
triple-witching -- then come the holidays.
Don't Rally Quite Yet!
December 19, 2002, 8:39 am
There was a little volume pick-up, but it's
too soon to hope for a sustainable break from the trading range.
Stuck in the Middle With You
December 18, 2002, 8:10 am
The market is still stuck in a trading
range, as volume continues to languish.
Star of Wonder
December 17, 2002, 8:59 am
The Price/Volume Charts have produced a
perfect "star" pattern -- a holiday gift for the bulls?
More Than Meets the Eye
December 16, 2002, 12:00
am
The low volume belies some very interesting
movement in the indicators.
Soaring through the Boring
December 13, 2002, 8:39 am
The market is doing just what Fred wants --
nothing.
Blessed Quiet
December 12, 2002, 8:39 am
Yesterday as perfect -- the market rested in
the trading range on low volume.
Hey, Keep the Volume Down!
December 11, 2002, 1:51 am
If the market can just tread water on low
volume for a few days, we could be in line for an upside breakout.
Bad Day at Black Rock
December 10, 2002, 4:12 am
As if yesterday weren't bad enough, now the
Price/Volume Charts are poised to give sell signals.
Doubling Up... or Down?
December 8, 2002, 12:00 am
Fred's got a second VIX 3-day buy
signal -- but how does he play it, considering Friday's sell signal from
the Summary Index?
Sell Signal
December 6, 2002, 8:39 am
The Summary Index has turned down -- yet the
Price/Volume Charts have managed to stay out of harm's way.
Back to Our Old VIX Tricks
December 5, 2002, 8:39 am
It's time for another 3-day buy based on the
Volatility Index.
Making You Money, Saving You Money
December 4, 2002, 1:41 am
Fred shows what great technical analysis can
do -- as he prepares for worse markets before things get better.
Hidden Dragon
December 3, 2002, 8:46 am
You'd never know what a bad day yesterday
was just from looking at the close -- but at the same time, the
indicators averted disaster.
Hopeful Bull, Realistic Bear
December 2, 2002, 12:00 am
Fred really wants this rally to continue --
but a hard look at the indicators makes that seem pretty unlikely just
now.
Withering Heights
November 29, 2002, 12:00
am
Wednesday's rally was great, and there
should be follow-through today. But we're nearer the end than the
beginning.
A Short Rope
November 27, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred's indicators weren't moved a bit by
yesterday's drop -- but that doesn't mean that Fred isn't being careful
here.
The Magnificent 100
November 26, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred looks at the important differences
between the NASDAQ Composite and the narrower NASDAQ 100.
Out of Energy
November 25, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred's selling energy stocks today -- but
he's not in a hurry to spend the money.
Continuation Buy Loops Victorious
November 22, 2002, 8:39 am
The Price/Volume Charts nailed yesterday's
rally -- and now we could be poised to rally through the end of the
year.
Rising into Place
November 21, 2002, 8:44 am
By Monday Fred thinks it will be time to buy
this market.
The Edge of Night
November 20, 2002, 8:16 am
The market is flirting with dangerous
possibilities -- the Price/Volume Charts will point the way.
The Only Game in Town
November 19, 2002, 8:41 am
If you must play, then QQQQ is your game.
But must you play?
NASDAQ versus NASDAQ
November 18, 2002, 2:50 am
A comparison of the NASDAQ Composite and the
NASDAQ 100 reveals that there's some dangerous speculation going on.
What's Not to Like?
November 15, 2002, 1:46 am
Plenty, actually -- Fred's very suspicious
that yesterday's big rally won't last.
Coming Home
November 14, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred sells the Discretionary Technical
Portfolio's foreign exposure, and brings the money back to the US of A.
All Mysteries Will Be Revealed
November 13, 2002, 3:29 am
The indicators are painting themselves in a
corner from which they must definitively break out, one way or the
other.
Good Old Bad Old Days
November 12, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred predicted this decline, but he's not
too worried that we'll make new lows
I've Got Bad News and I've Got Bad News
November 11, 2002, 12:00
am
The Summary Index has turned down!
Told You So!
November 8, 2002, 8:45 am
The election and rate cuts were surprises.
But Fred wasn't surprised by yesterday's drop.
Surprise, Surprise, Surprise!
November 7, 2002, 8:50 am
In a day of surprises, the biggest surprise
yesterday is that so little actually happened.
