| Fred
Goodman: 2002
Just Another *$&@# Year in Paradise
December
31, 2002, 2:49 am
Looking back, the year
played out pretty much as Fred expected (but no one else did).
Brace Yourself
December 30, 2002, 8:39 am
The low-volume holidays are almost over -- but it's
been a low-volume month, and that spells trouble.
Who Will Let the Dogs Back In?
December 27, 2002, 9:10 am
Is anyone ever going to show up and trade this market?
Just Around the Corner
December 26, 2002, 12:00 am
Fred's waiting for the holidazed indicators to resolve
-- one way or the other.
Fred's Christmas Carol
December
24, 2002, 8:39 am
Before saying "God
bless us every one," Fred is visited by some ghosts of Christmases past.
A Cooler Head Prevails
December 23, 2002, 2:39 am
Fred wanted to buy on Monday, but the discipline of
his technical indicators has made him stay his hand.
Silly Season
December 20, 2002, 8:22 am
Two weeks of anomalies starts today with triple-witching
-- then come the holidays.
Don't Rally Quite Yet!
December
19, 2002, 8:39 am
There was a little volume
pick-up, but it's too soon to hope for a sustainable break from the trading range.
Stuck in the Middle With You
December 18, 2002, 8:10 am
The market is still stuck in a trading range, as volume
continues to languish.
Star of Wonder
December
17, 2002, 8:59 am
The Price/Volume Charts
have produced a perfect "star" pattern -- a holiday gift for the bulls?
More Than Meets the Eye
December 16, 2002, 12:00 am
The low volume belies some very interesting movement
in the indicators.
Soaring through the Boring
December
13, 2002, 8:39 am
The market is doing just
what Fred wants -- nothing.
Blessed Quiet
December
12, 2002, 8:39 am
Yesterday as perfect
-- the market rested in the trading range on low volume.
Hey, Keep the Volume Down!
December
11, 2002, 1:51 am
If the market can just
tread water on low volume for a few days, we could be in line for an upside breakout.
Bad Day at Black Rock
December 10, 2002, 4:12 am
As if yesterday weren't bad enough, now the Price/Volume
Charts are poised to give sell signals.
Doubling Up... or Down?
December 8, 2002, 12:00 am
Fred's got a second VIX 3-day buy signal --
but how does he play it, considering Friday's sell signal from the Summary Index?
Sell Signal
December 6, 2002, 8:39 am
The Summary Index has turned down -- yet the Price/Volume
Charts have managed to stay out of harm's way.
Back to Our Old VIX Tricks
December 5, 2002, 8:39 am
It's time for another 3-day buy based on the Volatility
Index.
Making You Money, Saving You Money
December
4, 2002, 1:41 am
Fred shows what great
technical analysis can do -- as he prepares for worse markets before things get
better.
Hidden Dragon
December
3, 2002, 8:46 am
You'd never know what
a bad day yesterday was just from looking at the close -- but at the same time,
the indicators averted disaster.
Hopeful Bull, Realistic Bear
December 2, 2002, 12:00 am
Fred really wants this rally to continue -- but a
hard look at the indicators makes that seem pretty unlikely just now.
Withering Heights
November 29, 2002, 12:00 am
Wednesday's rally was great, and there should be follow-through
today. But we're nearer the end than the beginning.
A Short Rope
November 27, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred's indicators weren't moved a bit by yesterday's
drop -- but that doesn't mean that Fred isn't being careful here.
The Magnificent 100
November 26, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred looks at the important differences between the
NASDAQ Composite and the narrower NASDAQ 100.
Out of Energy
November 25, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred's selling energy stocks today -- but he's not
in a hurry to spend the money.
Continuation Buy Loops Victorious
November
22, 2002, 8:39 am
The Price/Volume Charts
nailed yesterday's rally -- and now we could be poised to rally through the end
of the year.
Rising into Place
November
21, 2002, 8:44 am
By Monday Fred thinks
it will be time to buy this market.
The Edge of Night
November 20, 2002, 8:16 am
The market is flirting with dangerous possibilities
-- the Price/Volume Charts will point the way.
The Only Game in Town
November 19, 2002, 8:41 am
If you must play, then QQQQ is your game. But must
you play?
NASDAQ versus NASDAQ
November
18, 2002, 2:50 am
A comparison of the NASDAQ
Composite and the NASDAQ 100 reveals that there's some dangerous speculation going
on.
What's Not to Like?
November
15, 2002, 1:46 am
Plenty, actually -- Fred's
very suspicious that yesterday's big rally won't last.