For One Day, No Rules
November 6, 2002, 7:23 am
With an election surprise and Greenspan on
deck, the indicators have to step aside for one day. But in the end,
cool heads will prevail.
Until the Feeling Went Away
November 5, 2002, 8:39 am
Great rally yesterday? Not!
Volume Matters
November 4, 2002, 2:07 am
Fred's getting encouraged, especially by the
NASDAQ. But he'd like to see a lot more volume.
In Defense of Individual Investors
November 1, 2002, 8:56 am
Fred looks at the track record of the
AAII bull/bear ratio, and finds that these much-maligned investors have
been getting it right.
I Don't Want to Alarm You, But...
October 31, 2002, 8:05 am
Actually Fred does want to
alarm you. We may be near the top of a trading range.
Caution Flags
October 30, 2002, 8:29 am
The indicators are churning -- but
Fred is concerned that within a couple weeks they could produce a sell
signal.
Not on Auto-pilot
October 29, 2002, 7:39 am
Fred shows how technical indicators
can support expert decisions -- but they can't make the decisions by
themselves.
Stick to the Discipline
October 28, 2002, 2:30 am
Technical analysis isn't like
horseshoes -- "maybe" doesn't count.
The Volatility of Volatility
October 25, 2002, 8:46 am
A crest in volatility gave a buy
signal two weeks ago. Is a trough in volatility saying "sell" now?
Buy America First
October 24, 2002, 8:47 am
Fred added the QQQQ's to the
Discretionary Technical Portfolio yesterday, and now he's throwing out
international stocks in favor of US financials.
Bulking Up
October 23, 2002, 8:00 am
Fred added to his equity position in
yesterday's weakness, and is looking to add more this week.
Buying Dips
October 22, 2002, 8:46 am
There will be pot-holes along the
way, but Fred thinks that the Dow has at least another 500 points in it
from here.
A Most Critical Week
October 21, 2002, 8:55 am
This week will determine whether the
rally can develop into a real move that will take out the old highs.
For Every Silver Lining, a Cloud
October 18, 2002, 8:39 am
Don't get carried away -- Fred takes
a look at what's wrong with this rally.
The Bad Old Days?
October 17, 2002, 8:43 am
Fred wanted a "convenient entry
point" -- and he got it.
All Hail the Wonder Indicator!
October 16, 2002, 9:00 am
Fred's 3-day tricks with VIX turned a
7.96% profit. Now the trick is not to get greedy.
Forward -- Into the Past!
October 15, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred says the best lessons about
today can be learned from the market in 1987.
Got Rally?
October 14, 2002, 8:52 am
Thursday and Friday were beauties --
but the indicators still aren't saying "buy."
Contradiction in Terms
October 11, 2002, 8:33 am
Yesterday's rally was far from
conclusive. But Fred's VIX indicator gave a 3-day trading buy signal.
If You Can't Think of Anything Nice To Say...
October 10, 2002, 9:40 am
Fred is tempted to say nothing at
all! At least the price/volume loops have kept him out of a collapsing
market.
A Fatal Rally?
October 9, 2002, 8:26 am
Yesterday's wimpy rally drew the
biggest volume in two months -- that's exactly wrong for Fred's
price/volume loops.
Down Comforter
October 8, 2002, 8:46 am
Fred finds some relief in indicators
that say the market is simply getting tired of declining.
Breakdown, It's All Right
October 7, 2002, 12:05 am
The Dow and the NASDAQ break out of
their trading range -- to the downside. And Fred stays positioned very
conservatively.
Gettin' that Lovin' Feeling?
October 4, 2002, 8:47 am
Fred's starting to see some early
"here comes the rally" hints.
Back in Trouble
October 3, 2002, 8:46am
Fred's back from his trip -- but the
market's not back from its decline. The indicators show only tentative
improvement.
Tempting... Very Tempting...
October 2, 2002, 8:59 am
Yesterday's move certainly got Fred's
attention. But conservatism has paid dividends so far, so he's still
waiting.
All's Horrible that Ends Horrible
October 1, 2002, 1:57 am
Bad day. Bad month. Bad quarter. Bad
year. What about "bad" don't you understand?
Report from the Hurricane
September 30, 2002, 12:45 am
Fred's in New Orleans -- where
everything's okay. But the market is another story!
Good News and Bad News
September 27, 2002, 3:39 am
Some indicators are turning positive.
But the one that's been the most positive all along is now suspect!