Coming Home
November 14, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred sells the Discretionary Technical Portfolio's
foreign exposure, and brings the money back to the US of A.
All Mysteries Will Be Revealed
November 13, 2002, 3:29 am
The indicators are painting themselves in a corner
from which they must definitively break out, one way or the other.
Good Old Bad Old Days
November 12, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred predicted this decline, but he's not too worried
that we'll make new lows
I've Got Bad News and I've Got Bad News
November
11, 2002, 12:00 am
The Summary Index has
turned down!
Told You So!
November
8, 2002, 8:45 am
The election and rate
cuts were surprises. But Fred wasn't surprised by yesterday's drop.
Surprise, Surprise, Surprise!
November 7, 2002, 8:50 am
In a day of surprises, the biggest surprise yesterday
is that so little actually happened.
For One Day, No Rules
November 6, 2002, 7:23 am
With
an election surprise and Greenspan on deck, the indicators have to step aside
for one day. But in the end, cool heads will prevail.
Until the Feeling Went Away
November 5, 2002, 8:39 am
Great
rally yesterday? Not!
Volume Matters
November 4, 2002,
2:07 am
Fred's getting encouraged, especially
by the NASDAQ. But he'd like to see a lot more volume.
In Defense of Individual Investors
November 1, 2002, 8:56 am
Fred
looks at the track record of the AAII bull/bear ratio, and finds that these much-maligned
investors have been getting it right.
I Don't Want to Alarm You, But...
October 31, 2002, 8:05 am
Actually
Fred does want to alarm you. We may be near the top of a trading range.
Caution Flags
October 30, 2002, 8:29 am
The
indicators are churning -- but Fred is concerned that within a couple weeks they
could produce a sell signal.
Not on Auto-pilot
October 29, 2002, 7:39 am
Fred
shows how technical indicators can support expert decisions -- but they can't
make the decisions by themselves.
Stick to the Discipline
October 28, 2002, 2:30 am
Technical
analysis isn't like horseshoes -- "maybe" doesn't count.
The Volatility of Volatility
October 25, 2002, 8:46 am
A
crest in volatility gave a buy signal two weeks ago. Is a trough in volatility
saying "sell" now?
Buy America First
October 24, 2002, 8:47 am
Fred
added the QQQQ's to the Discretionary Technical Portfolio yesterday, and now he's
throwing out international stocks in favor of US financials.
Bulking Up
October 23, 2002, 8:00 am
Fred
added to his equity position in yesterday's weakness, and is looking to add more
this week.
Buying Dips
October
22, 2002, 8:46 am
There will be pot-holes
along the way, but Fred thinks that the Dow has at least another 500 points in
it from here.
A Most Critical Week
October 21, 2002, 8:55 am
This
week will determine whether the rally can develop into a real move that will take
out the old highs.
For Every Silver Lining, a Cloud
October 18, 2002, 8:39 am
Don't
get carried away -- Fred takes a look at what's wrong with this rally.
The Bad Old Days?
October 17, 2002, 8:43 am
Fred
wanted a "convenient entry point" -- and he got it.
All Hail the Wonder Indicator!
October 16, 2002, 9:00 am
Fred's
3-day tricks with VIX turned a 7.96% profit. Now the trick is not to get greedy.
Forward -- Into the Past!
October 15, 2002, 8:39 am
Fred
says the best lessons about today can be learned from the market in 1987.
Got Rally?
October 14, 2002, 8:52 am
Thursday
and Friday were beauties -- but the indicators still aren't saying "buy."
Contradiction in Terms
October 11, 2002, 8:33 am
Yesterday's
rally was far from conclusive. But Fred's VIX indicator gave a 3-day trading buy
signal.
If You Can't Think of Anything Nice To Say...
October 10, 2002, 9:40 am
Fred
is tempted to say nothing at all! At least the price/volume loops have kept him
out of a collapsing market.
A Fatal Rally?
October
9, 2002, 8:26 am
Yesterday's wimpy rally
drew the biggest volume in two months -- that's exactly wrong for Fred's price/volume
loops.
Down Comforter
October 8, 2002, 8:46 am
Fred
finds some relief in indicators that say the market is simply getting tired of
declining.
Breakdown, It's All Right
October 7, 2002, 12:05 am
The
Dow and the NASDAQ break out of their trading range -- to the downside. And Fred
stays positioned very conservatively.
Gettin' that Lovin' Feeling?
October 4, 2002, 8:47 am
Fred's
starting to see some early "here comes the rally" hints.
Back in Trouble
October 3, 2002, 8:46am
Fred's
back from his trip -- but the market's not back from its decline. The indicators
show only tentative improvement.
Tempting... Very Tempting...
October 2, 2002, 8:59 am
Yesterday's
move certainly got Fred's attention. But conservatism has paid dividends so far,
so he's still waiting.
All's Horrible that Ends Horrible
October 1, 2002, 1:57 am
Bad
day. Bad month. Bad quarter. Bad year. What about "bad" don't you understand?
Report from the Hurricane
September 30, 2002, 12:45 am
Fred's
in New Orleans -- where everything's okay. But the market is another story!
Good News and Bad News
September 27, 2002, 3:39 am
Some
indicators are turning positive. But the one that's been the most positive all
along is now suspect!
Picky, Picky, Picky!
September 26, 2002, 8:41 am
We
finally get a good rally and Fred's indicators say it's not good enough. Here's
why...
Subtle Signs of Improvement
September 25, 2002, 6:28 am
Fred's
"Smart Put/Call Ratio" may be pointing the way to a bottom.
The Pain Game
September
24, 2002, 7:39 am
Believe it or not, Fred
found some things to like in yesterday's action.
A Date with a Hurricane
September 23, 2002, 8:49 am
A
perfect storm? Fred's already looking to the inevitable rally, and making some
early preparations.
Don't Be Afraid to Trade
September 20, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred
says in a bear market even a long-term investor has to do more than "buy
and hold."
One Man Standing
September 19, 2002, 8:54 am
Even
though the markets are above their July lows, the indicators are crashing -- only
one now is in bull-mode.
Yech!
September
18, 2002, 3:03 am
Sell off on good news,
sell off on bad news. This market is a technical disaster area.
A Gift from Saddam to the Bulls?
September 17, 2002, 9:09 am
Maybe,
but the market's technical condition is iffy. No harm in waiting to see how things
shape up.
Rolling Over
September
16, 2002, 12:39 am
How do you spell relief?
Not this way!
Sell Loops All Confirmed!
September 13, 2002, 8:47 am
So
how come Fred is thinking that we could be close to the best buying opportunity
in three years?
Ominous Anniversary
September 12, 2002, 8:50 am
Every
price/volume chart completed a sell loop yesterday. If they are confirmed today,
watch out.
The Trading Range Narrows
September 11, 2002, 1:00 am
A
low-volume day is a given -- but which way will the market go when 911 anniversary
jitters are behind us?
Face It: We're in a Trading Range
September 10, 2002, 8:45 am
Don't
let the apparent volatility fool you. This market ain't going nowhere.
Gurus and Gunslingers
September 9, 2002, 5:30 am
The
talking heads say one thing, the portfolio managers say another. So what do the
indicators say?
To Fight Another Day
September 6, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred
lightened up on stocks yesterday and is readying his strategy in case things get
worse.
Man Your Battle Stations
September 5, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's
price/volume loops are near a date with destiny, and Fred has his finger on the
trigger.
A Major Ray of Hope
September 4, 2002, 9:01 am
Was
yesterday a complete wash-out? Maybe, maybe not.
The End of the World? Or...
September 3, 2002, 8:35 am
Fred
questions the pervasive pessimism, and introduces the new Fred Goodman Discretionary
Technical Portfolio.
Make My Day!
August
30, 2002, 7:39 am
A reader challenged Fred
to show his track record -- and Fred takes the opportunity to show how valuable
technical analysis can really be.
I Just Have Three Words For You...
August 29, 2002, 5:20 am
Fred
talks about the only thing that matters right now to the market's technical health.
Slender Volume
August 28, 2002, 5:20 am
A
slow holiday week dominates Fred's price/volume charts -- and sets Fred on a new
research trek.
It's the Volume, Stupid!
August 27, 2002, 7:00 am
Sure
it's a holiday week -- but Fred grouses that the volume just isn't there to make
yesterday's move credible.
It's Earlier Than You Think!
August 26, 2002, 1:07 am
Last
week Fred warned that the rally would running out of steam by Labor Day -- has
it happened already?
The September of My Rally
August 23, 2002, 8:56 am
Fred
worries that the rally may be approaching a date with destiny as the first anniversary
of 911 approaches.
Getting Smarter All the Time
August 22, 2002, 8:50 am
The
Smart Money Indicator continues to lead the rally -- and now Fred's got an even
smarter way to look at it.
Another Precinct Heard From
August 21, 2002, 8:51 am
Fred's
new Breadth-Volume Oscillator gives its first buy signal in 1-1/2 years.