Picky, Picky, Picky!
September 26, 2002, 8:41 am
We finally get a good rally and
Fred's indicators say it's not good enough. Here's why...
Subtle Signs of Improvement
September 25, 2002, 6:28 am
Fred's "Smart Put/Call Ratio" may be
pointing the way to a bottom.
The Pain Game
September 24, 2002, 7:39 am
Believe it or not, Fred found some
things to like in yesterday's action.
A Date with a Hurricane
September 23, 2002, 8:49 am
A perfect storm? Fred's already
looking to the inevitable rally, and making some early preparations.
Don't Be Afraid to Trade
September 20, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred says in a bear market even a
long-term investor has to do more than "buy and hold."
One Man Standing
September 19, 2002, 8:54 am
Even though the markets are above
their July lows, the indicators are crashing -- only one now is in
bull-mode.
Yech!
September 18, 2002, 3:03 am
Sell off on good news, sell off on
bad news. This market is a technical disaster area.
A Gift from Saddam to the Bulls?
September 17, 2002, 9:09 am
Maybe, but the market's technical
condition is iffy. No harm in waiting to see how things shape up.
Rolling Over
September 16, 2002, 12:39 am
How do you spell relief? Not this
way!
Sell Loops All Confirmed!
September 13, 2002, 8:47 am
So how come Fred is thinking that we
could be close to the best buying opportunity in three years?
Ominous Anniversary
September 12, 2002, 8:50 am
Every price/volume chart completed a
sell loop yesterday. If they are confirmed today, watch out.
The Trading Range Narrows
September 11, 2002, 1:00 am
A low-volume day is a given -- but
which way will the market go when 911 anniversary jitters are behind us?
Face It: We're in a Trading Range
September 10, 2002, 8:45 am
Don't let the apparent volatility
fool you. This market ain't going nowhere.
Gurus and Gunslingers
September 9, 2002, 5:30 am
The talking heads say one thing, the
portfolio managers say another. So what do the indicators say?
To Fight Another Day
September 6, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred lightened up on stocks yesterday
and is readying his strategy in case things get worse.
Man Your Battle Stations
September 5, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's price/volume loops are near a
date with destiny, and Fred has his finger on the trigger.
A Major Ray of Hope
September 4, 2002, 9:01 am
Was yesterday a complete wash-out?
Maybe, maybe not.
The End of the World? Or...
September 3, 2002, 8:35 am
Fred questions the pervasive
pessimism, and introduces the new Fred Goodman Discretionary
Technical Portfolio.
Make My Day!
August 30, 2002, 7:39 am
A reader challenged Fred to show his
track record -- and Fred takes the opportunity to show how valuable
technical analysis can really be.
I Just Have Three Words For You...
August 29, 2002, 5:20 am
Fred talks about the only thing that
matters right now to the market's technical health.
Slender Volume
August 28, 2002, 5:20 am
A slow holiday week dominates Fred's
price/volume charts -- and sets Fred on a new research trek.
It's the Volume, Stupid!
August 27, 2002, 7:00 am
Sure it's a holiday week -- but Fred
grouses that the volume just isn't there to make yesterday's move
credible.
It's Earlier Than You Think!
August 26, 2002, 1:07 am
Last week Fred warned that the rally
would running out of steam by Labor Day -- has it happened already?
The September of My Rally
August 23, 2002, 8:56 am
Fred worries that the rally may be
approaching a date with destiny as the first anniversary of 911
approaches.
Getting Smarter All the Time
August 22, 2002, 8:50 am
The Smart Money Indicator continues
to lead the rally -- and now Fred's got an even smarter way to look at
it.
Another Precinct Heard From
August 21, 2002, 8:51 am
Fred's new Breadth-Volume Oscillator
gives its first buy signal in 1-1/2 years.
Moot Loops
August 20, 2002, 8:54 am
Yesterday's move cancelled any danger
from the price/volume loops -- Fred now likes this rally a lot more.
Watch Those Loops!
August 19, 2002, 9:01 am
The balance of indicators gets more
bullish, but the price/volume charts are ominous, making Fred fear a
correction.
Watch Your Back
August 16, 2002, 8:51 am
Fred likes this rally more and more.
The problem is, everyone else does too. So Fred's staying close to the
exits.
A Picture of Perfection?
August 15, 2002, 8:53 am
Almost -- but it's good enough for
Fred to up his commitment to stocks.