Moot Loops
August 20, 2002, 8:54 am
Yesterday's
move cancelled any danger from the price/volume loops -- Fred now likes this rally
a lot more.
Watch Those Loops!
August 19, 2002, 9:01 am
The
balance of indicators gets more bullish, but the price/volume charts are ominous,
making Fred fear a correction.
Watch Your Back
August 16, 2002, 8:51 am
Fred
likes this rally more and more. The problem is, everyone else does too. So Fred's
staying close to the exits.
A Picture of Perfection?
August 15, 2002, 8:53 am
Almost
-- but it's good enough for Fred to up his commitment to stocks.
Look to the Loops
August 14, 2002, 8:44 am
Yesterday
did some real damage, and now Fred's focus turns to the price/volume loops --
will they or won't they?
Over the Hurdle
August
13, 2002, 8:42 am
Fred thought Monday would
me a make or break day for the market -- and thanks to low volume, all systems
are still "go."
New Kid on the Block
August 12, 2002, 8:49 am
Fred
introduces a new indicator -- and it's on the verge of giving a buy signal.
Trust, But Verify
August 1, 2002, 8:12 am
The
buy signal just gets stronger and stronger. But that doesn't mean you can take
your eye off the ball.
Buy Signal Gathering Strength
August 8, 2002, 8:42 am
Monday's
official buy signal is looking better and better -- another good day and we're
really there.
Joy and Caution
August
7, 2002, 8:38 am
Monday's official buy
signal was terrific, but Fred thinks things are still a bit iffy.
A Buy Signal -- Officially, At
Least
August
6, 2002, 8:52 am
But Fred says it's a fragile
one. Wait till the deck is more stacked in the bulls' favor.
Buy Alert
August 5, 2002, 8:42 am
Fred
Goodman
Fred doesn't have
a buy signal yet, but he's bracing for one any day now.
Much Ado
August 2, 2002, 8:40 am
Yesterday's
big drop didn't do anything to make Fred's indicators any more bullish -- but
a rally is just a matter of time.
Changing of the Guard
August 1, 2002, 8:31 am
Leadership
has changed from small cap to large, and Fred's doing a little buying. But he
says this is still a bear market.
Get Smart
July 31, 2002, 8:25 am
The
Smart Money Indicator has given a buy signal. But while Fred's dabbling on the
buy side, he's holding back the big commitment.
Too Much Too Soon?
July 30, 2002, 8:35 am
Fred's
VIX trade last week was made a huge winner by yesterday's rally -- but the market
must not get ahead of itself here.
Fasten Your Seat Belts
July 29, 2002, 8:45 am
We're
almost there -- here's Fred's spotting guide for what could be an amazing rally.
Well, You Won't Be Bored
July 26, 2002, 8:48 am
Yesterday's
market had thrills -- or heartbreaks -- for everyone.
Tricks with VIX
July 25, 2002, 3:35 am
Fred
wasn't especially impressed by yesterday's rally, but he has a way to make a short-term
play based on the VIX volatility index.
The Envelope Puh-leeze...
July 24, 2002, 3:20 am
Fred
reveals what's inside his mystery oscillator -- and expounds on the limitations
of even the best technical indicators.
The Way It 'Sposed to Be?
July 23, 2002, 9:07 am
It
took this bear rout to make some of Fred's indicators do just what they are expected
to do.
I Can Name That Oscillator in Three Notes!
July 22, 2002, 4:15 am
Fred
introduces a brand new technical indicator -- and he challenges you to guess what
it is.
The NASDAQ Gums up the Works
July 19, 2002, 4:13 am
Some
of the indicators are starting to get Fred tempted to do some buying soon -- but
the NASDAQ just isn't cooperating.
Pop Quiz!
July 18, 2002, 8:45 am
Put
away your notes. In 20 charts or more, describe the similarities and differences
between now and late September, 2001.
Pray for Rain
July 17, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's
still waiting for the collapse that will set up a major buying opportunity. But
we're getting there...
Just Another Goddam Day in Paradise
July 16, 2002, 8:35 am
It'll
take a lot more that yesterday's miraculous rebound to impress Fred.
Don't Get Ahead of Yourself
July 15, 2002, 8:51 am
Better
to miss the precise day of the bottom that to keep grasping a bottom that isn't
there!
Not If, But When
July 12, 2002, 9:08 am
Fred
is more convinced than ever that a big move is in the offing -- but he's still
on the sidelines waiting for it.
The Dead Economists Society
July 11, 2002, 9:07 am
Fred
quotes Keynes, and bemoans a decline that still has legs.
The Trade on the Cutting Room
Floor
July
10, 2002, 3:35 am
Fred's
brief career as a day-trader is over -- but he learned a valuable lesson about
markets.
Not For the Weak of Heart
July 9, 2002, 8:50 am
Scary
market -- but still, lots of good things developing under the surface. And Fred
has an intriguing speculative trade -- but only for the brave.
What a Difference a Day (Off)
Makes!
July
8, 2002, 8:25 am
Watch closely! Friday's
massive low-volume rally has poised most of Fred's indicators for a very compelling
buying opportunity today or tomorrow.
Abort! Abort! Abort!
July 3, 2002, 9:15 am
The
Summation Index buy signal is no more -- Fred's relieved that he never trusted
it to begin with.
WorldBomb
July 2, 2002, 5:58 am
The
buy signal is on the edge of being trumped -- and Fred's glad he's been recommending
caution!
A Buy, But Not A Bull
July 1, 2002, 12:05 am
Fred
got his Summation Index buy signal last week, but he's still worried about those
holdout indicators.
Be Happy, But Be Cautious
June 28, 2002, 8:53 am
Yes,
there's a buy signal. But Fred thinks it could still be tricky.
Ready for Pre-Boarding
June 27, 2002, 8:51 am
There's
been a Summation Index buy signal, but there may be a day or two of backing and
filling before the rally really gets underway.
Tragic Catalyst
June 26, 2002, 3:00 am
The
WorldCom bombshell may be just the shock this market needs to complete its slide.
Almost Rally Time
June 25, 2002, 8:52 am
Fred
Goodman
We're almost positioned
for a buy signal from the Summation Index -- but be patient, and wait for a consensus
of indicators.
Fred's FAQs -- Go With the Consensus
June 24, 2002, 12:05 am
Don't
let just one indicator make up your mind -- look at the weight of the evidence.
And right now the weight is pretty heavy.
For No Better and No Worse
June 21, 2002, 9:11 am
The
indicators are showing little change -- Fred wants to see them deteriorate to
set up the big buy.
A Buy, By and By
June 20, 2002, 8:47 am
The
Summation Index is winding up for a bull signal, but Fred is still not buying.
Trudging Forward, Grudgingly
June 19, 2002, 8:58 am
The
indicators slowly continue to improve -- but Fred didn't buy anything yesterday.
Picking Nits
June 18, 2002, 8:57 am
This
rally's worth a pilot position -- but Fred sees lots that worries him.
Are We There Yet?
June 17, 2002, 12:05 am
Near-historic
low readings in some of Fred's indicators suggest a climax is at hand -- but will
it be sustainable?
A Note From the Road
June 14, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred's traveling, but he couldn't resist filing
this brief status report.
Make Up Your Mind!
June 13, 2002, 9:15 am
The
market's game of tantalizingly mixed almost-signals continues!
Days, Not Weeks
June 12, 2002, 3:28 am
This
decline hurts, but there will be a bounce -- and soon.
Gearing Up for Up?
June 11, 2002, 8:35 am
First
the Boomerang Indicators, and not the price/volume charts are starting to suggest
bullish options.
The Boomerangs Whisper "Buy"
June 10, 2002, 5:45 am
Amidst
generally negative technicals, the Boomerang Indicators are suggesting that something
interesting may be afoot.
More Pain, Then Gain
June 7, 2002, 8:50 am
Once
is not enough. It will take more downside to set the stage for a big rally.
More Rough Waters Ahead
June 6, 2002, 8:35 am
That
little non-rally yesterday changes nothing. The indicators continue to worsen.
Small Favors
June 5, 2002, 8:43 am
Yesterday's
market was not bad. But that doesn't mean it was good.
Be Careful What You Wish For
June 4, 2002, 6:42 am
Fred
asked for trouble -- and he got it! Now he wants more...
Show Yourself the Money
June 3, 2002, 8:35 am
The
math is simple, but even smart investors lie to themselves when they are toting
up their P&L.
Too
Early To Hope
May
31, 2002, 8:38 am
We haven't seen the kind
of deterioration yet that could lead to a tradable rally.
Duck and Cover
May
30, 2002, 8:35 am
More deterioration in
Fred's indicators is beginning to resolve last week's conflicts -- to the downside.
Going East
May 29, 2002, 8:31 am
Confusion
reigns in the US markets, so Fred establishes a beachhead in Asia.
Infernal Contradictions
May 28, 2002, 12:10 am
Fred
tells how to deal with conflicting signals in the indicators, and examines up-volume
and down-volume indicators in depth.