Look to the Loops
August 14, 2002, 8:44 am
Yesterday did some real damage, and
now Fred's focus turns to the price/volume loops -- will they or won't
they?
Over the Hurdle
August 13, 2002, 8:42 am
Fred thought Monday would me a make
or break day for the market -- and thanks to low volume, all systems are
still "go."
New Kid on the Block
August 12, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred introduces a new indicator --
and it's on the verge of giving a buy signal.
Trust, But Verify
August 1, 2002, 8:12 am
The buy signal just gets stronger and
stronger. But that doesn't mean you can take your eye off the ball.
Buy Signal Gathering Strength
August 8, 2002, 8:42 am
Monday's official buy signal is
looking better and better -- another good day and we're really there.
Joy and Caution
August 7, 2002, 8:38 am
Monday's official buy signal was
terrific, but Fred thinks things are still a bit iffy.
A Buy Signal -- Officially, At Least
August 6, 2002, 8:52 am
But Fred says it's a fragile one.
Wait till the deck is more stacked in the bulls' favor.
Buy Alert
August 5, 2002, 8:42 am
Fred
Goodman
Fred doesn't have a buy signal yet, but he's
bracing for one any day now.
Much Ado
August 2, 2002, 8:40 am
Yesterday's big drop didn't do
anything to make Fred's indicators any more bullish -- but a rally is
just a matter of time.
Changing of the Guard
August 1, 2002, 8:31 am
Leadership has changed from small cap
to large, and Fred's doing a little buying. But he says this is still a
bear market.
Get Smart
July 31, 2002, 8:25 am
The Smart Money Indicator has given a
buy signal. But while Fred's dabbling on the buy side, he's holding back
the big commitment.
Too Much Too Soon?
July 30, 2002, 8:35 am
Fred's VIX trade last week was made a
huge winner by yesterday's rally -- but the market must not get ahead of
itself here.
Fasten Your Seat Belts
July 29, 2002, 8:45 am
We're almost there -- here's Fred's
spotting guide for what could be an amazing rally.
Well, You Won't Be Bored
July 26, 2002, 8:48 am
Yesterday's market had thrills -- or
heartbreaks -- for everyone.
Tricks with VIX
July 25, 2002, 3:35 am
Fred wasn't especially impressed by
yesterday's rally, but he has a way to make a short-term play based on
the VIX volatility index.
The Envelope Puh-leeze...
July 24, 2002, 3:20 am
Fred reveals what's inside his
mystery oscillator -- and expounds on the limitations of even the best
technical indicators.
The Way It 'Sposed to Be?
July 23, 2002, 9:07 am
It took this bear rout to make some
of Fred's indicators do just what they are expected to do.
I Can Name That Oscillator in Three Notes!
July 22, 2002, 4:15 am
Fred introduces a brand new technical
indicator -- and he challenges you to guess what it is.
The NASDAQ Gums up the Works
July 19, 2002, 4:13 am
Some of the indicators are starting to get
Fred tempted to do some buying soon -- but the NASDAQ just isn't
cooperating.
Pop Quiz!
July 18, 2002, 8:45 am
Put away your notes. In 20 charts or
more, describe the similarities and differences between now and late
September, 2001.
Pray for Rain
July 17, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's still waiting for the collapse
that will set up a major buying opportunity. But we're getting there...
Just Another Goddam Day in Paradise
July 16, 2002, 8:35 am
It'll take a lot more that
yesterday's miraculous rebound to impress Fred.
Don't Get Ahead of Yourself
July 15, 2002, 8:51 am
Better to miss the precise day of the bottom
that to keep grasping a bottom that isn't there!
Not If, But When
July 12, 2002, 9:08 am
Fred is more convinced than ever that
a big move is in the offing -- but he's still on the sidelines waiting
for it.
The Dead Economists Society
July 11, 2002, 9:07 am
Fred quotes Keynes, and bemoans a
decline that still has legs.
The Trade on the Cutting Room Floor
July 10, 2002, 3:35 am
Fred's brief career
as a day-trader is over -- but he learned a valuable lesson about
markets.
Not For the Weak of Heart
July 9, 2002, 8:50 am
Scary market -- but still, lots of
good things developing under the surface. And Fred has an intriguing
speculative trade -- but only for the brave.
What a Difference a Day (Off) Makes!
July 8, 2002, 8:25 am
Watch closely! Friday's massive
low-volume rally has poised most of Fred's indicators for a very
compelling buying opportunity today or tomorrow.
Abort! Abort! Abort!
July 3, 2002, 9:15 am
The Summation Index buy signal is no
more -- Fred's relieved that he never trusted it to begin with.
WorldBomb
July 2, 2002, 5:58 am
The buy signal is on the edge of
being trumped -- and Fred's glad he's been recommending caution!
A Buy, But Not A Bull
July 1, 2002, 12:05 am
Fred got his Summation Index buy signal last
week, but he's still worried about those holdout indicators.
Be Happy, But Be Cautious
June 28, 2002, 8:53 am
Yes, there's a buy signal. But Fred thinks
it could still be tricky.
Ready for Pre-Boarding
June 27, 2002, 8:51 am
There's been a Summation Index buy
signal, but there may be a day or two of backing and filling before the
rally really gets underway.
Tragic Catalyst
June 26, 2002, 3:00 am
The WorldCom bombshell may be just the shock
this market needs to complete its slide.
Almost Rally Time
June 25, 2002, 8:52 am
Fred
Goodman
We're almost positioned for a buy signal
from the Summation Index -- but be patient, and wait for a consensus of
indicators.
Fred's FAQs -- Go With the Consensus
June 24, 2002, 12:05 am
Don't let just one indicator make up your
mind -- look at the weight of the evidence. And right now the weight is
pretty heavy.
For No Better and No Worse
June 21, 2002, 9:11 am
The indicators are showing little
change -- Fred wants to see them deteriorate to set up the big buy.
A Buy, By and By
June 20, 2002, 8:47 am
The Summation Index is winding up for
a bull signal, but Fred is still not buying.
Trudging Forward, Grudgingly
June 19, 2002, 8:58 am
The indicators slowly continue to
improve -- but Fred didn't buy anything yesterday.
Picking Nits
June 18, 2002, 8:57 am
This rally's worth a pilot position -- but
Fred sees lots that worries him.
Are We There Yet?
June 17, 2002, 12:05 am
Near-historic low readings in some of
Fred's indicators suggest a climax is at hand -- but will it be
sustainable?
A Note From the Road
June 14, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's traveling, but he couldn't
resist filing this brief status report.
Make Up Your Mind!
June 13, 2002, 9:15 am
The market's game of tantalizingly
mixed almost-signals continues!
Days, Not Weeks
June 12, 2002, 3:28 am
This decline hurts, but there will be a
bounce -- and soon.
Gearing Up for Up?
June 11, 2002, 8:35 am
First the Boomerang Indicators, and
not the price/volume charts are starting to suggest bullish options.
The Boomerangs Whisper "Buy"
June 10, 2002, 5:45 am
Amidst generally negative technicals, the
Boomerang Indicators are suggesting that something interesting may be
afoot.
More Pain, Then Gain
June 7, 2002, 8:50 am
Once is not enough. It will take more
downside to set the stage for a big rally.
More Rough Waters Ahead
June 6, 2002, 8:35 am
That little non-rally yesterday changes
nothing. The indicators continue to worsen.
Small Favors
June 5, 2002, 8:43 am
Yesterday's market was not bad. But
that doesn't mean it was good.
Be Careful What You Wish For
June 4, 2002, 6:42 am
Fred asked for trouble -- and he got
it! Now he wants more...
Show Yourself the Money
June 3, 2002, 8:35 am
The math is simple, but even smart
investors lie to themselves when they are toting up their P&L.
Too
Early To Hope
May 31, 2002, 8:38 am
We haven't seen the kind of
deterioration yet that could lead to a tradable rally.
Duck and Cover
May 30, 2002, 8:35 am
More deterioration in Fred's
indicators is beginning to resolve last week's conflicts -- to the
downside.
Going East
May 29, 2002, 8:31 am
Confusion reigns in the US markets,
so Fred establishes a beachhead in Asia.
Infernal Contradictions
May 28, 2002, 12:10 am
Fred tells how to deal with conflicting
signals in the indicators, and examines up-volume and down-volume
indicators in depth.
You Deserve A Break Today
May 24, 2002, 8:30 am
Today's market -- and the indicators
-- are predictable. With the holiday coming up, why not just take the
day off?
Where Have You Bin?
May 23, 2002, 8:33 am
Rumors of a terrorist chief's capture
woke Fred up yesterday afternoon -- but will there be any follow
through?