You Deserve A Break Today
May 24, 2002, 8:30 am
Today's
market -- and the indicators -- are predictable. With the holiday coming up, why
not just take the day off?
Where Have You Bin?
May 23, 2002, 8:33 am
Rumors
of a terrorist chief's capture woke Fred up yesterday afternoon -- but will there
be any follow through?
Back to Business as Usual
May 22, 2002, 8:28 am
Last
week's rally appears to have been overwhelmed by a preponderance of negative indicators.
Unboldly Go
May
21, 2002, 8:23am
The markets are quieting
down -- yet there are ominous signs.
Don't Get Your Up Hopes
May 20, 2002, 8:32 am
Great
week -- but this rally doesn't have the technical underpinnings that Fred wants
to see.
Big Buys
May 17, 2002, 8:56 am
The
day of the small stocks seems to be over. Now's the time for the beaten down large
growth stocks to recover.
S&P 500 Boomerang: Buy!
May 16, 2002, 8:45 am
The
broader market's Boomerang Indicator joins the party -- but this is still a market
of tricky contradictions.
Boomerang Still Says "Buy"
May 15, 2002, 8:26 am
But
Fred worries that the rally isn't being supported by his other indicators.
Bravissimo Boomerang!
May 14, 2002, 5:50 am
The
Boomerang Indicator nailed yesterday's NASDAQ surge. But Fred's not convinced
that the good times will keep rolling.
BOOM-erang!
May 13, 2002, 1:01 am
Things
look bleak? Yes -- but the Boomerang Indicators have a surprise for you.
What is the Name of This Report?
May 10, 2002, 8:45 am
Fred quotes himself quoting himself -- and
the indicators continue to warn against believing Wednesday's rally.
But...
May 9, 2002, 8:45 am
Sure,
Fred loved yesterday's bull blast. But here's everything that was wrong with it.
Not When -- How Much?
May 8, 2002, 8:34am
A
rally is coming. But will it be worth playing?
Take This Simple Test
May 7, 2002, 8:36 am
Can
you guess what Fred found to like about yesterday's train wreck?
Lock and Load
May 6, 2002, 8:45am
Long-term
things look awful -- but brace yourself for a very tradable short-term rally.
Weird Market Science
May 3, 2002, 5:49am
The
market is in the grips of powerful contradictions. But a lot of the indicators
are starting to look very ugly.
Two Day Wonder? I Wonder!
May 2, 2002, 6:33am
Fred's
not buying this rally. But it may still have a little life left.
Not!
May 1, 2002, 7:38am
Great
rally yesterday. But one day doesn't undo a month's worth of damage.
Falling Down...
April 30, 2002, 7:02am
We're
in another down-leg, and none of the indicators offer any hope for any turnaround
anytime soon.
Long? Wrong!
April
29, 2002, 12:01am
The Summation Index's
buy signal was reversed by Friday's horrible action.
Flat Market, High Volume
April 26, 2002, 8:40 am
The
indicators continue to teeter on the edge... going nowhere -- fast.
Hope for the Hopeless?
April 25, 2002, 9:05 am
There
are still bullish ways out of this mess. But even the best of them aren't that
good.
Do or Die
April
24, 2002, 8:41am
The markets are right
at support. They make a stand here, or the buy signal is history by next week.
Danger Will Robinson!
April 23, 2002, 8:27am
The
buy signal is in peril -- and the sell signal that might evolve could be big.
In Harm's Way
April 22, 2002. 8:38am
The
buy signal is still in force, but Fred worries that it can't last.
News Not Fit to Move the Market
April 19, 2002, 8:44 am
Yesterday's
terrorism scare proved only one thing: this market is mired in a trading range.
Momentum! Momentum! My Kingdom
for Some Momentum!
April 18, 2002, 4:45am
Tuesday's
blast was fun -- but all in all we've got little more than an upside bias.
Can We Top That?
April 17, 2002, 8:48am
Fred's
buy signal last week looks brilliant -- for the moment. Here's what we can expect
from the coming days.
Small Steps and Small Stocks
April 16, 2002
The
markets have only inched forward since the Summation Index buy signal -- and the
strength is still in low-cap stocks.
Friday Trumps Thursday
April 15, 2002
The
market's still in good shape, and the buy signal stands.
Bye Buy?
April 12, 2002
Yesterday's
signal is still intact -- but this may be the trickiest market Fred's ever seen.
Good Buy!
April
11, 2002
At last...the Summation Index
has given the long-awaited buy signal.
Still Ugly, Still Stuck
April 10, 2002
Even
with yesterday's decline in most indices, the fact is that most stocks are going
nowhere fast.
Building Steam
April
9, 2002
The market continues to take a
licking and keep on ticking -- at least technically. It's only a matter of time
now.
Large Cap Steps Back
April 8, 2002
The
big boys were the leader for most of the first quarter. But Fred thinks that's
going to change.
Run Silent, Run Deep
April 5, 2002
The
market appears quiescent and somewhat negative -- but under the surface technical
strength is starting to show.
Cruel to be Kind
April 4, 2002
The
worse the pain is now, the better a set-up if will be for the rally.
Getting Ugly
April
3, 2002
A decline here is an opportunity
to figure our what you want to buy when the turn finally comes.
Is This Trip Really Necessary?
April 2, 2002
It's
a trading range -- but that doesn't mean there isn't plenty of action.
Post-Holiday Madness
April 1, 2002
With
the holiday behind us, the market has to digest a flurry of news and risks.
Catching up on Our Homework
March 28, 2002
Nothing's
happening in the market, so Fred takes some time to discuss his studies of the
Dow stocks.
Same Trading Range, Different Words
March 27, 2002
The
market is still trying to decide what it wants to be when it grows up.
It's Got To Be Bad To Be Good
March 26, 2002
Rough
market, yesterday. But if you're really a bull, you want it to get even worse.
Ranging Bull?
March
25, 2002
Here we are again, stuck in the
trading range. At the moment it's not clear which way it's going to break -- or
when.
Sentimental Journey
March 22, 2002
Fred
can see the path that will get the indicators to buy mode -- but sentiment is
way too bullish.
Second Warning
March
21, 2002
Fred's Summation Index has reiterated
the sell signal of January 11.
What is Volatility Saying?
March 20, 2002
Market
volatility has dried up since 2001 -- does this indicate complacency, or hope?
Borrrrrring...!
March
19, 2002
At least on the surface -- but
Fred sees a lot of interesting stuff happening underneath.
Good and Exhausted
March 18, 2002
Underlying
strength is good -- but the market is pooped, and sentiment is too bullish.
We Walk the Line
March 15, 2002
An
amazing number of indicators are precisely in neutral -- but Fred is worried by
the bullish sentiment.
Still A Sell, But Here's What...
March 14, 2002
Fred
suggests how different kinds of investors can position themselves to prepare for
a coming buy signal.
Glimmers
March 13, 2002
There
are still no definitive indications, but there are interesting positive possibilities
starting to shape up.
It Still Could Go Either Way
March 12, 2002
The
markets are still resting, and there's no definitive indication of what they'll
do when they wake up.
Right on the Edge
March 11, 2002
It's truth or dare for the bulls here -- but Fred
thinks there may be a pause before we find out which.
Stuck in Neutral
March 8, 2002
Yesterday
was a critical day, but nothing happened!
Judgment Day
March 7, 2002
Fred
Goodman
Many of Fred's indicators
are poised on the verge of greatness -- and Fred has upped his commitment to stocks.
A Well-Earned Rest
March 6, 2002
Markets
took the day off yesterday -- Fred is thinking about buying the dip.
Loading up the Shopping Cart
March 5, 2002
Fred
worries that we are still in a trading range -- but considers what he might buy
on the next dip.
Good Stuff from Fred's Kitchen
March 4, 2002
Fred
Goodman
Fred invites you
into the process of perfecting his market indicators... something amazing is almost
baked.
Buy Signal? What Buy Signal?
March 1, 2002
Hold
your horses (and your doggies)... Fred says it's still too early.
Small Stocks Have Reason to Live
February 28, 2002
The
unrecognized winner in the next rally may just be the Russell 2000.
Secret Greatness
February 27, 2002
Yesterday's
boring market showed subtle signs of strength, if you know where to look.
Still A Long Road
February 26, 2002
Yesterday's
rally didn't put a dent in the indicators -- be patient.
Don't Get Excited -- Yet!
February 25, 2002
Last
week was volatile, but meant nothing. More interesting is Fred's latest discoveries
with the "Boomerang Indicators."
It's Unanimous... It's Awful
February 22, 2002
Fred's
indicators all agree that there's nothing in this market to tempt the bulls.
Boomeranging the QQQQ's
February 21, 2002
Fred's
boomerang stock technique is a winner when applied to the NASDAQ 100 -- but right
now it's not saying "buy."