Back to Business as Usual
May 22, 2002, 8:28 am
Last week's rally appears to have
been overwhelmed by a preponderance of negative indicators.
Unboldly Go
May 21, 2002, 8:23am
The markets are quieting down -- yet
there are ominous signs.
Don't Get Your Up Hopes
May 20, 2002, 8:32 am
Great week -- but this rally doesn't
have the technical underpinnings that Fred wants to see.
Big Buys
May 17, 2002, 8:56 am
The day of the small stocks seems to
be over. Now's the time for the beaten down large growth stocks to
recover.
S&P 500 Boomerang: Buy!
May 16, 2002, 8:45 am
The broader market's Boomerang
Indicator joins the party -- but this is still a market of tricky
contradictions.
Boomerang Still Says "Buy"
May 15, 2002, 8:26 am
But Fred worries that the rally isn't being
supported by his other indicators.
Bravissimo Boomerang!
May 14, 2002, 5:50 am
The Boomerang Indicator nailed
yesterday's NASDAQ surge. But Fred's not convinced that the good times
will keep rolling.
BOOM-erang!
May 13, 2002, 1:01 am
Things look bleak? Yes -- but the Boomerang
Indicators have a surprise for you.
What is the Name of This Report?
May 10, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred quotes himself quoting himself
-- and the indicators continue to warn against believing Wednesday's
rally.
But...
May 9, 2002, 8:45 am
Sure, Fred loved yesterday's bull blast. But
here's everything that was wrong with it.
Not When -- How Much?
May 8, 2002, 8:34am
A rally is coming. But will it be
worth playing?
Take This Simple Test
May 7, 2002, 8:36 am
Can you guess what Fred found to like
about yesterday's train wreck?
Lock and Load
May 6, 2002, 8:45am
Long-term things look awful -- but
brace yourself for a very tradable short-term rally.
Weird Market Science
May 3, 2002, 5:49am
The market is in the grips of
powerful contradictions. But a lot of the indicators are starting to
look very ugly.
Two Day Wonder? I Wonder!
May 2, 2002, 6:33am
Fred's not buying this rally. But it
may still have a little life left.
Not!
May 1, 2002, 7:38am
Great rally yesterday. But one day
doesn't undo a month's worth of damage.
Falling Down...
April 30, 2002, 7:02am
We're in another down-leg, and none of the
indicators offer any hope for any turnaround anytime soon.
Long? Wrong!
April 29, 2002, 12:01am
The Summation Index's buy signal was
reversed by Friday's horrible action.
Flat Market, High Volume
April 26, 2002, 8:40 am
The indicators continue to teeter on
the edge... going nowhere -- fast.
Hope for the Hopeless?
April 25, 2002, 9:05 am
There are still bullish ways out of
this mess. But even the best of them aren't that good.
Do or Die
April 24, 2002, 8:41am
The markets are right at support.
They make a stand here, or the buy signal is history by next week.
Danger Will Robinson!
April 23, 2002, 8:27am
The buy signal is in peril -- and the
sell signal that might evolve could be big.
In Harm's Way
April 22, 2002. 8:38am
The buy signal is still in force, but Fred
worries that it can't last.
News Not Fit to Move the Market
April 19, 2002, 8:44 am
Yesterday's terrorism scare proved
only one thing: this market is mired in a trading range.
Momentum! Momentum! My Kingdom for Some Momentum!
April 18, 2002, 4:45am
Tuesday's blast was fun -- but all in all
we've got little more than an upside bias.
Can We Top That?
April 17, 2002, 8:48am
Fred's buy signal last week looks brilliant
-- for the moment. Here's what we can expect from the coming days.
Small Steps and Small Stocks
April 16, 2002
The markets have only inched forward since
the Summation Index buy signal -- and the strength is still in low-cap
stocks.
Friday Trumps Thursday
April 15, 2002
The market's still in good shape, and the
buy signal stands.
Bye Buy?
April 12, 2002
Yesterday's signal is still intact --
but this may be the trickiest market Fred's ever seen.
Good Buy!
April 11, 2002
At last...the Summation Index has given the
long-awaited buy signal.
Still Ugly, Still Stuck
April 10, 2002
Even with yesterday's decline in most
indices, the fact is that most stocks are going nowhere fast.
Building Steam
April 9, 2002
The market continues to take a licking and
keep on ticking -- at least technically. It's only a matter of time now.