Bye-bye Market, Bye-bye
Elves
February
20, 2002
Fred thinks it could get nastier
here -- and notes that the "elves" of Wall Street Week seem to
have capitulated right off the air.
Boomerang Goes Broad
February 19, 2002
Fred
shows how the "boomerang stocks" concept may have its highest and best
use as a broad-market indicator.
Deeper Into Boomerang Stocks
February 15, 2002
Fred
starts to answer readers' questions about his new technique -- how to use it both
to trade stocks, and to time the market.
Boomerang Stocks Boom!
February 14, 2002
At
his first at-bat as a stock picker, Fred has hit the ball out of the park with
Microsoft and Intuit.
Feels Like It's Getting Close
February 13, 2002
Fred
senses a turnaround -- and introduces a new technique to pick bottoms in individual
stocks.
Adjust the Volume, Please!
February 12, 2002
Two
weeks ago Fred complained about the high volume. Now he's complaining about the
low volume!
Break Out the History Books
February 11, 2002
Fred
plays history teacher to help readers understand the post-Pearl Harbor market,
and how to use the Smart Money Indicator.
Remember: Early = Wrong
February 8, 2002
We
may finally be headed toward capitulation. Just let it happen.
Waiting for W
February 7, 2002
And
Fred's not talking about George -- he explains to readers what to look for in
the falling Summation Index before committing to this market.
Going Nowhere Fast
February 6, 2002
The
market didn't move yesterday, but volume did. And Fred's loops say that's not
a good thing.
Knocked for a Loop
February 5, 2002
The
sell-loops continue to exert their power on the markets. There's going to be a
recovery in here somewhere -- but wait for it!
A Great Call, Not a Crystal Ball
February 4, 2002
Fred
nailed it perfectly last week -- but he tells an enthusiastic reader that he's
just playing the probabilities.
Are We There Yet?
February 1, 2002
Two
days of relief doesn't make a "rally" -- yet while there may be more
weakness ahead, Fred sees signs of building strength.
Keep Your Powder Dry
January 31, 2002
Yesterday's
turnaround had some fatal flaws -- be patient.
Just Like Counterclockwisework
January 30, 2002
The
indicators are working like a charm. Now, just be patient until they tell us to
buy.
If It's a Sell, Why is It a Buy?
January 29, 2002
All
three major indices are flashing sell -- but Fred explains to a reader why he's
polishing up his buying shoes.
Setting Up the Shot
January 28, 2002
Fred's
indicators continue to show an unraveling market -- but it could be just a buying
opportunity getting ready to be born.
Very Interesting... But Stupid!
January 25, 2002
Another
up-day for the markets? So it seems, but the Smart Money Indicator is still deteriorating.
Too Much, Too Fast
January 24, 2002
Nice
rally yesterday. But there was too much volume, and Fred's not convinced.
Stupid, Stupid, Stupid!
January 23, 2002
Fools
rushed in yesterday morning and drove our Smart Money Indicator to new lows.
Don't Count On It
January 18, 2002
Yesterday's
upside move might have just been a temporary reprieve -- and an expensive one.
Making a Stand
January
17, 2002
To market still has a chance to
avoid a prolonged negative period, but the next few days will be critical.
Strange Days
January 16, 2002
Yesterday's
unusual volume patterns produced mixed signals.
The Arms Says Farewell
January 15, 2002
The
Arms Indicator has collapsed, perhaps showing that large-cap leaders are leading
the way lower.
A Sell Signal At Last
January 14, 2002
The
Summation Index finally gives up the ghost, and a profitable trade is closed.
Quietly Unraveling
January 11, 2002
It
seems liked nothing happened yesterday. But the indicators moved closer to the
edge.
Unsmart and Unsmarter
January 10, 2002
With
yesterday's last-hour drop, the Smart Money Indicator had one of its worst days
ever.
Right On The Edge
January 9, 2002
Who
knows which way it will go? But the Summation Index is on the verge of a sell
signal.
Lost That Lovin' Feeling
January 8, 2002
With
a look at a new indicator that is helping to signal a top, Fred's urge to own
'em is starting to ebb.
A Myth to Miss
January
7, 2002
Fred says the old myth that you
need to be invested at all times so you don't miss the very best days is self-serving
nonsense.
The Pressure is On
January 4, 2002
Fred's
buy signal has been in place since October -- now he's feeling the urge to buy
more.
One Step Backward, One Step Forward
January 3, 2002
Fred's
still worried, but October's buy signal is still in effect. Patience... patience...
Happy New Bear
January 2, 2002
There's
still no sell signal, but Fred continues to worry.
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