Large Cap Steps Back
April 8, 2002
The big boys were the leader for most of the
first quarter. But Fred thinks that's going to change.
Run Silent, Run Deep
April 5, 2002
The market appears quiescent and somewhat
negative -- but under the surface technical strength is starting to
show.
Cruel to be Kind
April 4, 2002
The worse the pain is now, the better a
set-up if will be for the rally.
Getting Ugly
April 3, 2002
A decline here is an opportunity to figure
our what you want to buy when the turn finally comes.
Is This Trip Really Necessary?
April 2, 2002
It's a trading range -- but that doesn't
mean there isn't plenty of action.
Post-Holiday Madness
April 1, 2002
With the holiday behind us, the market has
to digest a flurry of news and risks.
Catching up on Our Homework
March 28, 2002
Nothing's happening in the market, so Fred
takes some time to discuss his studies of the Dow stocks.
Same Trading Range, Different Words
March 27, 2002
The market is still trying to decide what it
wants to be when it grows up.
It's Got To Be Bad To Be Good
March 26, 2002
Rough market, yesterday. But if you're
really a bull, you want it to get even worse.
Ranging Bull?
March 25, 2002
Here we are again, stuck in the
trading range. At the moment it's not clear which way it's going to
break -- or when.
Sentimental Journey
March 22, 2002
Fred can see the path that will get
the indicators to buy mode -- but sentiment is way too bullish.
Second Warning
March 21, 2002
Fred's Summation Index has reiterated the
sell signal of January 11.
What is Volatility Saying?
March 20, 2002
Market volatility has dried up since 2001 --
does this indicate complacency, or hope?
Borrrrrring...!
March 19, 2002
At least on the surface -- but Fred sees a
lot of interesting stuff happening underneath.
Good and Exhausted
March 18, 2002
Underlying strength is good -- but the
market is pooped, and sentiment is too bullish.
We Walk the Line
March 15, 2002
An amazing number of indicators are
precisely in neutral -- but Fred is worried by the bullish sentiment.
Still A Sell, But Here's What...
March 14, 2002
Fred suggests how different kinds of
investors can position themselves to prepare for a coming buy signal.
Glimmers
March 13, 2002
There are still no definitive indications,
but there are interesting positive possibilities starting to shape up.
It Still Could Go Either Way
March 12, 2002
The markets are still resting, and there's
no definitive indication of what they'll do when they wake up.
Right on the Edge
March 11, 2002
It's truth or dare for the bulls here -- but
Fred thinks there may be a pause before we find out which.
Stuck in Neutral
March 8, 2002
Yesterday was a critical day, but nothing
happened!
Judgment Day
March 7, 2002
Fred
Goodman
Many of Fred's indicators are poised on the
verge of greatness -- and Fred has upped his commitment to stocks.
A Well-Earned Rest
March 6, 2002
Markets took the day off yesterday -- Fred
is thinking about buying the dip.
Loading up the Shopping Cart
March 5, 2002
Fred worries that we are still in a trading
range -- but considers what he might buy on the next dip.
Good Stuff from Fred's Kitchen
March 4, 2002
Fred
Goodman
Fred invites you into the process of
perfecting his market indicators... something amazing is almost baked.
Buy Signal? What Buy Signal?
March 1, 2002
Hold your horses (and your
doggies)... Fred says it's still too early.
Small Stocks Have Reason to Live
February 28, 2002
The unrecognized winner in the next rally
may just be the Russell 2000.
Secret Greatness
February 27, 2002
Yesterday's boring market showed subtle
signs of strength, if you know where to look.
Still A Long Road
February 26, 2002
Yesterday's rally didn't put a dent in the
indicators -- be patient.
Don't Get Excited -- Yet!
February 25, 2002
Last week was volatile, but meant nothing.
More interesting is Fred's latest discoveries with the "Boomerang
Indicators."
It's Unanimous... It's Awful
February 22, 2002
Fred's indicators all agree that there's
nothing in this market to tempt the bulls.
Boomeranging the QQQQ's
February 21, 2002
Fred's boomerang stock technique is a winner
when applied to the NASDAQ 100 -- but right now it's not saying
"buy."
Bye-bye Market, Bye-bye Elves
February 20, 2002
Fred thinks it could get nastier here -- and
notes that the "elves" of Wall Street Week seem to have
capitulated right off the air.
Boomerang Goes Broad
February 19, 2002
Fred shows how the "boomerang stocks"
concept may have its highest and best use as a broad-market indicator.
Deeper Into Boomerang Stocks
February 15, 2002
Fred starts to answer readers' questions
about his new technique -- how to use it both to trade stocks, and to
time the market.
Boomerang Stocks Boom!
February 14, 2002
At his first at-bat as a stock picker, Fred
has hit the ball out of the park with Microsoft and Intuit.
Feels Like It's Getting Close
February 13, 2002
Fred senses a turnaround -- and introduces a
new technique to pick bottoms in individual stocks.
Adjust the Volume, Please!
February 12, 2002
Two weeks ago Fred complained about the high
volume. Now he's complaining about the low volume!
Break Out the History Books
February 11, 2002
Fred plays history teacher to help
readers understand the post-Pearl Harbor market, and how to use the
Smart Money Indicator.
Remember: Early = Wrong
February 8, 2002
We may finally be headed toward
capitulation. Just let it happen.
Waiting for W
February 7, 2002
And Fred's not talking about George -- he
explains to readers what to look for in the falling Summation Index
before committing to this market.
Going Nowhere Fast
February 6, 2002
The market didn't move yesterday, but volume
did. And Fred's loops say that's not a good thing.
Knocked for a Loop
February 5, 2002
The sell-loops continue to exert their power
on the markets. There's going to be a recovery in here somewhere -- but
wait for it!
A Great Call, Not a Crystal Ball
February 4, 2002
Fred nailed it perfectly last week -- but he
tells an enthusiastic reader that he's just playing the probabilities.
Are We There Yet?
February 1, 2002
Two days of relief doesn't make a "rally" --
yet while there may be more weakness ahead, Fred sees signs of building
strength.
Keep Your Powder Dry
January 31, 2002
Yesterday's turnaround had some fatal flaws
-- be patient.
Just Like Counterclockwisework
January 30, 2002
The indicators are working like a charm.
Now, just be patient until they tell us to buy.
If It's a Sell, Why is It a Buy?
January 29, 2002
All three major indices are flashing sell --
but Fred explains to a reader why he's polishing up his buying shoes.
Setting Up the Shot
January 28, 2002
Fred's indicators continue to show an
unraveling market -- but it could be just a buying opportunity getting
ready to be born.
Very Interesting... But Stupid!
January 25, 2002
Another up-day for the markets? So it seems,
but the Smart Money Indicator is still deteriorating.
Too Much, Too Fast
January 24, 2002
Nice rally yesterday. But there was too much
volume, and Fred's not convinced.
Stupid, Stupid, Stupid!
January 23, 2002
Fools rushed in yesterday morning and drove
our Smart Money Indicator to new lows.
Don't Count On It
January 18, 2002
Yesterday's upside move might have just been
a temporary reprieve -- and an expensive one.
Making a Stand
January 17, 2002
To market still has a chance to avoid a
prolonged negative period, but the next few days will be critical.
Strange Days
January 16, 2002
Yesterday's unusual volume patterns produced
mixed signals.
The Arms Says Farewell
January 15, 2002
The Arms Indicator has collapsed, perhaps
showing that large-cap leaders are leading the way lower.
A Sell Signal At Last
January 14, 2002
The Summation Index finally gives up the
ghost, and a profitable trade is closed.
Quietly Unraveling
January 11, 2002
It seems liked nothing happened yesterday.
But the indicators moved closer to the edge.
Unsmart and Unsmarter
January 10, 2002
With yesterday's last-hour drop, the
Smart Money Indicator had one of its worst days ever.
Right On The Edge
January 9, 2002
Who knows which way it will go? But the
Summation Index is on the verge of a sell signal.
Lost That Lovin' Feeling
January 8, 2002
With a look at a new indicator that is
helping to signal a top, Fred's urge to own 'em is starting to ebb.
A Myth to Miss
January 7, 2002
Fred says the old myth that you need to be
invested at all times so you don't miss the very best days is
self-serving nonsense.
The Pressure is On
January 4, 2002
Fred's buy signal has been in place since
October -- now he's feeling the urge to buy more.
One Step Backward, One Step Forward
January 3, 2002
Fred's still worried, but October's buy
signal is still in effect. Patience... patience...
Happy New Bear
January 2, 2002
There's still no sell signal, but Fred
continues to worry.
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